Ben Simpson prediction accuracy
A+
≥ 40%
61%
40%
all resolved (48)
52%
30-day direction (50)
63
calls logged
15
open right now
0
flips (30d)
Current stance
▲ BTC
Sep 22 · open
▲ HYPE
Sep 1 · open
Is Ben Simpson accurate?
Grade A+: on 23 predictions where Ben Simpson named the deadline themselves, the target was hit 61% of the time. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 52% of the time (50 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
The record
OPEN
BTC ▲
“We could see Bitcoin move very rapidly above that but, you know, will that happen before the end of the year? I think it's probably about a 30 or 40% likelihood that we do by the end of this year.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $180,000
“even the 200-week moving average puts Bitcoin at the $360,000 level, right? In four years' time, $180,000, okay? That's a 30% CAGR.”
OPEN
BTC ▲
“I think a more conservative view of sort of $200,000 to $300,000 US dollars is the range that I'm looking at.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $254,000
“but our different calculations assumed from the lows, not today's entry. So those lows pushing a model of a Bitcoin price, in my opinion, around that sort of the $254,000 mark to maybe the $300,000 USD, okay?”
“we could see us in an all-time high point within the next two or three months”
“I think if we get back to the bull market really in gear, the psychological levels of Bitcoin hitting $100,000, I think we could start to see the momentum shift back towards Bitcoin and crypto.”
OPEN
HYPE ▲
“All right? That is why it's so popular and that is where the revenue gets created. So Hyperliquid is a buy for me.”
“We're coming out of the end of this bear market into this next phase of the bull market.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $300,000
“I believe Bitcoin is going towards $300,000 in the next four years.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $334,000
“but it gives you about $334,000 if you look at 1.8x in private markets with the NBRV ratio”
“This gives me a lot of confidence that as the market starts to recover and Bitcoin continues to recover, that hyperliquid will do well as well.”
MISS
BTC ▶
“Based on the current market and the way we had a big sell-off late last year, I expect us to probably range here for up to 12 months.”
MISS
HYPE ▲
“right now, you know, I'm very bullish on Hyperlquid.”
MISS
XRP ▲
“just got in a negative two-star review from a guy that apparently had a sales call and didn't like the fact that we said XRP might only 2X from here.”
OPEN
TOTAL ▲
“For altcoins, we believe most of the good altcoins should 2 to 3x from here.”
“I believe Bitcoin's going to hundreds of thousands, if not a million dollars in the future.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $180,000
“For Bitcoin right now, our price targets are around $150,000 to $180,000.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $150,000
“For Bitcoin right now, our price targets are around $150,000 to $180,000.”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $180,000
“My price target for this cycle for Bitcoin based on on-chain analysis, previous cycles, etc. is to about $150,000 and $180,000.”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $150,000
“My price target for this cycle for Bitcoin based on on-chain analysis, previous cycles, etc. is to about $150,000 and $180,000.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $1,100,000
“That would put the price range somewhere in the realm of 1.1 million US dollars per Bitcoin.”
MISS
XRP ▲
“we're actually bullish on XRP and we've got a full analysis.”
MISS
SYRUP ▲
“I would argue that DeFi does not have a narrative right now and that's why I think this has a long way to go as well”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $150,000
“I do think around that $150,000 level for Bitcoin is going to be somewhere near the top. And guess what? We're probably not far off that, especially if we have another leg up. We could be there later this year.”
OPEN
BTC ▲
“I do think that Bitcoin is just going to continue to grind higher over the next few years.”
MISS
ETH ▶
“We haven't even seen ETH hit all-time highs. In fact, ETH is about the same as where it's been the last four years”
“I think we're going to chop sideways here for a little bit.”
“next year layer one Solana sui e very very bullish on”
“I do believe that the market will return.”
“Hype is one that I'm really bullish on.”
“we really need Bitcoin to continue growing higher grinding higher”
HIT
BTC ▲ → $120,000
“I do think we're going to need to see Bitcoin really head into territories like that sort of maybe 120, 130, 150 level even.”
“I believe personally, the ETH BTC, you know, chart will bottom at some stage very, very soon. Things will turn and Ethereum look to go on a massive resurgence in 2025.”
