19%rasio tepat pada tenggat mereka tetapkan sendiri (32)
6 tepat25 meleset
21%
semua yang terselesaikan (72)
25%
arah 30 hari (88)
149
prediksi yang tercatat
77
masih terbuka sekarang
8
berubah pikiran (30 hr)
Posisi saat ini · 90 hari terakhir
▲ ICP → $3.35
28 Sep · terbuka
▲ SUI → $1.28
28 Sep · terbuka
▲ BTC
26 Sep · terbuka
▲ INJ → $11.85
25 Sep · terbuka
▲ LTC → $131.00
25 Sep · terbuka
▲ AR
24 Sep · terbuka
▲ BNB
24 Sep · terbuka
▲ PENDLE → $2.80
24 Sep · terbuka
Apakah Aaron Dishner aka Moonin Papa akurat?
Grade C: pada 32 prediksi di mana Aaron Dishner aka Moonin Papa menentukan tenggat sendiri, target tercapai 19% dari waktu. Sebulan setelah setiap prediksi arah, harga bergerak seperti yang dikatakan 25% dari waktu (88 prediksi). Setiap prediksi di bawah dikutip, didatangkan, dan dihargai.
“Pullback ke fast line di $2,562. Kita mungkin akan melihat bounce balik ke resistensi TBO untuk gerakan 9% di $2,789. Saya nggak akan heran sama sekali kalau begitu.”
“apakah ini berarti bahwa jika kita mendapatkan pullback tepat di sini ke garis cepat kita dan ia naik tajam ke atas ke $90,000, apakah ini berarti bahwa kita tidak sepenuhnya teralokasi dalam gerakan ini?”
“Karena kita memiliki pompa realistis yang tinggi, itu memberi kita target. Itu sebabnya disebut prediksi wick. Ini menunjukkan ke mana kita akan berheading ke depan.”
“zen tbo breakout terkonfirmasi pada jumat di atas tbo resistance ya resistance naik lagi ini akan terjadi berulang-ulang ini hanya berarti bahwa ini adalah uptrend bullish yang sangat kuat”
“uniswap masih terlihat sangat kuat ya ini chopping ia melakukan ini cukup sering sebenarnya ia melakukan hal yang sama kembali di sini di juli pada akhir juli lalu ia menarik kembali ke garis cepat mengalami penurunan tapi kemudian ia kembali naik di sini tidak stagnan di awal september ia turun 19 sebelum naik jauh lebih tinggi”
“avalanche good grief lagi kesabaran membayar avax telah sangat membosankan sehingga tiba-tiba pada jumat gerakan delapan persen yang bagus menutup di atas tbo resistance lalu sabtu sampai minggu naik 40 persen tbo breakout terkonfirmasi pada minggu sedang mengerjakan satu lagi hari ini”
“zikash lagi-lagi membentuk lower high pada RSI dan higher high pada grafik, tidak menarikkah untuk melihat harga pada Jumat dan Sabat menghormati level ekstensi Fibonacci 2.272 jika ia bisa menutup di atasnya maka target berikutnya adalah 2622”
“stark net pumping ini ini alternatif alam semesta yang aku tiba-tiba terjerat di dalamnya dengan stark net pumping 52 pada Jumat menutup naik satu persen pada Sabtu tapi memiliki high yang lebih tinggi pada 0.048 Minggu naik hingga 0.0509”
“jupiter um dua tbo breakouts terkonfirmasi satu pada sabtu menutup di atas resistance satu lebih tinggi pada minggu lihat garis putus-putus ini di sini kita akan sering melihat hal seperti ini terjadi sekarang ini telah diendorong di atas garis fan resistance kedua”
“Velodrome, masih bullish kuat. Selama garis lambat pada TBO, timeframe harian masih menunjuk ke atas, ini baik untuk lanjut. Target berikutnya ada di 0.02679, dan kamu tahu caranya. Jika ia menutup di atas itu, kita terus mendorong naik lebih tinggi dan lebih kuat.”
“Dash naik 8% kemarin. Dan perhatikan di mana ia berhenti. Ia masuk ke level retracement Fibonacci 0.382 pada $61.69. Ia perlu naik lagi hanya 10% lagi untuk mencapai resistensi TBO pada 66.40 agar memenuhi bounce papan lompat TBO kita. Saya yakin, saya yakin ini akan terjadi.”
harga lalu $57.69 → $66.40 · +15.1% · pantau 26:35
“Jika Bitcoin menutup lebih rendah, Ethereum akan mengikutinya. Ia akan masuk ke dalam gap nilai wajar, dan kemudian level dukungan nyata berikutnya berada di sini di bawah pada $2,218, level 0.786.”
