Wolves of Crypto precisión de predicciones
C
10–19%
17%
30%
todos resueltos (42)
42%
dirección a 30 días (53)
77
predicciones registradas
34
abiertas ahora mismo
5
cambios de opinión (30 d)
Postura actual
▲ BTC → $87,900
26 sep · abierta
▼ ETH
26 jul · fallo
¿Es Wolves of Crypto preciso?
Nota C: en 18 predicciones donde Wolves of Crypto puso el plazo, se alcanzó el objetivo el 17% de las veces. Un mes después de cada predicción direccional, el precio se movió como dijeron el 42% de las veces (53 predicciones). Todas las predicciones a continuación están citadas, fechadas y con precio.
El historial
“deberíamos estar viendo un cierre de vela mensual por encima de $87,900”
“Si vemos una vela semanal por encima de $83,000, eso es alcista. Si vemos una vela semanal por encima de $86,000, eso es excepcionalmente alcista.”
“De hecho, sigo siendo bajista a nivel macro. Sigo pensando que el caso base para Bitcoin es una acción de precios con más bajada.”
“Si vamos a llegar a un mínimo de $48,000,, como puedes ver por esta línea roja, en realidad estamos muy cerca de llegar a un punto de estar bastante dramáticamente retrasados. Entonces una caída tendría que venir pronto.”
“Si cierra hacia arriba nuevamente, eso probablemente sea un rompimiento confirmado, especialmente si viene acompañado de una ruptura de $83,000.”
“It could be anywhere between the $36,000 region and the $48,000 region.”
“If Bitcoin closes a weekly candle above $83,000, it is very likely to have flipped into a confirmed bull market.”
“If Bitcoin was to do exactly what it did in 2018, if it was to drop below this indicator by about 25% to 30%, that could take us as low as $40,000.”
“I think that the base case right now is still one of a regular macro bear market that ends in October or November. That is the base case right now.”
NULA
BTC ▼ → $48,000
“Y $48,000 se ve dramáticamente más probable si vamos a continuar con este mercado bajista.”
“if we break above these levels, we are at least taking steps in the right direction towards a bull market.”
“it makes sense to assume that we will be continuing downwards until around October or November, which is what the cycle suggests”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $35,000
“this chart actually says we should be reaching somewhere in the mid-30s by that point.”
ACIERTO
BTC ▲ → $83,000
“We can say with certainty that for Bitcoin to transform into a 100% bullish and macro bull market, the $83,000 barrier needs to be broken.”
“Soy bajista en el mercado, así que sí creo que el precio va a bajar desde aquí.”
“So, in order for us to take a step in a bullish direction, I'm looking at a break above $71,000, which would be the Ichimoku cloud baseline.”
“The data at this point still points straight towards the mid-30s.”
FALLO
ETH ▼
“it is very reasonable to think that Ethereum could fall below its 2022 low.”
ACIERTO
BTC ▲ → $83,000
“para convertir un mercado bajista en uno alcista, necesitas ver un máximo más alto. Es cierto, y sucederá durante aproximadamente $83,000.”
“I think it's still possible, okay? And I'll tell you why. I don't think it's certain. I don't think it's guaranteed. It doesn't need to happen. Ultimately, I'm a believer in the four-year cycle. The four-year cycle doesn't really care where Bitcoin goes. It cares how Bitcoin bottoms and when Bitcoin's bottoms, not the price of the Bitcoin bottom. But basically, a drop downwards from this price region to something like $36,000 is a 44% drop over the course of 90 days, okay?”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $34,000
“Looking at the trends within this cycle, they indicate at this stage the possibility of the price dropping to between $32,000 and $36,000.”
“Since we started July with a significant decline, the appearance of a green candle in July could mean the price will end at 62,000.”
“And the cycle says we continue downwards into October.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $34,000
“pointing towards the same price target of $32,000 to $36,000 at the end of the cyclical deadline, which is going to be in October 2026. I think that is my base case at this point.”
OPEN
BTC ▲
“And I think that that parabolic breakout of the four-year cycle will occur when diminished returns gets too significant for the cycle to hold.”
“And if history continues to repeat and copy 2022, we will, of course, continue downwards on Bitcoin.”
FALLO
BTC ▼ → $32,000
“En el mercado bajista, este canal está esperando un fondo de mercado bajista de $32,000. Vamos a asumir que eso sucede.”
ACIERTO
BTC ▼
“Y dado que los datos a corto plazo muestran debilidad aquí, es muy plausible que la tendencia de 750 días continúe, es muy plausible que Bitcoin siga bajando aquí.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“We're still basically on track to be reaching $36,000 in October, 2026.”
FALLO
BTC ▲
“I think it will happen within May. I think it will happen most likely within the first half of May,”
“A día de hoy, espero una caída dentro del mes de mayo. Obviamente, no soy de hacer grandes predicciones. Soy más de reaccionar. Pero en este punto, los datos están bastante claros. Si rompemos $80,000. Eso cambia.”
“Let's just say the 20th of October. It's not going to be exact. It's a vague date. And now we know a likely price point where Bitcoin could bottom as well. Let's just go ahead and plug in $34,000.”
ACIERTO
BTC ▼
“Cuando miro el gráfico a corto plazo y veo a Bitcoin atacando $80,000,, no veo el alcancismo que mucha gente ve.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $26,000
“If we were to continue at the current trajectory downwards until October, 2026, which is when we expect the bottom to be as per the four-year cycle, we'd be bottoming at around 26K.”
