State of crypto predictions — January 2026
Final numbers for the month. 416 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 113 hit (27%) , 285 missed, 18 stopped out. 482 new calls were logged
by 97 channels (323 bullish, 149 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 69 of 228 hit 30% BTC ETH: 10 of 47 hit 21% ETH XRP: 8 of 20 hit 40% XRP TOTAL: 4 of 19 hit 21% TOTAL SOL: 4 of 14 hit 29% SOL ADA: 2 of 10 hit 20% ADA SUI: 3 of 9 hit 33% SUI LINK: 2 of 7 hit 29% LINK Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 228 69 30% ETH 47 10 21% XRP 20 8 40% TOTAL 19 4 21% SOL 14 4 29% ADA 10 2 20% SUI 9 3 33% LINK 7 2 29%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 6 of 37 hit 16% ≤7d 8–30d: 32 of 139 hit 23% 8–30d 31–90d: 69 of 189 hit 37% 31–90d 91–365d: 4 of 39 hit 10% 91–365d >1y: 2 of 12 hit 17% >1y Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 37 6 16% 8–30d 139 32 23% 31–90d 189 69 37% 91–365d 39 4 10% >1y 12 2 17%
Verdicts per day Jan 1: 30 verdicts 30 1 Jan 2: 21 verdicts 21 2 Jan 3: 5 verdicts 5 3 Jan 4: 9 verdicts 9 4 Jan 5: 18 verdicts 18 5 Jan 6: 11 verdicts 11 6 Jan 7: 12 verdicts 12 7 Jan 8: 12 verdicts 12 8 Jan 9: 7 verdicts 7 9 Jan 10: 10 verdicts 10 10 Jan 11: 10 verdicts 10 11 Jan 12: 8 verdicts 8 12 Jan 13: 30 verdicts 30 13 Jan 14: 14 verdicts 14 14 Jan 15: 22 verdicts 22 15 Jan 16: 9 verdicts 9 16 Jan 17: 2 verdicts 2 17 Jan 18: 8 verdicts 8 18 Jan 19: 12 verdicts 12 19 Jan 20: 17 verdicts 17 20 Jan 21: 14 verdicts 14 21 Jan 22: 4 verdicts 4 22 Jan 23: 5 verdicts 5 23 Jan 24: 5 verdicts 5 24 Jan 25: 13 verdicts 13 25 Jan 26: 10 verdicts 10 26 Jan 27: 5 verdicts 5 27 Jan 28: 11 verdicts 11 28 Jan 29: 17 verdicts 17 29 Jan 30: 19 verdicts 19 30 Jan 31: 46 verdicts 46 31
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit
“Three hundred dollars to three hundred and twenty. And I'm seeing a push up to at least 450 to five hundred dollars.”
Biggest miss Artyom Mikoshi ·
TRUMP ▲ → $400.00
· said Jan 21 · deadline Jan 21 · -88.7% “And in theory there could still be even 400-something. Basically it's not like some unrealistic thing.”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 269 ETH 40 XRP 27 TOTAL 22 ADA 17 SOL 16
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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