they said it. the market answered.
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Ilya Mescheryakov vs Carl (The Moon): who calls BTC better?

31 times these two channels called the same coin in opposite directions within a week. Head-to-head on those calls: Ilya Mescheryakov 20 hits, Carl (The Moon) 22 hits. Every call below is quoted, dated and judged against exchange prices on the speaker's own deadline.
A
grade · right about a third of the time
57%
hit rate · 173 resolved
99/70/4
hit / miss / stopped
57%
30-day direction
Carl (The Moon) 654K subs
D
grade · fade with confidence
38%
hit rate · 117 resolved
45/67/5
hit / miss / stopped
57%
30-day direction

Same coin, opposite calls

BTC · Aug 29, 2026
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $75,300 (-3.8%) · deadline Sep 28
“basic scenario, so as not to scare off buyers too much, and if we assume some further growth, then in most cases it will be enough for us to break above this low at 76500, drop somewhere around 75300 and after that conti”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $81,800 (+3.5%) · deadline Nov 22
“I put a blue line here in the chart to illustrate some resistance because there is a lot of resistance just about at this level, and this level is the level of $81,800.”
BTC · Aug 29, 2026
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $75,300 (-3.8%) · deadline Sep 28
“basic scenario, so as not to scare off buyers too much, and if we assume some further growth, then in most cases it will be enough for us to break above this low at 76500, drop somewhere around 75300 and after that conti”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $84,000 (+6.3%) · deadline Nov 24
“Because even though it's possible, we go one more small leg up to like 82, 83, maybe 84,000.”
BTC · Aug 29, 2026
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $75,300 (-3.8%) · deadline Sep 28
“basic scenario, so as not to scare off buyers too much, and if we assume some further growth, then in most cases it will be enough for us to break above this low at 76500, drop somewhere around 75300 and after that conti”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+6.4%) · deadline Sep 25
“I think this is the bottom. I believe this is a very, very likely the bottom for Bitcoin, and right now I think is a fantastic opportunity to open up big long positions.”
BTC · Aug 29, 2026
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $75,300 (-3.8%) · deadline Sep 28
“basic scenario, so as not to scare off buyers too much, and if we assume some further growth, then in most cases it will be enough for us to break above this low at 76500, drop somewhere around 75300 and after that conti”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $85,000 (+5.9%) · deadline Nov 25
“last week Bitcoin broke above $79,000 and my next target is $85,000”
BTC · Aug 29, 2026
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $75,300 (-3.8%) · deadline Sep 28
“basic scenario, so as not to scare off buyers too much, and if we assume some further growth, then in most cases it will be enough for us to break above this low at 76500, drop somewhere around 75300 and after that conti”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+5.2%) · deadline Sep 26
“I mean, look, Bitcoin will go higher in this market for sure but I'm just taking some chips off the table”
ETH · Aug 20, 2026
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (+13.2%) · deadline Sep 19
“The next level is fairly strong for ether, which we can observe here. This is around 2400-2420 dollars. With a high probability, this level will be reached.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $2,800 (+12.8%) · deadline Nov 22
“The next major level, major, major, major, major level will be up here at exactly 2800. All right, that's a huge level. I think that's where we're going next.”
BTC · Aug 10, 2026
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (+22.4%) · deadline Sep 09
“Yes, probably, either through a downtrend, or something similar now. With a subsequent downtrend to levels around 64 200 dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $75,800 (+16.8%) · deadline Nov 05
“If you take this inverse head and shoulders and put this on top of the neckline, that gives us a target at 75.8 thousand dollars for Bitcoin.”
BTC · Aug 10, 2026
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (+22.4%) · deadline Sep 09
“Yes, probably, either through a downtrend, or something similar now. With a subsequent downtrend to levels around 64 200 dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $66,700 (+2.7%) · deadline Nov 05
“I believe that the next step for Bitcoin is to go back up towards 66.7. That's going to be the neckline”
BTC · Aug 10, 2026
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (+22.4%) · deadline Sep 09
“Yes, probably, either through a downtrend, or something similar now. With a subsequent downtrend to levels around 64 200 dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+22.4%) · deadline Sep 09
“i think bitcoin is about to rip so whenever bitcoin rips then of course we're going to have these um other uh positions also do very well”
BTC · Aug 10, 2026
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (+22.4%) · deadline Sep 09
“Yes, probably, either through a downtrend, or something similar now. With a subsequent downtrend to levels around 64 200 dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $67,000 (+4.7%) · deadline Nov 08
“i am still thinking that we're we're on track to go up to our initial target of 67 000 but then obviously i think we're going to go higher because of this inverse head and shoulders”
BTC · Aug 10, 2026
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (+22.4%) · deadline Sep 09
“Yes, probably, either through a downtrend, or something similar now. With a subsequent downtrend to levels around 64 200 dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $75,000 (+18.1%) · deadline Sep 11
“And by the way, leave a thumbs up right now. Leave a thumbs up. I want to reach 500 likes on this video. So, we pull it up and the target is $75,000, guys. Absolutely beautiful.”
BTC · Apr 02, 2026
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $62,000 (-7.3%) · deadline Jul 01
“BTC is currently in a moderately vulnerable position and with the same moderate probability may take us to 62.000 dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+11.2%) · deadline May 07
“they will print money like never before and They will push the markets higher and they will push specifically Bitcoin higher and also altcoins”
BTC · Mar 18, 2026
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $70,000 (-1.8%) · deadline Jun 16
“And, um, probably we'll again see that the price is either making a test or a deep test at 70.000 dollars, after which, maybe, some new bounce will form.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+6.8%) · deadline Jun 14
“the targets Right now In my opinion is actually all the way up at eighty thousand.”
BTC · Mar 05, 2026
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (-5.1%) · deadline Apr 04
