they said it. the market answered.
Trading these calls?Bybit code LD7WR4EHTX code zhdd2223

Jayson Casper prediction accuracy

youtube · 160,000 subscribers · channel ↗ · Discuss on the forum → · Your channel? Reply or correct → · last call Sep 24, 2026
B
20–29%
27% hit rate on deadlines
they set themselves (11)
3 hit7 missed
48%
all resolved (52)
38%
30-day direction (26)
79
calls logged
27
open right now
4
flips (30d)

Current stance · last 90 days

▲ ETH → $3,600
Sep 24 · open
▲ BTC → $93,000
Sep 24 · invalidated
▲ LINK → $20.00
Sep 22 · open
▲ SOL → $137.00
Sep 8 · open
▲ ZEC → $1,118
Sep 3 · hit

Is Jayson Casper accurate?

Grade B: on 11 predictions where Jayson Casper named the deadline themselves, the target was hit 27% of the time. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 38% of the time (26 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.

The record

BTCETHLINKSOLZEC
OPEN ETH ▲ → $3,600 (conditional) · Sep 24, 2026 · horizon 90d
“if Bitcoin is going to get another move up, I I know this sounds ridiculous, but I don't see why ETH can't come up to around 3600.”
price then $2,688 → still open · invalidation $2,433 · watch 32:40
VOID BTC ▲ → $93,000 · Sep 24, 2026 · horizon 90d
“this is encouraging for potentially Bitcoin coming up to the coveted mythical $90,000 level. More specifically, $93,000.”
price then $84,410 → $83,000 · -1.7% · invalidation $83,000 · watch 12:52
OPEN ETH ▲ · Sep 23, 2026 · horizon 90d
“I expect to see a bullish Ethereum.”
price then $2,685 → still open · watch 34:20
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · Sep 23, 2026 · horizon 90d
“if we drop back to 66,000, I will buy some Bitcoin there. Hmm, I'll buy some Bitcoin at a price of 66,000.”
price then $84,398 → still open · watch 11:15
OPEN BTC ▲ → $93,000 (conditional) · Sep 23, 2026 · horizon 90d
“If we can hold above that, I think we could easily continue up to the mid- 90s. Okay, to the mid-90s, let's use Fibonacci. Okay. And around $93,000, that's the next major resistance.”
price then $84,398 → still open · invalidation $81,000 · watch 25:07
OPEN LINK ▲ → $20.00 · Sep 22, 2026 · horizon 365d
“the next macro target is going to be around $20. Right? $20.”
price then $13.05 → still open · watch 63:26
OPEN BTC ▲ · Sep 17, 2026 · horizon 30d
“Am I still feeling bullish? I hate to say it. I hate to say it. I hate to say it. I do. But the truth, the truth, guys, is that, yeah, yeah, I'm still feeling bullish here.”
price then $76,417 → still open · watch 8:30
OPEN BTC ▼ → $73,500 · Sep 16, 2026 · horizon 90d
“At the very lowest, I want to come. 73.5. We're coming down to this support.”
price then $76,206 → still open · watch 8:21
OPEN BTC ▼ → $66,800 (conditional) · Sep 15, 2026 · horizon 90d
“If we cannot hold this zone, then my absolute prediction is that we're coming down to fill all this craziness. We're coming down to fill all the craziness to at least 66.8.”
price then $75,644 → still open · watch 24:34
OPEN ETH ▲ → $3,000 · restated 1× · Sep 14, 2026 · horizon 90d
“it wouldn't surprise me if we see another like squeeze to the upside, because we don't really have like resistance here until we're coming back up around 3000 or higher.”
price then $2,516 → still open · watch 55:24
OPEN BTC ▼ · Sep 14, 2026 · horizon 30d
“This green line here is really where we would expect the low to be coming in mid-October.”
price then $78,189 → still open · watch 20:54
VOID BTC ▲ → $83,000 · Sep 11, 2026 · horizon 90d
“Here we go. Here we go. Here we go. Here we go. 83K coming. It's possible, man. It's possible.”
