Wolves of Crypto precisão das previsões
C
10–19%
17%
30%
todas resolvidas (42)
42%
direção em 30 dias (53)
77
previsões registradas
34
aberto neste momento
5
mudanças de opinião (30 d)
Posição atual
▲ BTC → $87,900
26 set · em aberto
▼ ETH
26 jul · erro
O Wolves of Crypto é preciso?
Nota C: em 18 previsões onde Wolves of Crypto definiu o prazo, o alvo foi atingido 17% das vezes. Um mês após cada previsão direcional, o preço moveu-se na direção indicada 42% das vezes (53 previsões). Toda previsão abaixo é citada, datada e precificada.
O histórico
“devemos ver um fechamento de candle mensal acima de $87,900”
“Se virmos um candle semanal acima de $83,000,, isso é altista. Se virmos um candle semanal acima de $86,000,, isso é excepcionalmente altista.”
“Na verdade, ainda sou baixista no macro. Ainda acho que o cenário base para o Bitcoin é mais queda na ação de preço.”
“Se formos atingir uma baixa de $48,000,, como você pode ver por essa linha vermelha, na verdade estamos muito próximos de um ponto de estar bastante atrasado. Então uma queda teria que acontecer em breve.”
“Se ele fechar para cima novamente, isso provavelmente é uma quebra confirmada, especialmente se vier junto com uma quebra de $83,000.”
“It could be anywhere between the $36,000 region and the $48,000 region.”
“If Bitcoin closes a weekly candle above $83,000, it is very likely to have flipped into a confirmed bull market.”
“If Bitcoin was to do exactly what it did in 2018, if it was to drop below this indicator by about 25% to 30%, that could take us as low as $40,000.”
“I think that the base case right now is still one of a regular macro bear market that ends in October or November. That is the base case right now.”
NULA
BTC ▼ → $48,000
“E $48,000 parece dramaticamente mais provável se vamos continuar nesse mercado de baixa.”
“if we break above these levels, we are at least taking steps in the right direction towards a bull market.”
“it makes sense to assume that we will be continuing downwards until around October or November, which is what the cycle suggests”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $35,000
“this chart actually says we should be reaching somewhere in the mid-30s by that point.”
ACERTO
BTC ▲ → $83,000
“Podemos dizer com certeza que para o Bitcoin se transformar em um mercado bullish 100% e macro bullish, a barreira $83,000 precisa ser quebrada.”
“Por acaso sou bearish no mercado, então acho que o preço vai cair daqui pra frente.”
“So, in order for us to take a step in a bullish direction, I'm looking at a break above $71,000, which would be the Ichimoku cloud baseline.”
“The data at this point still points straight towards the mid-30s.”
ERRO
ETH ▼
“it is very reasonable to think that Ethereum could fall below its 2022 low.”
ACERTO
BTC ▲ → $83,000
“pra virar um bear market em bull market, você precisa ver uma máxima mais alta. É verdade, e vai acontecer por uns $83,000.”
“I think it's still possible, okay? And I'll tell you why. I don't think it's certain. I don't think it's guaranteed. It doesn't need to happen. Ultimately, I'm a believer in the four-year cycle. The four-year cycle doesn't really care where Bitcoin goes. It cares how Bitcoin bottoms and when Bitcoin's bottoms, not the price of the Bitcoin bottom. But basically, a drop downwards from this price region to something like $36,000 is a 44% drop over the course of 90 days, okay?”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $34,000
“Looking at the trends within this cycle, they indicate at this stage the possibility of the price dropping to between $32,000 and $36,000.”
“Desde que começamos julho com uma queda significativa, a aparição de uma vela verde em julho pode significar que o preço vai terminar em 62,000.”
“And the cycle says we continue downwards into October.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $34,000
“pointing towards the same price target of $32,000 to $36,000 at the end of the cyclical deadline, which is going to be in October 2026. I think that is my base case at this point.”
OPEN
BTC ▲
“And I think that that parabolic breakout of the four-year cycle will occur when diminished returns gets too significant for the cycle to hold.”
“And if history continues to repeat and copy 2022, we will, of course, continue downwards on Bitcoin.”
ERRO
BTC ▼ → $32,000
“No bear market, este canal tá esperando um fundo de bear market em $32,000. Vamos só assumir que isso aconteça.”
ACERTO
BTC ▼
“E dado os dados de curto prazo mostrando fraqueza aqui, é bem plausível que a tendência de 750 dias continue, é bem plausível que o Bitcoin continue caindo aqui.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“We're still basically on track to be reaching $36,000 in October, 2026.”
ERRO
BTC ▲
“I think it will happen within May. I think it will happen most likely within the first half of May,”
“Neste momento, eu espero uma queda dentro do mês de maio. Obviamente, não sou de fazer grandes previsões. Sou mais de reagir. Mas, neste ponto, os dados estão bem claros. Se rompermos $80,000, a coisa muda.”
“Let's just say the 20th of October. It's not going to be exact. It's a vague date. And now we know a likely price point where Bitcoin could bottom as well. Let's just go ahead and plug in $34,000.”
ACERTO
BTC ▼
“Quando eu olho o gráfico de curto prazo e vejo o Bitcoin atacando $80,000,, não vejo o bullishness que muita gente vê.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $26,000
“If we were to continue at the current trajectory downwards until October, 2026, which is when we expect the bottom to be as per the four-year cycle, we'd be bottoming at around 26K.”
