Grade C: on 32 predictions where Aaron Dishner aka Moonin Papa named the deadline themselves, the target was hit 19% of the time. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 25% of the time (88 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
“A pullback to the fast line at $2,562. We'll probably see a bounce back up to TBO resistance for a 9% move at $2,789. I wouldn't be surprised about that at all.”
“does this mean that if we get a pullback right here to our fast line and it rips up higher to $90,000, does that mean that we are not fully allocated in the move?”
“Because we have that realistic pump high, it's giving us a target. So that's why it's called a predictive wick. It's showing us where we're going to be heading to next.”
“zen tbo breakout confirmed on friday above tbo resistance yes resistance moved up again it's going to happen over and over this just means that it's a very strong bullish uptrend”
“uniswap still looking very strong yes it's chopping it does this quite a bit actually it did the same thing back over here in july at the end of july and then it retraced back to the fast line had a dip but then it ripped back over here did not stall in the beginning of september it fell 19 before pumping up a lot higher”
“avalanche good grief again patience pays avax has been so boring that all of a sudden in friday nice eight percent move closing above tbo resistance then saturday to sunday up 40 percent tbo breakout confirmed on sunday working on a second one today”
“zikash putting in yet again a lower high on rsi and a higher high on the chart isn't it interesting to see the price on friday and saturday respecting the 2.272 fibonacci extension level if it can close above it the next target is 2622”
“stark net pumping is this an alternate universe that i've somehow drifted into with stark net pumping 52 on friday closing up a percent on saturday but having a higher high at 0.048 sunday up to 0.0509”
“jupiter um two tbo breakouts confirmed one on saturday closing above resistance one higher on sunday see this dotted line right here we're gonna be seeing stuff like this happen a lot it is now pushed above the second resistance fan line”
“Velodrome, still strong bullish. As long as that slow line on the TBO, the daily timeframe is pointing up, it's good to go. The next target is at 0.02679, and you know the deal. If it closes above that, we continue pushing up higher and harder.”
“Dash moved up 8% yesterday. And notice where it stopped. It waked into the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level at $61.69. It needs to move up just another 10% to TBO resistance at 66.40 to fulfill our TBO springboard bounce. I believe, I believe it's going to happen.”
“If Bitcoin closes lower, Ethereum will follow. It will go inside of the fair value gap, and then the real next level of support is down here at $2,218, the 0.786 level.”
“Now, Ethereum, on the other hand, as the thumbnail showed you, had a crazy pump yesterday, much bigger than expected, shooting up almost 10% to 2665. It still didn't close above resistance, though. A huge upper wick like that, I'm very tempted to call this a predictive wick, meaning that this is where we're going to be heading to next. It's”
“Once the price loses $76,706 at the 0.786, I know it's a lot of 7.6s. Not saying it the other way. Yep, I caught myself. Once that happens, then we're most likely going to be taking a quick dip down to 72K.”
“But what happens when we drop below this pivot right here from the 23rd at 75,545? I think we're going to see the price start to collapse pretty fast.”
“if I'm right, and the price goes up and we fall back lower inside the cloud, which is what this is telling us is gonna happen next, then the next real level to keep an eye on is 72K.”
“If we're going to keep the party going, Bitcoin needs to bounce off of the fast line and shoot back up, moving above newly lowered TBO resistance at $80,400, whatever, $443. That's going to be the bullish uptrend that we need.”
“If Bitcoin can reclaim above $80,443 today, then that tells us that we have a very strong bullish uptrend that will continue pushing up a lot higher.”
“Solana dominance went up a lot yesterday, Sunday, 2.42%. And others dominance, surprise, surprise, popped a lot higher. It's almost like someone's been warning you guys. Hey, I think we're going to see others, everything below top 10, have a little bit of a rally coming up this weekend.”
“It could happen this week on a significant pullback, but that would have to be later in the week, like Friday, which could happen. But the main thing is that, again, it's holding above the 0.5 FIB level. It still hasn't tagged that fast line. It's very bullish still.”
“It's not a really good or pretty picture. Is on balance volume bullish? It is. Did volume exceed the moving average? It did. But yesterday was a pullback. And again, a very minor one.”