price then $77,226 → $75,900 · -1.7% · invalidation $75,900 · watch 46:30
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Sep 09, 2026 · horizon 30d
“if this does break out we have ourselves a beautiful shoulder head and then once we break structure, we're looking for a higher high”
price then $78,306 → still open · watch 18:33
OPEN BTC ▲ → $95,000 · Sep 09, 2026 · horizon 90d
“The measured move based on this right here Is going to take us up to the mid 90s.”
price then $78,306 → still open · watch 16:55
HIT BTC ▲ → $80,000 · Sep 09, 2026 · horizon 90d
“We're gonna be talking about my bullish scenario as to why I think we could see eighty thousand dollars again”
price then $78,306 → $80,000 · +2.2% · watch 8:27
OPEN SOL ▲ → $137.00 · Sep 08, 2026 · horizon 30d
“If we get a pullback from here, you know, basically a nice dip below the POC into around 75 and then take it up to around 137. That's Solana is looking pretty good.”
price then $103.37 → still open · invalidation $75.00 · watch 71:02
OPEN ETH ▲ · restated 1× · Sep 08, 2026 · horizon 30d
“But sadly on ETH, guys, I mean, we have the same potentials here with daily. Actually, never mind. I'm joking. We don't have daily bearish divs here. ETH looks nicer than Bitcoin, but I still would have to say if ETH does start to lose the range at 2354, if we don't get a fake out, right? If we don't see something like this and then come back in and we don't see something like this accumulation pattern happening here, then sadly, we're probably going to come and backtest around 2000 or a little bit under $2,000 because that is the support resistance flip.”
price then $2,485 → still open · invalidation $2,354 · watch 47:09
VOID BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Sep 07, 2026 · horizon 90d
“As long as we do not close a daily candle below this key orange line, 75.6, the probabilities are actually highest that we do see Bitcoin create a new high.”
price then $79,112 → $75,600 · -4.4% · invalidation $75,600 · watch 1:02
OPEN BTC ▼ → $67,000 (conditional) · Sep 04, 2026 · horizon 90d
“will probably come back down towards basically, I hate to say it, but around the $67,000 zone.”
price then $79,661 → still open · watch 18:37
HIT BTC ▼ → $75,000 (conditional) · Sep 04, 2026 · horizon 90d
“All I'm saying is if we can't hold this green box that I have drawn out here, the probabilities and Jason Castro's prediction is that $75,000 is next.”
price then $79,661 → $75,000 · -5.8% · watch 21:25 touched $75,000 intraday, closed at $75,644
OPEN BTC ▼ · Sep 04, 2026 · horizon 30d
“This absolutely could be the start of something big. This could be the start of a big move to the downside.”
price then $79,661 → still open · watch 8:41
HIT ZEC ▲ → $1,118 · Sep 03, 2026 · horizon 14d
“It looks like the next target for zcash is 1118 and 50 cents On good old binance and then why not go to 1370 254 on binance?”
price then $952.69 → $1,118 · +17.4% · watch 58:55
OPEN ETH ▲ → $3,400 · Sep 03, 2026 · horizon 30d
“And potentially shooting up to the 3400 level which Is our next support resistance zone On the chart here. Let's go ahead and pull the fibonacci.”
price then $2,508 → still open · watch 39:10
VOID BTC ▲ → $83,000 · restated 1× · Sep 02, 2026 · horizon 90d
“It's very likely to come to $83,000. And potentially take us higher than that. Right. This could be a bull flag.”