NULA
BTC ▼
“Eu acho que, baseada na análise de curto e médio prazo, a probabilidade de o bounce ter acabado, a probabilidade de o topo já estar formado ou se formar abaixo de $80,000 é na verdade bem alta.”
ACERTO
BTC ▼ → $60,000
“Até agora, estamos numa tendência macro de baixa, e então o rompimento de $60,000 parece mais provável do que não.”
“$36,000 price target I've been talking about, or the scenario that I've been talking about does make actually a lot of sense.”
“We've got about 5 days left for not only a drop to start, but 5 days left for us to reach the bottom of the next macro range.”
ERRO
BTC ▼ → $50,500
“Eu pessoalmente acho que ele ficaria em algum lugar entre $48,000 e $53,000, por vários motivos, que já foram destacados neste canal várias vezes.”
OPEN
BTC ▼
“I remain a strict believer, a firm believer, that we're going to be bottoming out in October, 2026 until something forces me to change that opinion.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“I think we're going to 36,000, this bear market or even lower than that, right? $32,000 to $36,000 in October.”
ERRO
BTC ▼ → $53,000
“E, você sabe, o jeito que isso vai acabar é obviamente continuarmos para baixo e rompermos abaixo de 60,000 para o nosso novo intervalo, que provavelmente ficará em torno de $53,000.”
“A gente sabe, é, provavelmente vai acontecer ao longo do próximo mês ou mais, só pela intuição.”
“if I'm forced at gunpoint to decide where Bitcoin would bottom in this bear market, I would still say somewhere between 32 and 38,000 dollars.”
NULA
BTC ▼
“a data que o ciclo de quatro anos sugere que o fundo será plantado no bear market vai ser outubro 2026”
ERRO
BTC ▼ → $53,000
“Eu ainda acho que o cenário de uma queda até $53,000 dentro do mês de fim de março, talvez abril, está muito em aberto.”
“we need to trust the one thing, that there's no examples of anything ever failing at all, which is the four-year cycle, the four-year cycle that so far suggests that Bitcoin is in a regular bear market”
“Eu suspeito que a próxima faixa de preço que o Bitcoin vai habitar vai ser em torno da região de suporte de $53,000 a $58,000.”
“I'm even more confident in my broader macro outlook of us being in a macro bear market that will end with the four-year cycle.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“I'll be discussing the $36,000 bottom scenario for this cycle”
ERRO
BTC ▼
“Acho que o cenário provável é a gente cair dentro do mês de março.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $34,000
“we should be buying 50% at an October retest specifically of a certain region that I think is likely to be the bottom, which would be $32 to $36,000”
ERRO
BTC ▲ → $80,000
“São cenários baseados em macro. Agora, dentro dessa faixa de 60 a 80, não há nada de macro aqui.”
“Se a gente perder 60,000, a gente vai cair pra 53K. Esse é o próximo alvo.”
“And if we plug in the cyclical bottom date range expectation, that would be October 2026. And the price of this channel in October 2026 would be around $36,000.”
ERRO
BTC ▼
“And obviously, it suggests we should go lower before we see any sort of bottom.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“Vamos apenas dizer que o Bitcoin cai para $36,000 no mercado de baixa, que é um argumento que eu já fiz algumas vezes agora.”
“E se perdêssemos essa região inteiramente, estaríamos caindo direto para perto de $53,000, como o perfil de volume sugere muito claramente.”
“a specific target of around 32 to 36,000, which I see as a very possible target. Not a certain target, not something I'm betting the chickens on.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $21,000
“a logical extension of that trajectory downwards that reaches October, 2026 would be Bitcoin reaching $21,000 in October, 2026.”
“If we know the date of the bottom as per 4-year cycle of October this year, we can simply plug in where the price would be. It would be about $35,000 in October this year.”
“Again, we lose that level at 69. We start crashing down into the mid-60s.”
“If we're going to be copying 2022, we continue chopping here for a certain period of time before going downwards.”
“And if we plug in that October bottom date range estimate into this channel, which has never failed, by the way, we would get a $36,000 Bitcoin in October.”
ACERTO
BTC ▼ → $74,000
“the major level that Bitcoin is targeting upon this breakdown is going to be around 74,000, maybe slightly higher.”
“If Bitcoin went up to that level and rejected from, showed signs of weakness and rejected from a 200-day simple moving average as well as that critical resistance block, yes, that would be a prime time opportunity for shorting.”
“If we see the bottom on October 2026, all we need to do is extrapolate the bottom side of this channel forward and see that that would line up with a price point of around $36,000”
“In our last cycle, this exact structure led to a drop to the downside. Will it do so again? Time will tell, but that's certainly what the pattern suggests.”
“And we seem to be moving to the downside right now, which means we are likely to see a bear market unless proved otherwise.”
“So long as Bitcoin is above this 100 exponential moving average, it is in dead cat bounce territory. And as you can see by looking at 2022, dead cat bounce territory is notoriously choppy.”
“That plausible roadmap essentially brings us to about $36,000 in October 2026.”
“If it can do this basically to simplify if it can just break massively to the upside here and continue that momentum momentum into all-time highs it would eventually break the cycle.”
“If it takes us to that level that will be a clear rejection zone through which Bitcoin will go downwards.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“the cycle says the bottom will be in October 2026. And this logarithmic regression channel extrapolated forward says that bottom will be at about $36,000.”
“I think we're probably in a bare market. I think the fourear cycle is probably still alive and I think we probably will continue downwards into 2026 until proven otherwise”
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