Wolves of Crypto tahmin doğruluğu
C
10–19%
17%
30%
tüm çözümlenen (42)
42%
30-gün yönü (53)
77
kaydedilen tahminler
34
şu an açık
5
fikir değişiklikleri (30 g)
Güncel tavır
▲ BTC → $87,900
26 Eyl · açık
▼ ETH
26 Tem · tutmadı
Wolves of Crypto doğru mu?
C notu: Wolves of Crypto kendi son tarihini belirlediği 18 tahminde, hedef 17% oranında tutuldu. Her yönlü tahminden bir ay sonra, fiyatlar 42% oranında belirttikleri yönü hareket etti (53 tahmin). Aşağıdaki her tahmin alıntı, tarih ve fiyatla birlikte verilmiştir.
Sicil
“$87,900 seviyesinin üzerinde bir aylık mum kapanışı görmemiz gerekiyor”
“Eğer haftalık bir mum $83,000, seviyesinin üzerinde görünürse ve yukarı yönlü ise. Eğer haftalık bir mum $86,000, seviyesinin üzerinde görünürse ve oldukça yukarı yönlü ise.”
“Aslında, hâlâ makro olarak düşüşçüyüm. Bitcoin için temel senaryo hâlâ daha fazla düşüş fiyat hareketi olduğunu düşünüyorum.”
“Eğer bu kırmızı çizgiden de görüldüğü gibi $48,000, seviyesine düşeceksek, aslında ciddi şekilde planımızın gerisinde olduğumuz bir noktaya çok yaklaşıyoruz. Bu yüzden bir düşüş yakında gelmek zorunda.”
“Eğer yukarı yönlü kapanırsa, bu muhtemelen onaylanmış bir kırılma olur, özellikle $83,000 kırılmasıyla birlikte gelirse.”
“It could be anywhere between the $36,000 region and the $48,000 region.”
“If Bitcoin closes a weekly candle above $83,000, it is very likely to have flipped into a confirmed bull market.”
“If Bitcoin was to do exactly what it did in 2018, if it was to drop below this indicator by about 25% to 30%, that could take us as low as $40,000.”
“I think that the base case right now is still one of a regular macro bear market that ends in October or November. That is the base case right now.”
VOID
BTC ▼ → $48,000
“Ve $48,000, bu düşüş piyasasını sürdürürsek, dramatik olarak daha olası görünüyor.”
“if we break above these levels, we are at least taking steps in the right direction towards a bull market.”
“it makes sense to assume that we will be continuing downwards until around October or November, which is what the cycle suggests”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $35,000
“this chart actually says we should be reaching somewhere in the mid-30s by that point.”
İSABET
BTC ▲ → $83,000
“We can say with certainty that for Bitcoin to transform into a 100% bullish and macro bull market, the $83,000 barrier needs to be broken.”
“Ben piyasada bearish'im, bu yüzden fiyatın buradan düşeceğini düşünüyorum.”
“So, in order for us to take a step in a bullish direction, I'm looking at a break above $71,000, which would be the Ichimoku cloud baseline.”
“The data at this point still points straight towards the mid-30s.”
TUTMADI
ETH ▼
“it is very reasonable to think that Ethereum could fall below its 2022 low.”
İSABET
BTC ▲ → $83,000
“Ayı piyasasını boğa piyasasına dönüştürmek için daha yüksek bir zirve görmen gerekir. Bu doğru ve yaklaşık $83,000 için gerçekleşecek.”
“I think it's still possible, okay? And I'll tell you why. I don't think it's certain. I don't think it's guaranteed. It doesn't need to happen. Ultimately, I'm a believer in the four-year cycle. The four-year cycle doesn't really care where Bitcoin goes. It cares how Bitcoin bottoms and when Bitcoin's bottoms, not the price of the Bitcoin bottom. But basically, a drop downwards from this price region to something like $36,000 is a 44% drop over the course of 90 days, okay?”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $34,000
“Looking at the trends within this cycle, they indicate at this stage the possibility of the price dropping to between $32,000 and $36,000.”
