they said it. the market answered.
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IKIGAI vs Ilya Mescheryakov: who calls BTC better?

15 times these two channels called the same coin in opposite directions within a week. Head-to-head on those calls: IKIGAI 6 hits, Ilya Mescheryakov 7 hits. Every call below is quoted, dated and judged against exchange prices on the speaker's own deadline.
IKIGAI 405K subs
D
grade · fade with confidence
31%
hit rate · 121 resolved
38/79/4
hit / miss / stopped
58%
30-day direction
A
grade · right about a third of the time
57%
hit rate · 173 resolved
99/70/4
hit / miss / stopped
57%
30-day direction

Same coin, opposite calls

BTC · Jun 08, 2026
HIT IKIGAI ▼ → $60,000 (-4.9%) · deadline Sep 06
“Break of the trend line 0–(B) will be an additional confirmation of further decline. Expecting update of local minimum 60000.00.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (+20.7%) · deadline Sep 01
“Probably, the price will first try to break this level, or break it directly, but not very strongly, that is, form a fake breakout, and then bounce back.”
BTC · Feb 10, 2026
MISS IKIGAI ▲ (-14.8%) · deadline Jun 30
“I expect to see an upward correction in the first half of 2026.”
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $52,000 (+29.5%) · deadline May 06
“It smells like around 60 59 dash 60.000 and then on the break of the lows 52.000 dollars.”
BTC · Feb 10, 2026
HIT IKIGAI ▲ → $75,000 (+8.9%) · deadline May 11
“We're moving in line with the previous review's expectations, the target is the same — 75000.00.”
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $52,000 (+29.5%) · deadline May 06
“It smells like around 60 59 dash 60.000 and then on the break of the lows 52.000 dollars.”
BTC · Feb 10, 2026
MISS IKIGAI ▲ (-14.8%) · deadline Jun 30
“I expect to see an upward correction in the first half of 2026.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $60,000 (-4.6%) · deadline May 06
“It smells like around 60 59 dash 60.000 and then on the break of the lows 52.000 dollars.”
BTC · Feb 10, 2026
HIT IKIGAI ▲ → $75,000 (+8.9%) · deadline May 11
“We're moving in line with the previous review's expectations, the target is the same — 75000.00.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $60,000 (-4.6%) · deadline May 06
“It smells like around 60 59 dash 60.000 and then on the break of the lows 52.000 dollars.”
BTC · Feb 10, 2026
MISS IKIGAI ▲ (-14.8%) · deadline Jun 30
“I expect to see an upward correction in the first half of 2026.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $70,000 (-0.8%) · deadline May 07
“Then we should somehow aggressively hit the longs. Then an attempt to break 70 thousand.”
BTC · Feb 10, 2026
HIT IKIGAI ▲ → $75,000 (+8.9%) · deadline May 11
“We're moving in line with the previous review's expectations, the target is the same — 75000.00.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $70,000 (-0.8%) · deadline May 07
“Then we should somehow aggressively hit the longs. Then an attempt to break 70 thousand.”
BTC · Feb 09, 2026
MISS IKIGAI ▼ → $15,000 (+17.2%) · deadline May 10
“The next target, which is already more likely for this correction, is the minimum of wave 4. That is, this value, which is located around 15 thousand dollars.”
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (-6.9%) · deadline Mar 06
“Therefore, all these factors I mentioned, in principle, may indicate that the strength of the rebound from the current price range will be higher than, for example, when we had 86 thousand, or even 84. And it's quite pos”
BTC · Feb 09, 2026
MISS IKIGAI ▼ → $30,000 (-16.4%) · deadline Jun 30
“The next target is the Fibonacci level 0.618. And again, this is one of the minimal targets of that major degree correction, which I expect. This target is around 30 thousand dollars.”
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (-6.9%) · deadline Mar 06
“Therefore, all these factors I mentioned, in principle, may indicate that the strength of the rebound from the current price range will be higher than, for example, when we had 86 thousand, or even 84. And it's quite pos”
BTC · Feb 09, 2026
MISS IKIGAI ▼ → $15,000 (+17.2%) · deadline May 10
“The next target, which is already more likely for this correction, is the minimum of wave 4. That is, this value, which is located around 15 thousand dollars.”
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ → $76,000 (+0.1%) · deadline Mar 11
“And, like, classic such theory, that is, price behavior in this case directly points to this break and, possibly, even to crossing 76 thousand dollars.”
BTC · Feb 09, 2026
MISS IKIGAI ▼ → $30,000 (-16.4%) · deadline Jun 30
“The next target is the Fibonacci level 0.618. And again, this is one of the minimal targets of that major degree correction, which I expect. This target is around 30 thousand dollars.”
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ → $76,000 (+0.1%) · deadline Mar 11
“And, like, classic such theory, that is, price behavior in this case directly points to this break and, possibly, even to crossing 76 thousand dollars.”
BTC · Feb 02, 2026
HIT IKIGAI ▼ → $75,000 (-4.8%) · deadline May 03
“We're moving in line with the previous review's expectations, the target is the same — 75000.00.”
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (-6.9%) · deadline Mar 06
“Therefore, all these factors I mentioned, in principle, may indicate that the strength of the rebound from the current price range will be higher than, for example, when we had 86 thousand, or even 84. And it's quite pos”
BTC · Feb 02, 2026
HIT IKIGAI ▼ → $75,000 (-4.8%) · deadline May 03
“We're moving in line with the previous review's expectations, the target is the same — 75000.00.”
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ → $76,000 (+0.1%) · deadline Mar 11
“And, like, classic such theory, that is, price behavior in this case directly points to this break and, possibly, even to crossing 76 thousand dollars.”
ETH · Jul 18, 2025
MISS IKIGAI ▼ → $1,500 (+26.1%) · deadline Aug 17
“That is, again, at the price 3.500 we sold 50%, and at the price 1.500 we realized profit from this sale.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ → $3,400 (+8.3%) · deadline Oct 13
“after that there might be some potentially new impulse, if we calculated everything correctly. And this impulse, as we know, is somewhere around 3400 dollars.”
ETH · Jul 18, 2025
MISS IKIGAI ▼ → $1,500 (+26.1%) · deadline Aug 17
“That is, again, at the price 3.500 we sold 50%, and at the price 1.500 we realized profit from this sale.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ → $4,200 (+12.8%) · deadline Oct 23
“taking into account how we've already gotten close to 4 thousand dollars, i would say that it's just wasteful on the part of large capital not to take these 4 thousand. that is, to reach 4200 and then to take everyone do”
Full records: IKIGAI · Ilya Mescheryakov · all head-to-heads →