Wolves of Crypto akurasi prediksi
C
10–19%
17%
30%
semua yang terselesaikan (42)
42%
arah 30 hari (53)
77
prediksi yang tercatat
34
masih terbuka sekarang
5
berubah pikiran (30 hr)
Posisi saat ini
▲ BTC → $87,900
26 Sep · terbuka
▼ ETH
26 Jul · meleset
Apakah Wolves of Crypto akurat?
Grade C: pada 18 prediksi di mana Wolves of Crypto menentukan tenggat sendiri, target tercapai 17% dari waktu. Sebulan setelah setiap prediksi arah, harga bergerak seperti yang dikatakan 42% dari waktu (53 prediksi). Setiap prediksi di bawah dikutip, didatangkan, dan dihargai.
Rekam jejak
“kita seharusnya melihat penutupan lilin bulanan di atas $87,900”
“Jika kita melihat candle mingguan di atas $83,000, yang bullish. Jika kita melihat candle mingguan di atas $86,000, yang sangat bullish.”
“Faktanya, saya masih macro bearish. Saya masih pikir base case untuk Bitcoin adalah price action ke bawah lebih lanjut.”
“Jika kita akan mencapai level terendah $48,000, seperti yang bisa kamu lihat dari garis merah ini, kita sebenarnya sangat mendekati titik di mana kita sangat tertinggal dari jadwal. Jadi penurunan harus segera datang.”
“Jika ia menutup ke atas lagi, itu kemungkinan besar breakout yang dikonfirmasi, terutama jika ia datang bersama break dari $83,000.”
“It could be anywhere between the $36,000 region and the $48,000 region.”
“If Bitcoin closes a weekly candle above $83,000, it is very likely to have flipped into a confirmed bull market.”
“If Bitcoin was to do exactly what it did in 2018, if it was to drop below this indicator by about 25% to 30%, that could take us as low as $40,000.”
“I think that the base case right now is still one of a regular macro bear market that ends in October or November. That is the base case right now.”
BATAL
BTC ▼ → $48,000
“Dan $48,000 terlihat jauh lebih mungkin jika kita akan terus berada di pasar bear ini.”
“if we break above these levels, we are at least taking steps in the right direction towards a bull market.”
“it makes sense to assume that we will be continuing downwards until around October or November, which is what the cycle suggests”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $35,000
“this chart actually says we should be reaching somewhere in the mid-30s by that point.”
TEPAT
BTC ▲ → $83,000
“Kita bisa bilang dengan pasti bahwa supaya Bitcoin berubah jadi 100% bullish dan macro bull market, barrier $83,000 harus di-break.”
“Aku happen to be bearish di market, jadi aku rasa price akan turun dari sini.”
“So, in order for us to take a step in a bullish direction, I'm looking at a break above $71,000, which would be the Ichimoku cloud baseline.”
“The data at this point still points straight towards the mid-30s.”
MELESET
ETH ▼
“it is very reasonable to think that Ethereum could fall below its 2022 low.”
TEPAT
BTC ▲ → $83,000
“untuk mengubah pasar bear menjadi pasar bull, kamu perlu melihat high yang lebih tinggi. Ini benar, dan itu akan terjadi sekitar $83,000”
“I think it's still possible, okay? And I'll tell you why. I don't think it's certain. I don't think it's guaranteed. It doesn't need to happen. Ultimately, I'm a believer in the four-year cycle. The four-year cycle doesn't really care where Bitcoin goes. It cares how Bitcoin bottoms and when Bitcoin's bottoms, not the price of the Bitcoin bottom. But basically, a drop downwards from this price region to something like $36,000 is a 44% drop over the course of 90 days, okay?”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $34,000
“Looking at the trends within this cycle, they indicate at this stage the possibility of the price dropping to between $32,000 and $36,000.”
“Karena kita memulai Juli dengan penurunan signifikan, kemunculan lilin hijau di Juli bisa berarti harga akan berakhir di 62,000.”
“And the cycle says we continue downwards into October.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $34,000
“pointing towards the same price target of $32,000 to $36,000 at the end of the cyclical deadline, which is going to be in October 2026. I think that is my base case at this point.”
OPEN
BTC ▲
“And I think that that parabolic breakout of the four-year cycle will occur when diminished returns gets too significant for the cycle to hold.”
“And if history continues to repeat and copy 2022, we will, of course, continue downwards on Bitcoin.”
MELESET
BTC ▼ → $32,000
“Di bear market, kanal ini expecting bear market bottom $32,000. Asumsi aja itu terjadi.”
TEPAT
BTC ▼
“Dan given short-term data showing weakness di sini, very plausible bahwa 750-day trend-nya continuing, very plausible Bitcoin akan continue downwards di sini.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“We're still basically on track to be reaching $36,000 in October, 2026.”
MELESET
BTC ▲
“I think it will happen within May. I think it will happen most likely within the first half of May,”
“sekarang, saya memang mengharapkan penurunan di bulan Mei. Jelas, saya bukan tipe yang suka membuat prediksi besar. Saya lebih ke bereaksi. Tapi pada titik ini, datanya cukup jelas. Kita tembus $80,000. Itu mengubah semuanya.”
“Let's just say the 20th of October. It's not going to be exact. It's a vague date. And now we know a likely price point where Bitcoin could bottom as well. Let's just go ahead and plug in $34,000.”
TEPAT
BTC ▼
“Ketika aku lihat short-term chart dan aku lihat Bitcoin attacking $80,000, aku nggak see the bullishness yang banyak orang see.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $26,000
“If we were to continue at the current trajectory downwards until October, 2026, which is when we expect the bottom to be as per the four-year cycle, we'd be bottoming at around 26K.”