“Haziran'ı önemli bir düşüşle başlattığımız için, Temmuz'da yeşil mumun görünmesi fiyatın 62,000 seviyesinde sona erebileceği anlamına gelebilir.”
“And the cycle says we continue downwards into October.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $34,000
“pointing towards the same price target of $32,000 to $36,000 at the end of the cyclical deadline, which is going to be in October 2026. I think that is my base case at this point.”
OPEN
BTC ▲
“And I think that that parabolic breakout of the four-year cycle will occur when diminished returns gets too significant for the cycle to hold.”
“And if history continues to repeat and copy 2022, we will, of course, continue downwards on Bitcoin.”
TUTMADI
BTC ▼ → $32,000
“Bear markette, bu kanal bear market dipini $32,000 bekliyor. Sadece o olduğunu varsayalım.”
İSABET
BTC ▼
“Ve buradaki zayıflığı gösteren kısa vadeli veriler göz önüne alındığında, 750-günlük trendin devam etmesi çok olası, Bitcoin'ın burada aşağıya devam etmesi çok olası.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“We're still basically on track to be reaching $36,000 in October, 2026.”
TUTMADI
BTC ▲
“I think it will happen within May. I think it will happen most likely within the first half of May,”
“Şu an itibarıyla, Mayıs ayı içinde bir düşüş bekliyorum. Açıkçası, ben büyük tahminler yapmaya çalışanlardan değilim. Daha çok tepki vermeye odaklanırım. Ama bu noktada, veriler oldukça net. $80,000 kırılırsa. O zaman her şey değişir.”
“Let's just say the 20th of October. It's not going to be exact. It's a vague date. And now we know a likely price point where Bitcoin could bottom as well. Let's just go ahead and plug in $34,000.”
İSABET
BTC ▼
“Kısa vadeli grafiğe baktığımda ve Bitcoin'in $80,000,'ya saldırdığını gördüğümde, birçok kişinin gördüğü yükseliş eğilimini ben görmüyorum.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $26,000
“If we were to continue at the current trajectory downwards until October, 2026, which is when we expect the bottom to be as per the four-year cycle, we'd be bottoming at around 26K.”
VOID
BTC ▼
“Kısa vadeli ve orta vadeli analize dayanarak, zıplamanın bittiği olasılığın, tepe oluştuğu veya $80,000'nın altında oluşacak olasılığın aslında oldukça yüksek olduğunu düşünüyorum.”
İSABET
BTC ▼ → $60,000
“Şimdiye kadar makro bir aşağı trendindesiniz, bu yüzden $60,000'nın kırılması olmamasıdan daha olası görünüyor.”
“$36,000 price target I've been talking about, or the scenario that I've been talking about does make actually a lot of sense.”
“We've got about 5 days left for not only a drop to start, but 5 days left for us to reach the bottom of the next macro range.”
TUTMADI
BTC ▼ → $50,500
“Kişisel olarak düşünüyorum ki, çeşitli nedenlerden dolayı $48,000 ve $53,000 arasında bir yerde olacak; bu nedenleri bu kanalda birden fazla kez açıkladım.”
OPEN
BTC ▼
“I remain a strict believer, a firm believer, that we're going to be bottoming out in October, 2026 until something forces me to change that opinion.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“I think we're going to 36,000, this bear market or even lower than that, right? $32,000 to $36,000 in October.”
TUTMADI
BTC ▼ → $53,000
“Ve biliyorsunuz, bu nasıl bitecek: açıkçası aşağıya doğru devam edeceğiz ve 60,000 seviyesinin altını kırıp yeni bir aralığa gireceğiz, bu aralık muhtemelen $53,000 civarında olacak.”
“Biliyoruz, evet, muhtemelen bu olacak, önümüzdeki bir ay içinde falan, sadece sezgisel olarak.”
“if I'm forced at gunpoint to decide where Bitcoin would bottom in this bear market, I would still say somewhere between 32 and 38,000 dollars.”