“Sekarang, Ethereum, sebaliknya, seperti yang ditunjukkan oleh thumbnail, mengalami pump yang gila kemarin, jauh lebih besar dari yang diharapkan, naik hampir 10% hingga 2665. Ia masih tidak menutup di atas resistensi, meski itu. Shadow atas yang besar seperti itu, saya sangat tergoda untuk menyebut ini sebagai shadow prediktif, yang berarti ini adalah tempat kita akan menuju ke depan. Ini”
“Setelah harga kehilangan $76,706 di 0.786, saya tahu ini banyak 7.6s. Saya tidak mengatakan dengan cara lain. Yep, saya menyadari diri sendiri. Setelah itu terjadi, maka kita kemungkinan besar akan melakukan penurunan cepat ke 72K.”
harga lalu $77,279 → $78,189 · +1.2% · pantau 1:03
“But what happens when we drop below this pivot right here from the 23rd at 75,545? I think we're going to see the price start to collapse pretty fast.”
“jika saya benar, dan harga naik lalu kita jatuh kembali lebih rendah di dalam awan, yang ini memberitahu kita akan terjadi selanjutnya, maka level nyata berikutnya yang perlu diperhatikan adalah 72K.”
“If we're going to keep the party going, Bitcoin needs to bounce off of the fast line and shoot back up, moving above newly lowered TBO resistance at $80,400, whatever, $443. That's going to be the bullish uptrend that we need.”
“If Bitcoin can reclaim above $80,443 today, then that tells us that we have a very strong bullish uptrend that will continue pushing up a lot higher.”
harga lalu $78,456 → $78,306 · -0.2% · pantau 2:36
“Dominansi Solana naik banyak kemarin, Minggu, 2.42%. Dan dominansi others, surprise surprise, melonjak jauh lebih tinggi. Hampir seperti ada yang memperingatkan kalian. Hei, saya pikir kita akan melihat others, semuanya di bawah top 10, punya rally kecil di weekend ini.”
“Ini bisa terjadi minggu ini pada penarikan signifikan, tapi itu harus terjadi lebih akhir pekan, seperti Jumat, yang bisa terjadi. Tapi hal utamanya adalah bahwa, lagi-lagi, ia masih menahan di atas level FIB 0.5. Ia masih belum menyentuh garis cepat itu. Masih sangat bullish.”
“Kita lihat minggu lalu ada lonjakan kejutan yang cukup besar pada Kamis dengan puncak lokal menyentuh $82,300, yang sangat dekat dengan target $82,850 kita.”
harga lalu $79,112 → $82,850 · +4.7% · pantau 0:20
“Ini bukan gambar yang sangat bagus atau indah. Apakah volume on balance bullish? Ya. Apakah volume melebihi rata-rata bergerak? Ya. Tapi kemarin adalah pullback. Dan lagi, ini sangat minor.”
“resistensi tbo turun dari 704 ke 694 ini cuma turun sekitar apa 10 buck, bukan masalah besar tapi ini memberitahu kita bahwa kemungkinan besar akan turun ke dalam cloud selanjutnya dan turun sedikit lebih rendah”
“Satu hal buat diinget buat Ethereum adalah kita punya closed short ini. Closed short ini, diamond oranye, bilang ke kita bahwa kita due untuk pullback, kembali ke fast line.”
“Jika ia bisa menahan di atas 786, ini terlihat baik. Ini oke. Jika tidak bisa menahan, maka jelas sentuhan berikutnya akan ke garis TBO Fast, yang tepat di atas $73,000.”
“Nah, chart total ES, total market cap crypto, tanpa stablecoin, dorong naik lagi ke resistensi TBO di 2.4 triliun di timeframe daily. Tapi, gerakan lebih besar sebenarnya adalah close berhasil di atas level FIB 382, menandakan, maksudku, close di atas level itu jauh beda, jauh lebih beda dibanding semua WIC ini. Jadi, itu quite a big deal. Lagi, very overbought, exceptionally strong bullish di weekly. Itu very bullish. Itu slated sekarang kecuali ada yang terjadi dengan Jackson Hole Jumat, waktu US, itu hari ini, tapi kita lihat, yang bisa bikin semuanya crash dan terus kita lihat ini sebagai pivot. Tapi, untuk sekarang, hal-hal terlihat very, very, very, very bullish.”