BATAL
BTC ▼
“Saya rasa berdasarkan analisis short-term dan medium-term, probability bounce-nya over, probability top-nya in atau akan in di bawah $80,000 sebenarnya quite high.”
TEPAT
BTC ▼ → $60,000
“Sampai sekarang, kita masih dalam macro downwards trend, jadi break $60,000 kelihatan more likely than not.”
“$36,000 price target I've been talking about, or the scenario that I've been talking about does make actually a lot of sense.”
“We've got about 5 days left for not only a drop to start, but 5 days left for us to reach the bottom of the next macro range.”
MELESET
BTC ▼ → $50,500
“Saya pribadi pikir ia akan berada di antara sekitar $48,000 dan $53,000 karena berbagai alasan, yang telah saya garis besar di kanal ini beberapa kali.”
OPEN
BTC ▼
“I remain a strict believer, a firm believer, that we're going to be bottoming out in October, 2026 until something forces me to change that opinion.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“I think we're going to 36,000, this bear market or even lower than that, right? $32,000 to $36,000 in October.”
MELESET
BTC ▼ → $53,000
“Dan, Anda tahu, cara ini akan berakhir jelas kita terus turun dan menembus di bawah 60,000 ke rentang baru kita, yang kemungkinan besar berada di sekitar $53,000.”
“Kita tahu, ya, mungkin akan terjadi selama bulan depan atau begitu, cuma lewat intuisi.”
“if I'm forced at gunpoint to decide where Bitcoin would bottom in this bear market, I would still say somewhere between 32 and 38,000 dollars.”
BATAL
BTC ▼
“tanggal yang four-year cycle suggest bottom-nya akan planted di bear market adalah Oktober 2026”
MELESET
BTC ▼ → $53,000
“Saya masih rasa skenario drop ke $53,000 dalam bulan akhir Maret, mungkin April, masih sangat on the table.”
“we need to trust the one thing, that there's no examples of anything ever failing at all, which is the four-year cycle, the four-year cycle that so far suggests that Bitcoin is in a regular bear market”
“Saya duga rentang harga Bitcoin berikutnya akan di sekitar region support $53,000 ke $58,000.”
“I'm even more confident in my broader macro outlook of us being in a macro bear market that will end with the four-year cycle.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“I'll be discussing the $36,000 bottom scenario for this cycle”
MELESET
BTC ▼
“Aku rasa skenario likely-nya kita go downwards dalam bulan March.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $34,000
“we should be buying 50% at an October retest specifically of a certain region that I think is likely to be the bottom, which would be $32 to $36,000”
MELESET
BTC ▲ → $80,000
“Ini adalah skenario berbasis makro. Sekarang, dalam rentang 60 hingga 80, tidak ada hal makro di sini.”
“Kita break 60,000, kita turun ke 53K. Itu target berikutnya.”
“And if we plug in the cyclical bottom date range expectation, that would be October 2026. And the price of this channel in October 2026 would be around $36,000.”
MELESET
BTC ▼
“And obviously, it suggests we should go lower before we see any sort of bottom.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“Anggap aja Bitcoin turun ke $36,000 di bear market, yang argumen yang aku buat beberapa kali sekarang.”
“Dan jika kita kehilangan wilayah ini sepenuhnya, kita akan langsung turun ke sekitar $53,000 seperti yang sangat jelas disarankan oleh profil volume”
“a specific target of around 32 to 36,000, which I see as a very possible target. Not a certain target, not something I'm betting the chickens on.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $21,000
“a logical extension of that trajectory downwards that reaches October, 2026 would be Bitcoin reaching $21,000 in October, 2026.”
“If we know the date of the bottom as per 4-year cycle of October this year, we can simply plug in where the price would be. It would be about $35,000 in October this year.”
“Again, we lose that level at 69. We start crashing down into the mid-60s.”
“If we're going to be copying 2022, we continue chopping here for a certain period of time before going downwards.”
“And if we plug in that October bottom date range estimate into this channel, which has never failed, by the way, we would get a $36,000 Bitcoin in October.”
TEPAT
BTC ▼ → $74,000
“the major level that Bitcoin is targeting upon this breakdown is going to be around 74,000, maybe slightly higher.”
“If Bitcoin went up to that level and rejected from, showed signs of weakness and rejected from a 200-day simple moving average as well as that critical resistance block, yes, that would be a prime time opportunity for shorting.”
“If we see the bottom on October 2026, all we need to do is extrapolate the bottom side of this channel forward and see that that would line up with a price point of around $36,000”
“In our last cycle, this exact structure led to a drop to the downside. Will it do so again? Time will tell, but that's certainly what the pattern suggests.”
“And we seem to be moving to the downside right now, which means we are likely to see a bear market unless proved otherwise.”
“So long as Bitcoin is above this 100 exponential moving average, it is in dead cat bounce territory. And as you can see by looking at 2022, dead cat bounce territory is notoriously choppy.”
“That plausible roadmap essentially brings us to about $36,000 in October 2026.”
“If it can do this basically to simplify if it can just break massively to the upside here and continue that momentum momentum into all-time highs it would eventually break the cycle.”
“If it takes us to that level that will be a clear rejection zone through which Bitcoin will go downwards.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“the cycle says the bottom will be in October 2026. And this logarithmic regression channel extrapolated forward says that bottom will be at about $36,000.”
“I think we're probably in a bare market. I think the fourear cycle is probably still alive and I think we probably will continue downwards into 2026 until proven otherwise”
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