VOID
BTC ▼
“Dört yıllık döngünün dipin ayaklanacağı tarihi ayak piyasasında Ekim 2026 olacak”
TUTMADI
BTC ▼ → $53,000
“Hala Mart sonu, belki Nisan ayı içinde $53,000'ya kadar bir düşüş ihtimalinin çok çok masada olduğunu düşünüyorum.”
“we need to trust the one thing, that there's no examples of anything ever failing at all, which is the four-year cycle, the four-year cycle that so far suggests that Bitcoin is in a regular bear market”
“Bitcoin'in gelecekte kalacağı fiyat aralığının $53,000 ile $58,000 destek bölgesi civarında olacağını şüpheleniyorum.”
“I'm even more confident in my broader macro outlook of us being in a macro bear market that will end with the four-year cycle.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“I'll be discussing the $36,000 bottom scenario for this cycle”
TUTMADI
BTC ▼
“Muhtemel senaryo Mart ayı içinde aşağı gideriz diye düşünüyorum.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $34,000
“we should be buying 50% at an October retest specifically of a certain region that I think is likely to be the bottom, which would be $32 to $36,000”
TUTMADI
BTC ▲ → $80,000
“They're macrobased scenarios. Right now, within this range of 60 to 80, there's nothing macro here.”
“We break 60,000, we'll go down to 53K. That's the next target.”
“And if we plug in the cyclical bottom date range expectation, that would be October 2026. And the price of this channel in October 2026 would be around $36,000.”
TUTMADI
BTC ▼
“And obviously, it suggests we should go lower before we see any sort of bottom.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“Sadece diyelim ki Bitcoin, ayı piyasasında $36,000 seviyesine düşer. Bu, şimdiye kadar birkaç kez öne sürdüğüm bir argüman.”
“Ve eğer bu bölgeyi tamamen kaybedersek, hacim profili çok açıkça gösterdiği gibi, doğrudan $53,000'ya doğru düşeriz.”
“a specific target of around 32 to 36,000, which I see as a very possible target. Not a certain target, not something I'm betting the chickens on.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $21,000
“a logical extension of that trajectory downwards that reaches October, 2026 would be Bitcoin reaching $21,000 in October, 2026.”
“If we know the date of the bottom as per 4-year cycle of October this year, we can simply plug in where the price would be. It would be about $35,000 in October this year.”
“Again, we lose that level at 69. We start crashing down into the mid-60s.”
“If we're going to be copying 2022, we continue chopping here for a certain period of time before going downwards.”
“And if we plug in that October bottom date range estimate into this channel, which has never failed, by the way, we would get a $36,000 Bitcoin in October.”
İSABET
BTC ▼ → $74,000
“the major level that Bitcoin is targeting upon this breakdown is going to be around 74,000, maybe slightly higher.”
“If Bitcoin went up to that level and rejected from, showed signs of weakness and rejected from a 200-day simple moving average as well as that critical resistance block, yes, that would be a prime time opportunity for shorting.”
“If we see the bottom on October 2026, all we need to do is extrapolate the bottom side of this channel forward and see that that would line up with a price point of around $36,000”
“In our last cycle, this exact structure led to a drop to the downside. Will it do so again? Time will tell, but that's certainly what the pattern suggests.”
“And we seem to be moving to the downside right now, which means we are likely to see a bear market unless proved otherwise.”
“So long as Bitcoin is above this 100 exponential moving average, it is in dead cat bounce territory. And as you can see by looking at 2022, dead cat bounce territory is notoriously choppy.”
“That plausible roadmap essentially brings us to about $36,000 in October 2026.”
“If it can do this basically to simplify if it can just break massively to the upside here and continue that momentum momentum into all-time highs it would eventually break the cycle.”
“If it takes us to that level that will be a clear rejection zone through which Bitcoin will go downwards.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“the cycle says the bottom will be in October 2026. And this logarithmic regression channel extrapolated forward says that bottom will be at about $36,000.”
“I think we're probably in a bare market. I think the fourear cycle is probably still alive and I think we probably will continue downwards into 2026 until proven otherwise”
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