“the main medium-term is a return to blue in blue range, a-eh, maybe even just to some upper boundary of this range, that is somewhere there 697 or 1.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+3.8%) · deadline Mar 31
“amazing time to accumulate because we know that Bitcoin will keep going up that's just that's just the fact”
ETH · Feb 09, 2026
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ → $2,400 (-2.5%) · deadline Mar 11
“If only this level could be highlighted, which would be similar to Bitcoin. Like 80 for Bitcoin. Here, probably around 2350-2400. That's roughly like that.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $1,500 (+28.7%) · deadline May 06
“I think Ethereum can go unfortunately much much lower I think if theorem can easily go back down to 1.5 K”
BTC · Feb 06, 2026
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $70,000 (-0.8%) · deadline May 07
“Then we should somehow aggressively hit the longs. Then an attempt to break 70 thousand.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I'm pretty sure a short term bounce back towards 80k here would be very very likely”
BTC · Feb 06, 2026
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $70,000 (-0.8%) · deadline May 07
“Then we should somehow aggressively hit the longs. Then an attempt to break 70 thousand.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+12.2%) · deadline Feb 06
“I do believe that the bounce we're gonna see soon will take us up to 80 K”
ETH · Feb 06, 2026
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (-6.1%) · deadline Mar 08
“Right now, probably, along with BTC, some selling pressure will be shown.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $1,500 (+28.7%) · deadline May 06
“I think Ethereum can go unfortunately much much lower I think if theorem can easily go back down to 1.5 K”
BTC · Feb 05, 2026
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $52,000 (+29.5%) · deadline May 06
“It smells like around 60 59 dash 60.000 and then on the break of the lows 52.000 dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I'm pretty sure a short term bounce back towards 80k here would be very very likely”
BTC · Feb 05, 2026
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $52,000 (+29.5%) · deadline May 06
“It smells like around 60 59 dash 60.000 and then on the break of the lows 52.000 dollars.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+12.2%) · deadline Feb 06
“I do believe that the bounce we're gonna see soon will take us up to 80 K”
BTC · Feb 05, 2026
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $60,000 (-4.6%) · deadline May 06
“It smells like around 60 59 dash 60.000 and then on the break of the lows 52.000 dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I'm pretty sure a short term bounce back towards 80k here would be very very likely”
BTC · Feb 05, 2026
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $60,000 (-4.6%) · deadline May 06
“It smells like around 60 59 dash 60.000 and then on the break of the lows 52.000 dollars.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+12.2%) · deadline Feb 06
“I do believe that the bounce we're gonna see soon will take us up to 80 K”
BTC · Jan 30, 2026
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (-21.9%) · deadline Mar 01
“Therefore, as the situation suggests that we might have a small downtrend soon, a false break of 80.000 dollars with a moderate rebound and continuation of the decline, and, more likely, into the green range.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I'm pretty sure a short term bounce back towards 80k here would be very very likely”
BTC · Jan 30, 2026
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (-21.9%) · deadline Mar 01
“Therefore, as the situation suggests that we might have a small downtrend soon, a false break of 80.000 dollars with a moderate rebound and continuation of the decline, and, more likely, into the green range.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+12.2%) · deadline Feb 06
“I do believe that the bounce we're gonna see soon will take us up to 80 K”
BTC · Dec 08, 2025
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (+0.8%) · deadline Jan 07
“Therefore, the probability of continuing to ninety, in my opinion, is somewhat higher than a drop below this low.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $71,000 (-24.0%) · deadline Mar 03
“Bitcoin wants to go down back to 71K probably, retest this high as the new support.”
BTC · Dec 01, 2025
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ → $92,000 (+6.6%) · deadline Mar 01
“Leave the best entry under stop. Eh, take the target, say, there, eh, around finish 92.000 dollars, eh, and take a bunch of intermediate targets.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $71,000 (-24.0%) · deadline Mar 03
“Bitcoin wants to go down back to 71K probably, retest this high as the new support.”
BTC · Nov 05, 2025
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ → $105,000 (+1.1%) · deadline Feb 03
“with greater likelihood we'll probably see first this here rising to levels around 105.000 dollars”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▼ (-10.2%) · deadline Dec 11
“maybe the pump that we've seen is actually maybe a bit of a fake out and then we'll probably go lower.”
ETH · Sep 12, 2025
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $4,400 (-6.6%) · deadline Oct 12
“I would here bet on an average local decline and maybe around 4.400.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-35.5%) · deadline Dec 16
“And the same thing will happen in this cycle, in my opinion, and that catch up trade can take us to $7,500 to $8,000.”
BTC · Aug 23, 2025
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (-4.6%) · deadline Aug 25
“Taking into account that it's the weekend now, probably they'll fix a bit this very increase, that is, there will be some further drop more likely.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $114,000 (+1.3%) · deadline Nov 26
“I opened up a ten million dollar Bitcoin position right here and I am going to hold it at the very least until 114,000.5 that's the target of the inverse head and shoulders but I'm gonna hold it even higher than that”
BTC · Aug 23, 2025
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (-4.6%) · deadline Aug 25
“Taking into account that it's the weekend now, probably they'll fix a bit this very increase, that is, there will be some further drop more likely.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-19.1%) · deadline Dec 31
“if you buy Bitcoin right now, if you long Bitcoin right now and take profits in December you are going to be in profits.”
SOL · Jul 25, 2025
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $160.00 (-14.3%) · deadline Oct 23
“Most likely, this sell-off will continue at the moment, I think, dollars to 160.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $273.00 (-1.1%) · deadline Oct 20
“you can open a Solana position right now and then you can put a take profit up here at 273 because that's where we're going in my opinion”
Full records: Ilya Mescheryakov · Carl (The Moon) · all head-to-heads →