“tbo resistance dropped from 704 to 694 it's only a drop of like what 10 bucks it's not that big a deal but it tells us that it is most likely going to drop into the cloud next and go down a little bit lower”
“One thing to just keep in the back of your brain for Ethereum is that we have this closed short. This closed short, the orange diamond, tells us that we are due for a pullback, a return to the fast line.”
OPENBTC ▼ → $73,000(conditional)· Aug 29, 2026 · horizon 30d
“If it can hold above the 786, it's looking good. It's okay. If that doesn't hold, then obviously the next touch is going to be the TBO Fast line, which is just above $73,000.”
“Now, the total ES chart, total crypto market cap, excluding stables, pushed up again to TBO resistance at 2.4 trillion on the daily timeframe. But, the bigger move is actually closing successfully above the 382 FIB level, indicating, I mean, a close above that level is much different, much more different compared to all these WICs. So, that's a pretty big deal. Again, very overbought, exceptionally strong bullish on the weekly. It's very bullish. It's slated right now unless something happens with Jackson Hole Friday, US time, that's today, but we'll see, which would cause everything to crash and then we see this as a pivot. But, for now, things are looking very, very, very, very bullish.”
“Statistically speaking, it's due for a pullback. Whether it means one poke up to test TBR resistance or historical support, which would be a pretty insane move, to be honest, for multiple reasons. But it's due for a pullback.”
“Same thing for SUI same thing for DOT which also confirmed it opened long on Tuesday same thing for Quant same thing for Flare same thing for Terra Luna on Tuesday yes Luna Classic yes I'm actually sharing this chart I know I know and it printed a second one yesterday”
“And we still have that fast line down about 10 or 11% at $2,200. On the four-hour, yeah, we have that TPT bearish divergence like we just looked at, but things are still very bullish for Ethereum.”
“I believe that the next pullback will fall down below the 0.76 FIB level at $76,700, which isn't that far. You can see the price respecting it. It fell back to it on Saturday. Bounced off of it on Sunday and closed above. But I think that's the next level to fall below. And by the time this happens, we'll see the price come down here to the 618 at 72K”
MISSETH ▼ (conditional)· Aug 26, 2026 · horizon 18d
“if ethereum were just to hold sideways in about 18 days it's going to have to figure out is it going to bounce off support and the likelihood is no it'll most likely have a pullback and drop and lose these levels of support”
“We know that we have a closed sell position from last week's candle. Our target here on the weekly speed line is $2081. Any decline of 16%. That's a significant decline indeed. But it's not illogical. Once again, these closed sales and purchasing centers are compensated. So, I'm not saying this will happen today. I'm not saying anything like that , but don't rule it out .”
“I still believe we may see a drop below the $57,800 level. I think we may drop to our realized price, which is still actually less than $53,000. If this bear market cycle does not reach that level, it will be a huge anomaly. Huge. Well, I'm not saying we're definitely going there. But let me explain it this way. I don't think it's unreasonable to see Bitcoin visit the $49,000 level. I still believe this is a valid goal. It's an ambitious goal. A decrease of 38%. It's not impossible . If we can rise by 25 or 26% in one week, we can also fall faster and more hard than people think.”
“What will be the target of this retreat? Well, ultimately, the speed line is at $70,400. If we use short- term Fibonacci retracements, isn't it exciting and surprising how the price retraces and bounces off the 786 Fibonacci support level at $76.76? That's a lot of numbers, sevens. Now , the next obvious support level will be here at 618 at 72k, because I don't think Bitcoin will suddenly crash by 10 or 11% today, which would be completely abnormal . Don't count on it happening. What will most likely happen, in my estimation, is that we will see a lot of fluctuation, and perhaps rise a little to 82,000, but we will face rejection from there. We will lose the 786 level, then climb up to test it, and eventually return to the 618 level. That would be the best possible scenario.”