price then $77,340 → $75,000 · -3.0% · invalidation $75,000 · watch 19:35
OPEN BTC ▲ · Sep 01, 2026 · horizon 90d
“We're gonna at least shoot for our 618 At least At least 77,600 For a TP1 77,600 for a TP1”
price then $77,439 → still open · invalidation $74,000 · watch 28:15
HIT BTC ▲ → $79,300 · restated 1× · Sep 01, 2026 · horizon 90d
“Where's the take profit $79,300 $79,300 $79,300 Alright We're gonna close 50% up there”
price then $77,439 → $79,300 · +2.4% · invalidation $74,000 · watch 25:38
OPEN BTC ▼ → $74,000 (conditional) · Aug 28, 2026 · horizon 90d
“If we come up here and we cannot close the daily candle above, for me, that is a short trade. Stop loss, entry on the candle close, the first target is going to be the backtest of $74,000.”
price then $77,846 → still open · watch 1:05
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 (conditional) · Aug 21, 2026 · horizon 90d
“if we don't get any kind of fake out, if we don't get any kind of rejection, our next target is absolutely going to be $100,000 Bitcoin”
price then $78,338 → still open · watch 9:15
OPEN BTC ▼ · restated 2× · Aug 16, 2026 · horizon 76d
“we are now looking for our October bottom and expecting the price to drop below $40,000.”
price then $62,900 → still open · watch 5:37
HIT BTC ▼ → $63,000 · Aug 12, 2026 · horizon 90d
“we have rejected from the POC of the range, which means the highest probability is we come down just below $63,000.”
price then $63,480 → $63,000 · -0.8% · watch 1:47 touched $63,000 intraday, closed at $63,491
OPEN BTC ▼ · Aug 04, 2026 · horizon 208d
“I am not going to buy again until after we lose $70,000. Check back in February to see if I'm smart or not.”
price then $64,107 → still open · watch 4:02
OPEN BTC ▼ → $40,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Jun 28, 2026 · horizon 94d
“And so if the same thing is going to repeat, we're looking at the end of September, beginning of October and the price dipping just below $40,000.”
price then $59,577 → still open · watch 6:41
MISS ETH ▲ → $2,400 (conditional) · Jun 22, 2026 · horizon 30d
“If we reclaim it, in my opinion, that is extremely bullish. We could potentially see a squeeze all the way back up to around $2,400.”
price then $1,728 → $1,934 · +11.9% · watch 7:16
MISS BTC ▲ → $68,000 (conditional) · restated 2× · Jun 22, 2026 · horizon 30d
“Now, if we reclaim $65,000, we're most likely going to come all the way back up to the top of the range around $68,000.”
price then $64,020 → $66,114 · +3.3% · watch 1:35
OPEN BTC ▲ → $180,000 · Jun 19, 2026 · horizon 365d
“And I'm going to give a conservative target of 180K for the next cycle.”
price then $63,544 → still open · watch 7:55
VOID BTC ▲ (conditional) · May 24, 2026 · horizon 30d
“Yes, I've taken the long trade from the setup given in the Casper crew VIP Discord. I told my community on the 18th that I'm building a swing long. I'm adding to swing longs. My invalidation is $74,000.”
price then $77,065 → $74,000 · -4.0% · invalidation $74,000 · watch 4:49
HIT BTC ▼ (conditional) · May 15, 2026 · horizon 90d
“I'd say it's very important right now that we reclaim 79.8 if we want to see more upside. And if not, I honestly do think that the lower price action now becomes more probable.”
price then $79,113 → $63,491 · -19.8% · invalidation $79,800 · watch 7:13
OPEN BTC ▼ → $50,000 · Apr 15, 2026 · horizon 180d
“my targets would be that you know before the end of the year naturally would be coming down below 50k and and obviously maybe 40 or even 30k depending on how aggressive the breakdown is”
price then $74,810 → still open · watch 18:07
MISS BTC ▲ → $90,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Apr 14, 2026 · horizon 90d
“If we happen to flip this into support, then I don't see why we actually can't come up towards the middle of this old range right here, towards maybe $90,000.”
price then $74,132 → $62,335 · -15.9% · watch 5:11
HIT BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Apr 14, 2026 · horizon 30d
“And now we're pumping faster and hotter than anyone's ever pumped before. Let me tell you folks, we're going to keep pumping and pumping and it's all because of you, Jason Casper.”
