they said it. the market answered.
Trading these calls?Bybit code LD7WR4EHTX code zhdd2223

That Martini Guy vs Carl (The Moon): who calls BTC better?

43 times these two channels called the same coin in opposite directions within a week. Head-to-head on those calls: That Martini Guy 18 hits, Carl (The Moon) 6 hits. Every call below is quoted, dated and judged against exchange prices on the speaker's own deadline.
C
grade · the target is decoration
27%
hit rate · 107 resolved
29/70/8
hit / miss / stopped
48%
30-day direction
Carl (The Moon) 654K subs
D
grade · fade with confidence
38%
hit rate · 117 resolved
45/67/5
hit / miss / stopped
57%
30-day direction

Same coin, opposite calls

BTC · May 15, 2026
MISS That Martini Guy ▼ → $20,000 (-19.8%) · deadline Aug 13
“My chart has us bottoming out in the bear market around $20,000. The current price of Bitcoin is $80,000. So if that's the case, it actually falls in line with the theory that a new Fed chair that is coming in today is g”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $84,800 (-20.6%) · deadline Aug 09
“If you If you calculate with the highest close on the 4-hour here, which was around 84.8, right? Uh but, we did fill the gap until the wick here. But, I think yeah, it makes more sense to fill the gap up at the um at the”
BTC · May 12, 2026
HIT That Martini Guy ▼ (-21.0%) · deadline Jun 11
“I've now gone $4.5 million short on Bitcoin. Now, I won't hold this into a significant loss, and I'll keep trying to place this trade over and over and over again until we get that inevitable drop down in price”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $84,800 (-20.6%) · deadline Aug 09
“If you If you calculate with the highest close on the 4-hour here, which was around 84.8, right? Uh but, we did fill the gap until the wick here. But, I think yeah, it makes more sense to fill the gap up at the um at the”
BTC · May 12, 2026
HIT That Martini Guy ▼ → $67,000 (-16.8%) · deadline Aug 10
“And then the big ones down there at $67,000.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $84,800 (-20.6%) · deadline Aug 09
“If you If you calculate with the highest close on the 4-hour here, which was around 84.8, right? Uh but, we did fill the gap until the wick here. But, I think yeah, it makes more sense to fill the gap up at the um at the”
BTC · May 12, 2026
HIT That Martini Guy ▼ → $79,800 (-0.9%) · deadline Aug 10
“It's not come tested it. So it's $79,800. It gives us a pretty decent point to target for at least a partial exit on this trade.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $84,800 (-20.6%) · deadline Aug 09
“If you If you calculate with the highest close on the 4-hour here, which was around 84.8, right? Uh but, we did fill the gap until the wick here. But, I think yeah, it makes more sense to fill the gap up at the um at the”
BTC · May 12, 2026
MISS That Martini Guy ▼ → $40,000 (-20.5%) · deadline Aug 10
“potentially bringing down the entire crypto market, potentially making Bitcoin's price $40,000 again.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $84,800 (-20.6%) · deadline Aug 09
“If you If you calculate with the highest close on the 4-hour here, which was around 84.8, right? Uh but, we did fill the gap until the wick here. But, I think yeah, it makes more sense to fill the gap up at the um at the”
BTC · Apr 22, 2026
MISS That Martini Guy ▼ → $30,000 (-14.9%) · deadline Jul 21
“this could actually be the start of the next giant crypto collapse and Bitcoin's price could end up at $30,000.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+3.8%) · deadline Jul 16
“I do believe this has a high potential to shoot up shoot higher towards $80,000 because even when I check the order flow, I'm seeing that you know, there's a lot of strength behind you know”
BTC · Apr 22, 2026
MISS That Martini Guy ▼ → $30,000 (-14.9%) · deadline Jul 21
“this could actually be the start of the next giant crypto collapse and Bitcoin's price could end up at $30,000.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+0.5%) · deadline May 17
“I personally think that we saw the bottom already. The moment Bitcoin broke down to 60K, like 59.something, I actually made a tweet and a video telling everyone that was the bottom.”
BTC · Nov 27, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▲ → $160,000 (-2.7%) · deadline Jan 01
“Regardless, he says in the next 35 days, he's been sniffing that Tom Lee sniff again, but he says it's going to $160,000 as well the next 35 days. Just give this a watch. I think we could get to $160,000 before the end o”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $85,000 (+4.1%) · deadline Nov 30
“But then in the coming week here, it's very likely that we come back down and fill the gap which will be down here at $85,000.”