“one reason why i like them is that instead of just having a hard and fixed one level of support because we have incrementally more vertical levels of support or resistance it gives us short-term targets to watch for so that immediate short-term target today because price is only going to go up and down it's not going to go to the right yet bitcoin would have to fall down to 68 300 in order to actually lower than that 60 basically below 68k today to break this first level of support it's not going to happen bitcoin's not going to drop all of a sudden 12 something really bad would have to happen to cause that um so just hear me out but after having such a big move remember what i said about the fast line now the fast line is still or rather the price is very overextended from the fast line right now it's at 69 300 or so so it's about 12 give or take away from the fast line just like back over here when things were crazy overextended from the fast line like 20 inevitably we saw the price come up and tag that fast line okay same concept same idea except different direction way back over here in june all right so the same thing will happen over here in the current day and current time it's just a matter of when when is that going to happen”
“it is a historical trend line that we can use it's it's a pretty big deal in terms of our 2026 fibs um going from the top over here in october 2025 to the low in 2026 june uh we're right here at the 382 fib level so not that the 0.382 fibonacci level is of major significance it's just a fibonacci retracement level i'm not trying to downplay it at all but it is a level of support or resistance and especially the further out we go in terms of time zooming out even more it's it's definitely going to be a much stronger level now we already know in terms of our short-term fibs on friday just shot right back above it's actually holding above the the 786 fib level so we have this zone right here it's not perfectly overlapping like it was back over here 69k which trust me i know it just bop um just zippity dood right through that so now that we're looking at btc here it's like okay well we found some level of well not not contention it's too early to say contention but the price is stalling for obvious reasons because again last week one week alone wick to wick up almost 27 is ridiculous it's insane last week's rsi again on friday shot up to 94.83 the last time we saw it this high i believe it was in october 2023 if i'm not mistaken it's right back over here yep october 2023 when that actually started the massive massive rally in 2023 which was a recovery year we're still in a bottom year in 2026 just like 2022 is a bottom year then 2023 is recovery year that's going to be 2027 for us note that throughout the recovery year in january over here we had a really crazy rally that started off and by this time bitcoin had already shot up like 69 70 after bottoming out in november okay so so in terms of volume which is the next thing we need to take a sober look at friday's volume was amazing 3.4 billion dollars which is crazy it's bigger than what we saw back over on friday june 5th on that dump it's great i mean it's on par with these other really big moves not quite on par with what we saw back in february but it's still a really really good show of volume obviously on balance volume is very bullish the moving average is moving up a ton um now what about the weekly the weekly interestingly enough it's done a couple of things that are really good i don't want to downplay this at all um i'm genuinely surprised that we didn't get a tbo close short uh one of these orange guys right here very surprised actually that we didn't get one of those or a tbt bullish diversions which is different from the tbo so i'm quite surprised that we didn't get that but a massive move again a 23 close and inside of the cloud is a big deal really big deal also weekly rsi just so you know it did crack above 70 for last week's close at 70.67 that's a big deal the last time we were overbought on rsi was back in july 2025 over a year ago it's it's a really big deal what do we know about rsi being overbought and oversold on the weekly we know that when it's overbought on the weekly that we are more likely to continue staying bullish than we are to have the chart just reverse back down right away vice versa when we are very oversold on rsi we know that we're more likely to continue to go lower and lower so we have basically momentum confirmation that btc can continue to push up higher for this week we'll see in terms of weekly volume last week's volume exceeded the 30 week moving average here at eight point sorry 9.3 billion so it was at 13.1 billion the last time it was this high was of course in june so it's a significant move i'm not trying to downplay anything i'm literally just showing you the charts okay we did see something similar to this back in 2022 a couple of times um in 2022 the first big one we saw was back over here in may then another one here in june and then volume really picked up and then binance realized that oh we can't inflate our numbers and then they stopped and then all of a sudden magically volume dropped from one week being 105 billion to two weeks later down to 14 billion oh it's funny oh i wonder how that that's so weird anyway um”
price then $78,993
→ $82,000 · +3.8% · invalidation $68,300 · watch 5:00touched $82,000 intraday, closed at $81,270
“it could actually drift up a little bit higher because it's already surpassed a massive level of resistance at $2,000. So, it could shoot up just a little bit more to tag that resistance level, and after that, it's like, well, we'll see.”
“If for some reason, Bitcoin's price action does not retrace, at least more than half, and we see this just holding, we should expect then, therefore, the price of BTC to go up to that $72,000 target that I shared before. This one up here.”
price then $73,025
→ $77,075 · +5.5% · watch 10:39
“If we have a massive capitulation flush for BTC, which would mean losing, Bitcoin losing $57,800, which is likely, and then we go down to that 49k target, right? That should drop Totally S's RSI down to this 15 range.”
price then $64,532
→ $76,206 · +18.1% · watch 10:19
“my next lower artificial support target for BTC is 49K, which is below the realized price, which is actually going to be a great area to start accumulating once BTC drops down there.”