price then $74,132 → $81,090 · +9.4% · watch 0:31
HIT BTC ▼ (conditional) · restated 1× · Mar 29, 2026 · horizon 90d
“the highest probability is that you're going to make your way all the way back down to the bottom of that fair value zone.”
price then $66,011 → $60,029 · -9.1% · watch 2:06
OPEN BTC ▼ → $48,000 · Mar 22, 2026 · horizon 365d
“I would expect the pattern to continue. We range, and then maybe we get one last drop, dipping just around $48,000 before the next bull market happens.”
price then $67,859 → still open · watch 7:29
HIT BTC ▼ → $60,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Mar 19, 2026 · horizon 90d
“if you lose this value area low at 65,000, the highest probability is that we make a new macro low, and we take out the low at $60,000.”
price then $69,930 → $60,000 · -14.2% · watch 5:34 touched $60,000 intraday, closed at $61,056
MISS BTC ▼ · Mar 19, 2026 · horizon 3d
“The highest probability is that eventually, within the next few days, we make our way back down to the bottom of the range.”
price then $69,930 → $67,859 · -3.0% · watch 2:20
HIT BTC ▼ → $60,000 · Mar 15, 2026 · horizon 90d
“And the Bitcoin price might actually dump all the way back down to $60,000, depending on what happens here.”
price then $72,815 → $60,000 · -17.6% · watch 0:00 touched $60,000 intraday, closed at $61,056
VOID BTC ▲ → $80,000 (conditional) · Mar 13, 2026 · horizon 90d
“So right now, as long as we can hold this dang market structure, I expect a move up to $80,000.”
price then $70,930 → $70,700 · -0.3% · invalidation $70,700 · watch 4:14
HIT BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 2× · Mar 09, 2026 · horizon 30d
“if we pump up and then get a back test of that $68,000 level. And when we see that we dip below $68,000 and then start to bounce above, that gives us a very clear long signal.”
price then $68,432 → $71,070 · +3.9% · watch 7:41
HIT BTC ▲ → $82,000 (conditional) · Mar 09, 2026 · horizon 90d
“there's no reason why we cannot target the macro Fibonacci, which in this case would probably be around $82,000.”
price then $68,432 → $82,000 · +19.8% · watch 8:42 touched $82,000 intraday, closed at $81,447
HIT BTC ▲ → $74,000 (conditional) · restated 2× · Mar 04, 2026 · horizon 90d
“our target would have to be our first target would be the support resistance flip that we have all the way back on April 2025. Right? That's going to be right around $74,000 right over here”
price then $72,667 → $74,000 · +1.8% · watch 4:09
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 · Feb 25, 2026 · horizon 1461d
“I do not believe for certain that the bottom is in. >> Yeah. >> For Bitcoin. So, but it's like you said on your last video, uh last couple videos, you said >> for certain though, you're not buying a top. >> Yeah. >> Which you're buying at a 50% discount plus. So, for certain you're not buying a top. So, yeah. I you know, I would tell all the communities for sure. I'd start DCAing in. >> Yeah. >> I know for f And do you agree Bitcoin's top is not it's not 126, dude? No. No way. Bitcoin's going to a million dollars. I think Bitcoin's for I think for certain is going to a million dollars.”
price then $67,988 → still open · watch 36:58
HIT BTC ▲ → $74,000 · Feb 25, 2026 · horizon 7d
“I think this thing's going to rip. This is very very similar to this price action right in here. We could see, you know, this this momentum wave here. And then we also had, you know, these smaller momentum waves right in here. Money flow was fat. Tight RSIs. Really, really tight RSIs. Money flow just getting flat. We had one more dip. This momentum wave was created. I This one's going to do the same thing, I think. Dude, money flow just kind of gets flat like this. And then bang, we got ourselves this uh this bare market pump. And this looks very very identical. I mean, look, we just came came up just like that. I think that this is going to be, you know, very similar. or this thing is going to end up coming up to I'd say I mean this move right here dude was 15% on this money flow and um I think it's 15% right now I mean from this bottom dude is is right around $72,000 74 74 grand dude I think is going to be our first big hurdle”
price then $67,988 → $74,000 · +8.8% · watch 30:48 touched $74,000 intraday, closed at $72,667
MISS BTC ▼ (conditional) · restated 4× · Feb 25, 2026 · horizon 90d
“And probabilities would actually be highest that we make our way down towards the low of the fair value zone.”