BTC · Nov 27, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▲ → $160,000 (-2.7%) · deadline Jan 01
“Regardless, he says in the next 35 days, he's been sniffing that Tom Lee sniff again, but he says it's going to $160,000 as well the next 35 days. Just give this a watch. I think we could get to $160,000 before the end o”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $71,000 (-24.0%) · deadline Mar 03
“Bitcoin wants to go down back to 71K probably, retest this high as the new support.”
BTC · Nov 26, 2025
STOPPED OUT That Martini Guy ▲ → $97,000 (-6.1%) · deadline Feb 24
“In terms of Bitcoin, $97,000 becomes a new target.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $85,000 (+4.1%) · deadline Nov 30
“But then in the coming week here, it's very likely that we come back down and fill the gap which will be down here at $85,000.”
BTC · Nov 26, 2025
STOPPED OUT That Martini Guy ▲ → $97,000 (-6.1%) · deadline Feb 24
“In terms of Bitcoin, $97,000 becomes a new target.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $71,000 (-24.0%) · deadline Mar 03
“Bitcoin wants to go down back to 71K probably, retest this high as the new support.”
BTC · Nov 25, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▲ → $95,000 (+4.5%) · deadline Dec 02
“In theory, the next level above, the next big target is going to be somewhere around here, around $95,000. And a break of 95, well, bull market's back on, baby.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $85,000 (+4.1%) · deadline Nov 30
“But then in the coming week here, it's very likely that we come back down and fill the gap which will be down here at $85,000.”
BTC · Nov 21, 2025
HIT That Martini Guy ▲ (+4.2%) · deadline Dec 21
“I believe that a 30% bounce is coming.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $85,000 (+4.1%) · deadline Nov 30
“But then in the coming week here, it's very likely that we come back down and fill the gap which will be down here at $85,000.”
BTC · Nov 19, 2025
HIT That Martini Guy ▲ → $96,000 (+4.9%) · deadline Feb 17
“Now we're sat at $92,000. We've also got a level up here at $96,000, which is the one that I expect is most to trigger, most likely to trigger.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $85,000 (+4.1%) · deadline Nov 30
“But then in the coming week here, it's very likely that we come back down and fill the gap which will be down here at $85,000.”
BTC · Nov 17, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▲ → $220,000 (-3.7%) · deadline Jan 01
“As world's highest IQ record holder, I expect Bitcoin is going to $220,000 in the next 45 days.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▼ (-10.2%) · deadline Dec 11
“maybe the pump that we've seen is actually maybe a bit of a fake out and then we'll probably go lower.”
BTC · Nov 17, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▲ → $220,000 (-3.7%) · deadline Jan 01
“As world's highest IQ record holder, I expect Bitcoin is going to $220,000 in the next 45 days.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $85,000 (+4.1%) · deadline Nov 30
“But then in the coming week here, it's very likely that we come back down and fill the gap which will be down here at $85,000.”
BTC · Nov 16, 2025
HIT That Martini Guy ▼ (-6.8%) · deadline Dec 16
“I really feel like we need a little bit more of a push down.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+2.0%) · deadline Dec 20
“so basically what I want to tell you right now is that I think going into the four hour time frame here. We could very well see a bit of a bounce here”
BTC · Nov 16, 2025
HIT That Martini Guy ▼ (-6.8%) · deadline Dec 16
“I really feel like we need a little bit more of a push down.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $87,000 (-0.5%) · deadline Nov 22
“I think it's likely that today or tomorrow We're gonna see Bitcoin rebound a bit and find some support above 87,000 I can't tell you that's going to happen.”
BTC · Nov 14, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▲ → $120,000 (-4.5%) · deadline Nov 30
“and the monthly candle could still reset itself and we might still end up higher than 120,000 dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▼ (-10.2%) · deadline Dec 11
“maybe the pump that we've seen is actually maybe a bit of a fake out and then we'll probably go lower.”