“a good target will be the 1.0 level, which is at 59.412, if things get crazy, then going up there to 60 bucks, another 7%, which would be the top of the cloud, that's pretty encouraging”
“Okay. I had said before that it could go to $38,555. That's honestly the best case scenario, because if BTC actually goes down that low, let me go to the weekly timeframe to make, to make the point even clearer.”
price then $63,491
→ $77,279 · +21.7% · watch 2:53
“And then we'll see the price break below 60K, break below $57,800. And then go down to our next target, which is all the way down here at $49,000. So from the current price right now, I still think we have another 22% to go to hit $49,000, which I think is a very reasonable target.”
price then $63,491
→ $77,279 · +21.7% · watch 2:39
“I've been leaning bearish on Ethereum. This is actually a good setup for a short. I know you might think that's crazy. Yes, it could shoot up 6-7%. So you'll have to use low leverage for that and also manage your risk. You'll want to make sure you're using or like getting at least 3-1 in terms of your risk-to-reward ratio. So if you're wanting to open a low leverage position here, you need to be at least trying to take profit. I mean, 3-1 is going to be right there. Basically, at the previous low. That's perfect. 3 right there. At 15.07. Which is still possible. That's a drag of a fall of 19%. Totally doable. It's not unreasonable at all.”
“We're going to see a nice drop heading all the way back down to 15... oh, something or other. What is this over here? 15... 1512. Actually, it's lower than that. 1505.”
“The next thing to happen is taking out, this one is 61K down to 61,300,000. Sorry, 61,303. That number right there. We're going to see BTC eventually fall down.”
price then $63,520
→ $77,340 · +21.8% · watch 2:06
“a good range would be here, which is the 1010 dump, 1010 low. If I can actually get it, oh my gosh. A buck, $140, which from the current price is another drop of about 27%.”
“It looks like it's going to lose support and it will fall down, sorry, lose resistance, fall inside the cloud, fall well at this 236 and inevitably fall down here to 64 bucks.”
“So, I'm still expecting Ethereum to go a lot lower, and Bitcoin to go a lot lower. We could still get one more tease up, but trust me, the tides are changing.”
“If things get as disastrous as I've been predicting, I mean, if Bitcoin goes down to $38,555 before October, that would be actually deeper than 38%, but this represents everything.”
“But keep in mind, Trump will lose this $1.50 support level that was established back on the 10-10 dump. Once that happens, dump-a-roni. It should go down below a dollar. Easy. That's only”
“I think we're going to see near tumble down here towards weekly TBO support at 95 cents, which would be a steal for a chart that has previously done very well.”
“And I still think that we have a gap to fill from this pump that happened here in November 2024, which would be another 47% drop down to below 60 cents.”
“I still think that Ethereum could fall. Let's see from like $2,000, not just down here, 24% to the $1,500 target, not even down here to $1,385, like down here towards $1,073.”
“I'm talking, like, down to, like, $49,000, which is the next target, which would be, like, 30% drawdown from that target, or $38,555, which would be about 43% without leverage.”
“I'm actually expecting Uniswap to lose that level of support. This is starting to be a really good short setup because Uniswap should fall all the way down here to like 250.”
“while i still think it's very possible for btc to push up higher before the end of the month um it is currently july 23rd uh last i checked july ends a week from tomorrow well tokyo time it ends a week from tomorrow so that's the timeline again”
“i still think that we're going to see one more bounce for soul dot d but i'm not sure when it's going to happen but i think that we will see dominance flow back to solana”
“inevitably what we're going to see is bitcoin go lower even though i do think we will have a good month july should be green i still expect bitcoin to hit at least 49 000”
“I still think that Bitcoin can make its way all the way up to the fast line Before the end of this month and again, not that it will be an extended rallying I still think it's just going to be a one-month move one and done move on”
“And then we roll over. Again, my target for July is over here on the weekly fast line, which is currently at $71,145. So that's another 12% higher from the start of the month.”