“Statistically speaking, it's due for a pullback. Whether it means one poke up to test TBR resistance or historical support, which would be a pretty insane move, to be honest, for multiple reasons. But it's due for a pullback.”
harga lalu $77,846 → $84,472 · +8.5% · pantau 1:01
“Hal sama untuk SUI hal sama untuk DOT yang juga konfirmasi buka long di Selasa hal sama untuk Quant hal sama untuk Flare hal sama untuk Terra Luna di Selasa ya Luna Classic ya saya memang share chart ini saya tau saya tau dan dia print yang kedua kemarin”
harga lalu $0.7796 → $1.16 · +49.2% · pantau 29:25
“And we still have that fast line down about 10 or 11% at $2,200. On the four-hour, yeah, we have that TPT bearish divergence like we just looked at, but things are still very bullish for Ethereum.”
“I believe that the next pullback will fall down below the 0.76 FIB level at $76,700, which isn't that far. You can see the price respecting it. It fell back to it on Saturday. Bounced off of it on Sunday and closed above. But I think that's the next level to fall below. And by the time this happens, we'll see the price come down here to the 618 at 72K”
“if ethereum were just to hold sideways in about 18 days it's going to have to figure out is it going to bounce off support and the likelihood is no it'll most likely have a pullback and drop and lose these levels of support”
“We know that we have a closed sell position from last week's candle. Our target here on the weekly speed line is $2081. Any decline of 16%. That's a significant decline indeed. But it's not illogical. Once again, these closed sales and purchasing centers are compensated. So, I'm not saying this will happen today. I'm not saying anything like that , but don't rule it out .”
“I still believe we may see a drop below the $57,800 level. I think we may drop to our realized price, which is still actually less than $53,000. If this bear market cycle does not reach that level, it will be a huge anomaly. Huge. Well, I'm not saying we're definitely going there. But let me explain it this way. I don't think it's unreasonable to see Bitcoin visit the $49,000 level. I still believe this is a valid goal. It's an ambitious goal. A decrease of 38%. It's not impossible . If we can rise by 25 or 26% in one week, we can also fall faster and more hard than people think.”
“What will be the target of this retreat? Well, ultimately, the speed line is at $70,400. If we use short- term Fibonacci retracements, isn't it exciting and surprising how the price retraces and bounces off the 786 Fibonacci support level at $76.76? That's a lot of numbers, sevens. Now , the next obvious support level will be here at 618 at 72k, because I don't think Bitcoin will suddenly crash by 10 or 11% today, which would be completely abnormal . Don't count on it happening. What will most likely happen, in my estimation, is that we will see a lot of fluctuation, and perhaps rise a little to 82,000, but we will face rejection from there. We will lose the 786 level, then climb up to test it, and eventually return to the 618 level. That would be the best possible scenario.”
harga lalu $78,539 → $78,456 · -0.1% · pantau 3:04
“one reason why i like them is that instead of just having a hard and fixed one level of support because we have incrementally more vertical levels of support or resistance it gives us short-term targets to watch for so that immediate short-term target today because price is only going to go up and down it's not going to go to the right yet bitcoin would have to fall down to 68 300 in order to actually lower than that 60 basically below 68k today to break this first level of support it's not going to happen bitcoin's not going to drop all of a sudden 12 something really bad would have to happen to cause that um so just hear me out but after having such a big move remember what i said about the fast line now the fast line is still or rather the price is very overextended from the fast line right now it's at 69 300 or so so it's about 12 give or take away from the fast line just like back over here when things were crazy overextended from the fast line like 20 inevitably we saw the price come up and tag that fast line okay same concept same idea except different direction way back over here in june all right so the same thing will happen over here in the current day and current time it's just a matter of when when is that going to happen”
harga lalu $78,993 → $78,581 · -0.5% · pantau 2:00
“it is a historical trend line that we can use it's it's a pretty big deal in terms of our 2026 fibs um going from the top over here in october 2025 to the low in 2026 june uh we're right here at the 382 fib level so not that the 0.382 fibonacci level is of major significance it's just a fibonacci retracement level i'm not trying to downplay it at all but it is a level of support or resistance and especially the further out we go in terms of time zooming out even more it's it's definitely going to be a much stronger level now we already know in terms of our short-term fibs on friday just shot right back above it's actually holding above the the 786 fib level so we have this zone right here it's not perfectly overlapping like it was back over here 69k which trust me i know it just bop um just zippity dood right through that so now that we're looking at btc