BTC · Oct 02, 2025
HIT That Martini Guy ▼ → $116,000 (-3.8%) · deadline Nov 01
“I'm concerned about the possibility of a return down to about $114,000. And should that happen, don't forget there is a massive CME gap down here at $110,000”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-21.8%) · deadline Nov 16
“I am very confident that Bitcoin will go to 150 200 in the next one two months”
BTC · Oct 02, 2025
HIT That Martini Guy ▼ → $116,000 (-3.8%) · deadline Nov 01
“I'm concerned about the possibility of a return down to about $114,000. And should that happen, don't forget there is a massive CME gap down here at $110,000”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $143,000 (-27.3%) · deadline Dec 31
“what you can see here is that the target out of this inverse head and shoulders on Bitcoin is If you take it like that pull it up like that the target is $143,000 per Bitcoin”
BTC · Oct 02, 2025
HIT That Martini Guy ▼ → $116,000 (-3.8%) · deadline Nov 01
“I'm concerned about the possibility of a return down to about $114,000. And should that happen, don't forget there is a massive CME gap down here at $110,000”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $127,000 (-7.7%) · deadline Oct 10
“the target is all the way up here at $127,000. This means in my opinion that Bitcoin is right now about to reach $127,000 probably within the next few days.”
BTC · Oct 02, 2025
HIT That Martini Guy ▼ → $116,000 (-3.8%) · deadline Nov 01
“I'm concerned about the possibility of a return down to about $114,000. And should that happen, don't forget there is a massive CME gap down here at $110,000”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $200,000 (-29.0%) · deadline Dec 31
“Before the end of the year Bitcoin will go to 200 K. I'm very very certain and Altcoins will follow that's for sure”
BTC · Oct 02, 2025
HIT That Martini Guy ▼ → $116,000 (-3.8%) · deadline Nov 01
“I'm concerned about the possibility of a return down to about $114,000. And should that happen, don't forget there is a massive CME gap down here at $110,000”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-17.8%) · deadline Nov 04
“I still think we're gonna go up and meet the target here most likely I mean, we are meeting some resistance, but that's it just looks like that's what's happening right now”
BTC · Oct 02, 2025
HIT That Martini Guy ▼ → $116,000 (-3.8%) · deadline Nov 01
“I'm concerned about the possibility of a return down to about $114,000. And should that happen, don't forget there is a massive CME gap down here at $110,000”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $300,000 (-29.7%) · deadline Dec 31
“So we look here, end of December means that we could go up to $300,000 in December. And I think that's definitely a possible scenario.”
BTC · Oct 02, 2025
HIT That Martini Guy ▼ → $116,000 (-3.8%) · deadline Nov 01
“I'm concerned about the possibility of a return down to about $114,000. And should that happen, don't forget there is a massive CME gap down here at $110,000”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $180,000 (-29.7%) · deadline Dec 31
“Because I think that the very lowest possible target for December is $180,000. That's the lowest I can agree to.”
BTC · Oct 02, 2025
HIT That Martini Guy ▼ → $116,000 (-3.8%) · deadline Nov 01
“I'm concerned about the possibility of a return down to about $114,000. And should that happen, don't forget there is a massive CME gap down here at $110,000”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-29.7%) · deadline Dec 31
“So why don't you explain to us why we are most likely to see a huge pump towards December.”
BTC · Sep 30, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▼ (+6.4%) · deadline Oct 07
“My problem with all of this is a significant leverage buildup will result in a flash crash. We're headed for a flash crash.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-21.8%) · deadline Nov 16
“I am very confident that Bitcoin will go to 150 200 in the next one two months”
BTC · Sep 30, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▼ (+6.4%) · deadline Oct 07
“My problem with all of this is a significant leverage buildup will result in a flash crash. We're headed for a flash crash.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $143,000 (-27.3%) · deadline Dec 31
“what you can see here is that the target out of this inverse head and shoulders on Bitcoin is If you take it like that pull it up like that the target is $143,000 per Bitcoin”
BTC · Sep 30, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▼ (+6.4%) · deadline Oct 07
“My problem with all of this is a significant leverage buildup will result in a flash crash. We're headed for a flash crash.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $127,000 (-7.7%) · deadline Oct 10
“the target is all the way up here at $127,000. This means in my opinion that Bitcoin is right now about to reach $127,000 probably within the next few days.”