“I do believe it's going to continue rocketing on.”
“I think a lot of people are misunderstanding the supply and demand economics of why Bitcoin will continue to go up and in my opinion, head into the hundreds of thousands in the years to come.”
HIT
BTC ▲ → $100,000
“Hopefully the East BTC pair bottoms and a hundred thousand dollar Bitcoin is here by the time this video goes live.”
HIT
ADA ▼
“Cardano would have to hit beyond Ethereum's previous all time market cap of about half a trillion to hit this price prediction, which I just, it's just not going to happen in my opinion.”
HIT
XRP ▼
“The idea that he thinks that XRP can get to $12 is ridiculous. XRP would essentially need to get to like the market cap of Ethereum... which is just not going to happen.”
MISS
JUP ▲
“Back to that supply and token economics piece, really, really important when you're looking at fundamental projects. It has a fixed supply shock. So a big concern with Jupiter was the large amount of token unlocks that would have hit the market. So, and basically what they did recently was that the Jupiter's co-founder proposed a 30% reduction in the total Jupiter supplies, which is massive, right? 30% he proposed to basically cut, including a voluntary 30% cut to the team's Jupiter application allocation as well, and a 30% decrease in the Juperi emission. So this is huge because essentially it's going to, you know, cut the new tokens coming into the market all at once, and really, you know, lower the sell pressure of these tokens.”
“I don't think we're going to start to reverse that until perhaps Q1 next year in early 2025 based on where we are in the market.”
“I do think ethereum will break out probably in the next couple of months”
“I'm sort of eyeing off you know same with the team around that 120,000 $130,000 Mark as we start to get there I do think Bitcoin will start to cool off”
“I think we could be, you know, into a hundred thousand, you know, before Christmas.”
“I do think we're going around that sort of5 $600 Mark”
MISS
ETH ▲ → $9,000
“I think ethereum is going somewhere around that sort of8 and a half 9,000 range maybe we get to 10,000 who knows”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $150,000
“essentially we've sort of landed around that $150,000 market for Bitcoin”
HIT
BTC ▲ → $100,000
“It's going over 100k probably before Christmas at this rate um based on everything I'm seeing”
“at a minimum I think we're going up another you know maybe maybe 2x right just based on where we are here”
MISS
TOTAL ▲ → $6T
“And then a minimum case, I think we could get over to $6 trillion.”
“I think the only real layer one blockchains that will really survive and do well in this cycle is the next gen layer one so um that would be uh ethereum salana also you know abdos sui these sort of projects are going to do really well”
HIT
SOL ▲
“I think the only real layer one blockchains that will really survive and do well in this cycle is the next gen layer one so um that would be uh ethereum Solana also you know abdos sui these sort of projects are going to do really well”
HIT
ETH ▲
“I think the only real layer one blockchains that will really survive and do well in this cycle is the next gen layer one so um that would be uh ethereum salana also you know abdos sui these sort of projects are going to do really well”
“I think bitcoin could get to somewhere near 140 or 150 000 us dollars and then phase two kicks in”
“if Trump gets elected I think Bitcoin hits $100,000 US this year”
MISS
ETH ▲
“I think eth will start to outperform so I think the eth all coins will start to perform soon”
HIT
TOTAL ▲
“I believe that's also going to line up with the four-year cycle to push the price of crypto up over the next 12 to 18 months.”
“I believe later this year, into 2024, into 2025, we're going to start to see Bitcoin really start to increase its value and growth based on previous bull cycles, and just ultimately with that four-year cycle.”
MISS
SOL ▲
“I think these ones are going to perform really well”
MISS
ETH ▲
“I think these ones are going to perform really well”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $150,200
“I believe Bitcoin one day will get to 1502 200,00 and correct back to $80 or $90,000”
HIT
BTC ▲
“I do still think we see you know a really positive Bull Run maybe later this year but ultimately my my my always my viewpoint has been middle to late next year”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $200,000
“I fully expect Bitcoin to go to 150,000 us maybe 200,000 us and then retrace and fall back 50 60% in the next bare market”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $150,000
“I fully expect Bitcoin to go to 150,000 us maybe 200,000 us and then retrace and fall back 50 60% in the next bare market”
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