here it's like okay well we found some level of well not not contention it's too early to say contention but the price is stalling for obvious reasons because again last week one week alone wick to wick up almost 27 is ridiculous it's insane last week's rsi again on friday shot up to 94.83 the last time we saw it this high i believe it was in october 2023 if i'm not mistaken it's right back over here yep october 2023 when that actually started the massive massive rally in 2023 which was a recovery year we're still in a bottom year in 2026 just like 2022 is a bottom year then 2023 is recovery year that's going to be 2027 for us note that throughout the recovery year in january over here we had a really crazy rally that started off and by this time bitcoin had already shot up like 69 70 after bottoming out in november okay so so in terms of volume which is the next thing we need to take a sober look at friday's volume was amazing 3.4 billion dollars which is crazy it's bigger than what we saw back over on friday june 5th on that dump it's great i mean it's on par with these other really big moves not quite on par with what we saw back in february but it's still a really really good show of volume obviously on balance volume is very bullish the moving average is moving up a ton um now what about the weekly the weekly interestingly enough it's done a couple of things that are really good i don't want to downplay this at all um i'm genuinely surprised that we didn't get a tbo close short uh one of these orange guys right here very surprised actually that we didn't get one of those or a tbt bullish diversions which is different from the tbo so i'm quite surprised that we didn't get that but a massive move again a 23 close and inside of the cloud is a big deal really big deal also weekly rsi just so you know it did crack above 70 for last week's close at 70.67 that's a big deal the last time we were overbought on rsi was back in july 2025 over a year ago it's it's a really big deal what do we know about rsi being overbought and oversold on the weekly we know that when it's overbought on the weekly that we are more likely to continue staying bullish than we are to have the chart just reverse back down right away vice versa when we are very oversold on rsi we know that we're more likely to continue to go lower and lower so we have basically momentum confirmation that btc can continue to push up higher for this week we'll see in terms of weekly volume last week's volume exceeded the 30 week moving average here at eight point sorry 9.3 billion so it was at 13.1 billion the last time it was this high was of course in june so it's a significant move i'm not trying to downplay anything i'm literally just showing you the charts okay we did see something similar to this back in 2022 a couple of times um in 2022 the first big one we saw was back over here in may then another one here in june and then volume really picked up and then binance realized that oh we can't inflate our numbers and then they stopped and then all of a sudden magically volume dropped from one week being 105 billion to two weeks later down to 14 billion oh it's funny oh i wonder how that that's so weird anyway um”
harga lalu $78,993 → $82,000 · +3.8% · invalidasi $68,300 · pantau 5:00disentuh $82,000 intraday, penutupannya di $81,270
“it could actually drift up a little bit higher because it's already surpassed a massive level of resistance at $2,000. So, it could shoot up just a little bit more to tag that resistance level, and after that, it's like, well, we'll see.”
“If for some reason, Bitcoin's price action does not retrace, at least more than half, and we see this just holding, we should expect then, therefore, the price of BTC to go up to that $72,000 target that I shared before. This one up here.”
harga lalu $73,025 → $77,075 · +5.5% · pantau 10:39
“Jika kita memiliki flush kapitulasi masif untuk BTC, yang akan berarti kehilangan, Bitcoin kehilangan $57,800, yang kemungkinan besar, dan kemudian kita turun ke target 49k itu, kan? Itu seharusnya menurunkan RSI Totally S ke rentang 15 ini.”
harga lalu $64,532 → $76,206 · +18.1% · pantau 10:19
“my next lower artificial support target for BTC is 49K, which is below the realized price, which is actually going to be a great area to start accumulating once BTC drops down there.”
“a good target will be the 1.0 level, which is at 59.412, if things get crazy, then going up there to 60 bucks, another 7%, which would be the top of the cloud, that's pretty encouraging”
“Oke. Saya sudah bilang sebelumnya bahwa itu bisa naik ke $38,555. Itu secara jujur skenario terbaik, karena jika BTC benar-benar turun sampai begitu rendah, biarkan saya beralih ke timeframe mingguan untuk membuat, untuk membuat poinnya lebih jelas.”
harga lalu $63,491 → $77,279 · +21.7% · pantau 2:53
“Dan lalu kita akan lihat price break below 60K, break below $57,800. Dan lalu turun ke next target kita, yang ada di sana di $49,000. Jadi dari current price sekarang, saya masih pikir kita punya 22% lagi untuk go to hit $49,000, yang menurut saya target very reasonable.”
harga lalu $63,491 → $77,279 · +21.7% · pantau 2:39
“Saya ingin melihatnya menutup di bawah tingkat dukungan ini di $1.02. Dan ini sebenarnya tepat di sana, tepat sekarang. Saya masih pikir ini akan turun lebih rendah.”
