they said it. the market answered.
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State of crypto predictions — August 2025

Final numbers for the month. 292 calls from tracked channels reached their deadline: 124 hit (42%), 156 missed, 12 stopped out. 365 new calls were logged by 65 channels (300 bullish, 58 bearish).
292
calls resolved
42%
hit rate
365
new calls logged
65
channels active

Hit rate by coin

BTC: 27 of 98 hit28%BTCETH: 38 of 53 hit72%ETHXRP: 7 of 20 hit35%XRPSOL: 10 of 19 hit53%SOLTOTAL: 9 of 16 hit56%TOTALADA: 6 of 8 hit75%ADALTC: 2 of 5 hit40%LTCDOGE: 2 of 5 hit40%DOGE
CoinResolvedHitHit rate
BTC982728%
ETH533872%
XRP20735%
SOL191053%
TOTAL16956%
ADA8675%
LTC5240%
DOGE5240%

Hit rate by horizon

≤7d: 16 of 25 hit64%≤7d8–30d: 50 of 140 hit36%8–30d31–90d: 46 of 104 hit44%31–90d91–365d: 10 of 18 hit56%91–365d>1y: 2 of 5 hit40%>1y
HorizonResolvedHitHit rate
≤7d251664%
8–30d1405036%
31–90d1044644%
91–365d181056%
>1y5240%

Verdicts per day

Aug 1: 7 verdicts71Aug 2: 5 verdicts52Aug 3: 4 verdicts43Aug 4: 2 verdicts24Aug 5: 6 verdicts65Aug 6: 9 verdicts96Aug 7: 7 verdicts77Aug 8: 13 verdicts138Aug 9: 20 verdicts209Aug 10: 15 verdicts1510Aug 11: 4 verdicts411Aug 12: 7 verdicts712Aug 13: 20 verdicts2013Aug 14: 11 verdicts1114Aug 15: 3 verdicts315Aug 16: 5 verdicts516Aug 17: 11 verdicts1117Aug 18: 4 verdicts418Aug 19: 9 verdicts919Aug 20: 10 verdicts1020Aug 21: 8 verdicts821Aug 22: 17 verdicts1722Aug 23: 5 verdicts523Aug 24: 9 verdicts924Aug 25: 19 verdicts1925Aug 26: 10 verdicts1026Aug 27: 5 verdicts527Aug 28: 16 verdicts1628Aug 29: 11 verdicts1129Aug 30: 7 verdicts730Aug 31: 13 verdicts1331

Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts

Best hit rate
ChannelHitResolved
We Trade Waves1313
Satoshi Stacker56
Ilya Mescheryakov811
MMCrypto57
Carl (The Moon)57
Worst hit rate
ChannelHitResolved
IKIGAI05
Crypto Love111
Crypto Casey18
That Martini Guy16
Crypto Falcon16

Biggest hit

Ben Simpson · BTC ▲ · said Aug 05 · deadline Aug 05 · +111.3%
“I do still think we see you know a really positive Bull Run maybe later this year but ultimately my my my always my viewpoint has been middle to late next year”

Biggest miss

Artyom Mikoshi · DOGS ▲ · said Aug 28 · deadline Aug 28 · -90.3%
“I think that this project's market cap will be above 10 billion.”

What was called

CoinNew calls
BTC108
ETH91
SOL24
XRP13
TOTAL12
LINK11
Method: how calls are logged and judged · data: open data · all reports →
Cite as: Oracle Check, “State of crypto predictions — August 2025”, oraclecheck.com/report/2025-08.html