price then $67,988 → $75,930 · +11.7% · watch 12:42
MISS BTC ▼ → $57,500 · Feb 25, 2026 · horizon 90d
“So right now, my next target for Bitcoin is actually going to be 57.5 at that high volume node.”
price then $67,988 → $75,930 · +11.7% · watch 13:45
MISS BTC ▼ → $50,000 · restated 1× · Feb 24, 2026 · horizon 90d
“I'm still calling for Bitcoin to lose $50,000 within the next few months during 2026.”
price then $64,058 → $77,322 · +20.7% · watch 2:45
MISS BTC ▲ · Feb 20, 2026 · horizon 30d
“You entered here. Your target was here. You were right. You knew we were going to get a move up.”
price then $68,020 → $67,859 · -0.2% · watch 3:07
HIT BTC ▼ · restated 1× · Feb 06, 2026 · horizon 30d
“I was calling for under $70,000 by February on Twitter.”
price then $70,580 → $65,971 · -6.5% · watch 1:07
MISS BTC ▼ → $35,000 (conditional) · Feb 05, 2026 · horizon 180d
“Between 30 and 40K. I'm not saying this number because I'm a Bitcoin bear. I'm saying this number because I'm a Bitcoin bull.”
price then $62,910 → $64,107 · +1.9% · watch 10:45
MISS BTC ▼ → $57,000 (conditional) · Feb 05, 2026 · horizon 90d
“If history repeats and this weekly money flow means the bottom is not in. Our next big buy target is $57,000.”
price then $62,910 → $81,447 · +29.5% · watch 8:45
MISS BTC ▲ → $96,400 (conditional) · Feb 03, 2026 · horizon 90d
“if we can get a break, a hold, maybe a bull flag, and then a move up above this level, that would change my bearish bias. Then I would have to look for a move back up towards $96,400.”
price then $75,770 → $79,861 · +5.4% · watch 10:15
MISS BTC ▲ → $84,500 (conditional) · Feb 03, 2026 · horizon 90d
“if we can reclaim $79,300, which is our very local resistance, then we should be aware of the potential of a move up to two areas. The first area is going to be $84,500.”
price then $75,770 → $79,861 · +5.4% · watch 9:41
HIT BTC ▼ · Jan 29, 2026 · horizon 90d
“remember guys, remember we have right now, in my opinion, another few months of sideways and down for Bitcoin.”
price then $84,650 → $75,780 · -10.5% · watch 3:04
HIT BTC ▼ → $80,000 (conditional) · Jan 29, 2026 · horizon 90d
“I think it's very likely if we don't reclaim this level right now, 85.4, that we visit $80,000 Bitcoin.”
price then $84,650 → $80,000 · -5.5% · invalidation $85,426 · watch 1:01
HIT BTC ▼ · Jan 27, 2026 · horizon 90d
“In my opinion, we are heading into a few months of sideways and down for Bitcoin before we see another big push to make a new all-time high.”
price then $89,250 → $77,371 · -13.3% · watch 4:50
HIT BTC ▼ → $80,000 (conditional) · Jan 27, 2026 · horizon 90d
“If we cannot hold 86.3, the probabilities are the highest that we will come down to take out the low at $80,000.”
price then $89,250 → $80,000 · -10.4% · watch 4:20
MISS BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Jan 22, 2026 · horizon 30d
“if the Bitcoin price can hold this level, well then the probabilities are actually highest that we make a new high.”