“I've been leaning bearish on Ethereum. This is actually a good setup for a short. I know you might think that's crazy. Yes, it could shoot up 6-7%. So you'll have to use low leverage for that and also manage your risk. You'll want to make sure you're using or like getting at least 3-1 in terms of your risk-to-reward ratio. So if you're wanting to open a low leverage position here, you need to be at least trying to take profit. I mean, 3-1 is going to be right there. Basically, at the previous low. That's perfect. 3 right there. At 15.07. Which is still possible. That's a drag of a fall of 19%. Totally doable. It's not unreasonable at all.”
“Hal berikutnya yang akan terjadi adalah menembus, yang ini adalah 61K turun ke 61,300,000. Maaf, 61,303. Angka itu di sana. Kita akan melihat BTC akhirnya jatuh.”
harga lalu $63,520 → $77,340 · +21.8% · pantau 2:06
“a good range would be here, which is the 1010 dump, 1010 low. If I can actually get it, oh my gosh. A buck, $140, which from the current price is another drop of about 27%.”
“Sepertinya akan kehilangan support dan akan turun, maaf, kehilangan resistance, jatuh ke dalam cloud, jatuh dengan baik di 236 ini dan pasti turun ke sini di 64 bucks.”
“Jadi, saya masih mengharapkan Ethereum akan turun jauh lebih rendah, dan Bitcoin juga akan turun jauh lebih rendah. Kita masih bisa mendapatkan satu kali naik sedikit lagi, tapi percayalah saya, arus berubah.”
“Jika situasi menjadi seburuk yang saya prediksi, maksud saya, jika Bitcoin turun ke $38,555 sebelum Oktober, itu akan sebenarnya lebih dalam daripada 38%, tapi ini mewakili segalanya.”
“Ingat, Trump akan kehilangan level dukungan $1.50 yang dibentuk kembali pada dump 10-10. Setelah itu terjadi, dump-a-roni. Harusnya turun di bawah satu dolar. Mudah. Itu hanya”
“Saya pikir kita akan melihat penurunan hampir ke arah dukungan TBO mingguan di 95 sent, yang akan menjadi peluang besar untuk grafik yang sebelumnya telah sangat baik.”
“And I still think that we have a gap to fill from this pump that happened here in November 2024, which would be another 47% drop down to below 60 cents.”
“Saya masih pikir Ethereum bisa turun. Lihat dari kira-kira $2,000, bukan cuma di sini, 24% ke target $1,500, bahkan bukan di sini ke $1,385, kayak di sini menuju $1,073.”
“Saya lagi ngomong, kayak, turun ke, kayak, $49,000, yang adalah target berikutnya, yang akan menjadi, kayak, 30% drawdown dari target itu, atau $38,555, yang akan menjadi sekitar 43% tanpa leverage.”
“Saya sebenarnya mengharapkan Uniswap kehilangan level support itu. Ini mulai jadi short setup yang cukup bagus karena Uniswap seharusnya jatuh sampai di sini ke sekitar 250.”
“while i still think it's very possible for btc to push up higher before the end of the month um it is currently july 23rd uh last i checked july ends a week from tomorrow well tokyo time it ends a week from tomorrow so that's the timeline again”
harga lalu $65,099 → $62,888 · -3.4% · pantau 1:19
“i still think that we're going to see one more bounce for soul dot d but i'm not sure when it's going to happen but i think that we will see dominance flow back to solana”
“tak terelakkan apa yang akan kita lihat adalah bitcoin akan turun meski saya pikir kita akan punya bulan juli yang bagus, seharusnya hijau, saya masih mengharapkan bitcoin akan mencapai setidaknya 49 000”
harga lalu $65,044 → $62,888 · -3.3% · pantau 4:30
“Tapi saya memang harap uang akan mengalir ke dominasi Solana sehingga kita akan lihat bounce di sini, yang akan merefleksikan bounce di harga Solana.”
“I still think that Bitcoin can make its way all the way up to the fast line Before the end of this month and again, not that it will be an extended rallying I still think it's just going to be a one-month move one and done move on”
harga lalu $63,364 → $62,888 · -0.8% · pantau 5:57