BTC · Sep 30, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▼ (+6.4%) · deadline Oct 07
“My problem with all of this is a significant leverage buildup will result in a flash crash. We're headed for a flash crash.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $200,000 (-29.0%) · deadline Dec 31
“Before the end of the year Bitcoin will go to 200 K. I'm very very certain and Altcoins will follow that's for sure”
BTC · Sep 30, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▼ (+6.4%) · deadline Oct 07
“My problem with all of this is a significant leverage buildup will result in a flash crash. We're headed for a flash crash.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-17.8%) · deadline Nov 04
“I still think we're gonna go up and meet the target here most likely I mean, we are meeting some resistance, but that's it just looks like that's what's happening right now”
BTC · Sep 30, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▼ (+6.4%) · deadline Oct 07
“My problem with all of this is a significant leverage buildup will result in a flash crash. We're headed for a flash crash.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $300,000 (-29.7%) · deadline Dec 31
“So we look here, end of December means that we could go up to $300,000 in December. And I think that's definitely a possible scenario.”
BTC · Sep 30, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▼ (+6.4%) · deadline Oct 07
“My problem with all of this is a significant leverage buildup will result in a flash crash. We're headed for a flash crash.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $180,000 (-29.7%) · deadline Dec 31
“Because I think that the very lowest possible target for December is $180,000. That's the lowest I can agree to.”
BTC · Sep 30, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▼ (+6.4%) · deadline Oct 07
“My problem with all of this is a significant leverage buildup will result in a flash crash. We're headed for a flash crash.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-29.7%) · deadline Dec 31
“So why don't you explain to us why we are most likely to see a huge pump towards December.”
SOL · Sep 17, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▼ → $229.00 (+1.1%) · deadline Sep 18
“That 229 level I kind of expect to get taken out today.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-47.2%) · deadline Dec 16
“Another massive multi cycle pattern, huge cup and handle. I expect $500 for Solana.”
BTC · Sep 05, 2025
HIT That Martini Guy ▲ → $125,000 (+13.0%) · deadline Dec 04
“It'll just go like this all the way back up to the top of here. $125,000 purely on It doesn't even matter if Micro Strategy again.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ (+11.6%) · deadline Oct 05
“Bitcoin doesn't look so good right now. And we expect that Bitcoin can come down to about one hundred and twelve.”
BTC · Sep 04, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▲ → $150,000 (-20.9%) · deadline Dec 31
“We're in a bull market and at some point, Bitcoin will hit $150,000 this year. So, it's one of those things. It's a matter of time.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ (+11.6%) · deadline Oct 05
“Bitcoin doesn't look so good right now. And we expect that Bitcoin can come down to about one hundred and twelve.”
BTC · Sep 04, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▲ → $114,000 (-0.1%) · deadline Sep 05
“I'm confident in the bounce and I think we'll actually take 113, maybe even 114 today. I'm pretty pretty optimistic about that”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ (+11.6%) · deadline Oct 05
“Bitcoin doesn't look so good right now. And we expect that Bitcoin can come down to about one hundred and twelve.”
BTC · Sep 03, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▲ (-0.9%) · deadline Sep 04
“it is really looking like it's going to get up to about $112,000 in the next 24 hours.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ (+11.6%) · deadline Oct 05
“Bitcoin doesn't look so good right now. And we expect that Bitcoin can come down to about one hundred and twelve.”
BTC · Sep 02, 2025
HIT That Martini Guy ▲ → $112,000 (+0.7%) · deadline Sep 03
“I expect a Bitcoin to get to one hundred and twelve thousand dollars on this run. At one hundred and twelve thousand dollars, fair enough, we might get rejected and turn back around, but it is really looking like it's go”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ (+11.6%) · deadline Oct 05
“Bitcoin doesn't look so good right now. And we expect that Bitcoin can come down to about one hundred and twelve.”
BTC · Sep 02, 2025
HIT That Martini Guy ▲ → $125,000 (+12.4%) · deadline Dec 01
“We've still not seen Bitcoin. Break is more recent all-time high of $125,000 and we've still not seen kind of any light in the pre-sale market.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ (+11.6%) · deadline Oct 05
“Bitcoin doesn't look so good right now. And we expect that Bitcoin can come down to about one hundred and twelve.”
SOL · Aug 19, 2025
MISS That Martini Guy ▼ → $168.00 (+40.5%) · deadline Sep 18
“the low target for Solana in the short term would be about 168 dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+20.2%) · deadline Sep 12
“I believe solana is about to also absolutely skyrocket here I'm telling you absolutely skyrocket. I believe”
Full records: That Martini Guy · Carl (The Moon) · all head-to-heads →