price then $89,560 → $67,976 · -24.1% · watch 0:30
HIT BTC ▼ (conditional) · restated 1× · Jan 19, 2026 · horizon 30d
“if we're going to lose this green box, then I am going to become bearish looking for much lower.”
price then $92,631 → $66,461 · -28.2% · watch 5:30
HIT BTC ▼ → $80,000 · Jan 19, 2026 · horizon 90d
“as the final target of the setup is all the way back down to the bottom of the range, taking out our low at $80,000.”
price then $92,631 → $80,000 · -13.6% · watch 2:00
HIT BTC ▼ (conditional) · Jan 17, 2026 · horizon 90d
“If we do reject on this bearish back test, then I expect us to come down to make new lows below the 80.5K lows.”
price then $95,148 → $77,072 · -19.0% · watch 18:04
HIT BTC ▼ → $80,500 · Jan 17, 2026 · horizon 90d
“I would still expect to come down to take out the 80.5K lows. That would also give us some really nice bullish divergence on the daily time frame”
price then $95,148 → $80,500 · -15.4% · invalidation $97,200 · watch 12:40
MISS BTC ▶ · restated 1× · Jan 13, 2026 · horizon 352d
“Overall for 2026, my prediction is this. We chop around in this range.”
price then $95,414 → $88,428 · -7.3% · watch 13:14
HIT BTC ▲ → $125,000 · restated 8× · Sep 03, 2025 · horizon 90d
“And in my opinion, this is a bounce that could absolutely result in Bitcoin hitting $125,000.”
price then $111,706 → $125,000 · +11.9% · watch 1:01 touched $125,000 intraday, closed at $123,482
MISS BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Aug 31, 2025 · horizon 7d
“we need to be watching for a 4hour candle hitting into this area dipping maybe a little below and then a 4hour candle close back above I'd say 1075.”
price then $108,246 → $111,137 · +2.7% · watch 9:52
MISS BTC ▼ · Aug 26, 2025 · horizon 30d
“I also let everybody know now I'm taking a short trade”
price then $111,763 → $108,994 · -2.5% · watch 5:44
MISS ETH ▲ · Aug 22, 2025 · horizon 30d
“And again, this is not financial advice, but I myself personally am absolutely heavily invested in Bitcoin um in ETH and Bitcoin, but ETH. I'm expecting new highs.”
price then $4,832 → $4,445 · -8.0% · watch 8:48
HIT BTC ▲ → $120,000 · restated 2× · Aug 22, 2025 · horizon 90d
“It means the probabilities right now say that our target is around $120,000. Probabilities are highest that we should come up and we we we come and touch that $120,000”
price then $116,936 → $120,000 · +2.6% · watch 4:55
MISS BTC ▲ · Aug 22, 2025 · horizon 26d
“So my hypothesis this whole time is that Friday, which is today, will initiate a big pump which will lead us into the middle of September around the 17th of September where we see a new all-time high”
price then $116,936 → $116,448 · -0.4% · watch 2:12
MISS BTC ▲ → $130,000 · Aug 22, 2025 · horizon 90d
“I think we could possibly hit our juicy target of $130,000 Bitcoin.”
price then $116,936 → $86,637 · -25.9% · watch 0:25
VOID BTC ▲ → $120,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Aug 18, 2025 · horizon 1d
“If we close the daily candle above 116.2, too. Well, this will be a very strong sign for Bitcoin because it means that indeed the market does consider anything below this area expensive. I'm sorry, cheap Bitcoin. This is a good time to buy. And now it's very likely we could see a move all the way back to at least $120,000, which is the top of the fair value zone.”
price then $116,227 → $116,200 · -0.0% · invalidation $116,200 · watch 3:06
MISS BTC ▲ · May 28, 2025 · horizon 30d
“I think we're going to probably pump, but this is obviously a potential.”
price then $107,782 → $107,048 · -0.7% · watch 6:47
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