NULA
BTC ▼
“Creo que, basado en el análisis a corto y medio plazo, la probabilidad de que el rebote haya terminado, la probabilidad de que el máximo esté dentro o vaya a estar por debajo de $80,000 es realmente bastante alta.”
ACIERTO
BTC ▼ → $60,000
“Hasta ahora, estamos en una tendencia macro a la baja, y por lo tanto, la ruptura de $60,000 parece más probable que no.”
“$36,000 price target I've been talking about, or the scenario that I've been talking about does make actually a lot of sense.”
“We've got about 5 days left for not only a drop to start, but 5 days left for us to reach the bottom of the next macro range.”
FALLO
BTC ▼ → $50,500
“Personalmente creo que estaría entre aproximadamente $48,000 y $53,000 por varias razones, que he mencionado múltiples veces en este canal.”
OPEN
BTC ▼
“I remain a strict believer, a firm believer, that we're going to be bottoming out in October, 2026 until something forces me to change that opinion.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“I think we're going to 36,000, this bear market or even lower than that, right? $32,000 to $36,000 in October.”
FALLO
BTC ▼ → $53,000
“Y, ya sabes, la forma en que esto terminaría es obviamente continuaríamos bajando y romperíamos por debajo de 60,000 en nuestro nuevo rango, que probablemente estaría alrededor de $53,000.”
“Sabemos, sí, probablemente va a pasar en el transcurso del próximo mes más o menos, solo por intuición.”
“if I'm forced at gunpoint to decide where Bitcoin would bottom in this bear market, I would still say somewhere between 32 and 38,000 dollars.”
NULA
BTC ▼
“la fecha que sugiere el ciclo de cuatro años que el fondo será sembrado en el mercado bajista va a ser octubre 2026”
FALLO
BTC ▼ → $53,000
“Sigo pensando que el caso de una caída hasta $53,000 dentro del mes de finales de marzo, tal vez abril, sigue muy vigente.”
“we need to trust the one thing, that there's no examples of anything ever failing at all, which is the four-year cycle, the four-year cycle that so far suggests that Bitcoin is in a regular bear market”
“Sospecho que el próximo rango de precios en el que Bitcoin se moverá estará alrededor de la región de soporte de $53,000 a $58,000.”
“I'm even more confident in my broader macro outlook of us being in a macro bear market that will end with the four-year cycle.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“I'll be discussing the $36,000 bottom scenario for this cycle”
FALLO
BTC ▼
“Creo que el escenario probable es que bajemos durante el mes de marzo.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $34,000
“we should be buying 50% at an October retest specifically of a certain region that I think is likely to be the bottom, which would be $32 to $36,000”
FALLO
BTC ▲ → $80,000
“They're macrobased scenarios. Right now, within this range of 60 to 80, there's nothing macro here.”
“We break 60,000, we'll go down to 53K. That's the next target.”
“And if we plug in the cyclical bottom date range expectation, that would be October 2026. And the price of this channel in October 2026 would be around $36,000.”
FALLO
BTC ▼
“And obviously, it suggests we should go lower before we see any sort of bottom.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“Digamos simplemente que Bitcoin baja a $36,000 en el mercado bajista, lo cual es un argumento que he mencionado un par de veces ahora.”
“Y si perdiéramos esta región por completo, caeríamos directamente hasta alrededor de $53,000 como sugiere muy claramente el perfil de volumen.”
“a specific target of around 32 to 36,000, which I see as a very possible target. Not a certain target, not something I'm betting the chickens on.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $21,000
“a logical extension of that trajectory downwards that reaches October, 2026 would be Bitcoin reaching $21,000 in October, 2026.”
“If we know the date of the bottom as per 4-year cycle of October this year, we can simply plug in where the price would be. It would be about $35,000 in October this year.”
“Again, we lose that level at 69. We start crashing down into the mid-60s.”
“If we're going to be copying 2022, we continue chopping here for a certain period of time before going downwards.”
“And if we plug in that October bottom date range estimate into this channel, which has never failed, by the way, we would get a $36,000 Bitcoin in October.”
ACIERTO
BTC ▼ → $74,000
“the major level that Bitcoin is targeting upon this breakdown is going to be around 74,000, maybe slightly higher.”
“If Bitcoin went up to that level and rejected from, showed signs of weakness and rejected from a 200-day simple moving average as well as that critical resistance block, yes, that would be a prime time opportunity for shorting.”
“If we see the bottom on October 2026, all we need to do is extrapolate the bottom side of this channel forward and see that that would line up with a price point of around $36,000”
“In our last cycle, this exact structure led to a drop to the downside. Will it do so again? Time will tell, but that's certainly what the pattern suggests.”
“And we seem to be moving to the downside right now, which means we are likely to see a bear market unless proved otherwise.”
“So long as Bitcoin is above this 100 exponential moving average, it is in dead cat bounce territory. And as you can see by looking at 2022, dead cat bounce territory is notoriously choppy.”
“That plausible roadmap essentially brings us to about $36,000 in October 2026.”
“If it can do this basically to simplify if it can just break massively to the upside here and continue that momentum momentum into all-time highs it would eventually break the cycle.”
“If it takes us to that level that will be a clear rejection zone through which Bitcoin will go downwards.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“the cycle says the bottom will be in October 2026. And this logarithmic regression channel extrapolated forward says that bottom will be at about $36,000.”
“I think we're probably in a bare market. I think the fourear cycle is probably still alive and I think we probably will continue downwards into 2026 until proven otherwise”
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