they said it. the market answered.
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Crypto Falcon vs Ilya Mescheryakov: who calls BTC better?

17 times these two channels called the same coin in opposite directions within a week. Head-to-head on those calls: Crypto Falcon 10 hits, Ilya Mescheryakov 11 hits. Every call below is quoted, dated and judged against exchange prices on the speaker's own deadline.
Crypto Falcon 142K subs
D
grade · fade with confidence
37%
hit rate · 109 resolved
40/53/16
hit / miss / stopped
50%
30-day direction
A
grade · right about a third of the time
57%
hit rate · 173 resolved
99/70/4
hit / miss / stopped
57%
30-day direction

Same coin, opposite calls

ETH · Aug 22, 2026
HIT Crypto Falcon ▲ (+14.6%) · deadline Sep 21
“On air, accordingly, we again have, on air also a great entry point, this is the 2000 dollar zone, upon retracement to 2000 dollars, one should, in my opinion, also buy and go long, at least with targets in the range of ”
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (+13.2%) · deadline Sep 19
“The next level is fairly strong for ether, which we can observe here. This is around 2400-2420 dollars. With a high probability, this level will be reached.”
BTC · Jun 08, 2026
STOPPED OUT Crypto Falcon ▼ → $52,000 (+17.3%) · deadline Sep 06
“this zone 67 thousand dollars for me is still the most attractive when coming here i think that here it makes sense to open short positions with targets in the 52 thousand dollars zone”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (+20.7%) · deadline Sep 01
“Probably, the price will first try to break this level, or break it directly, but not very strongly, that is, form a fake breakout, and then bounce back.”
ETH · Jun 05, 2026
MISS Crypto Falcon ▼ → $1,200 (+58.4%) · deadline Sep 03
“The next zone, which, in my opinion, I think will be a take zone, is, please, this zone 1200 dollars for ether.”
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (-3.0%) · deadline Jul 03
“It dropped below 1900. It seems like it's approached its main support levels and is ready to bounce locally somehow.”
BTC · Jun 01, 2026
HIT Crypto Falcon ▼ (-15.9%) · deadline Jul 01
“For me this is a pretty bearish sign, that is, overall, I would expect that here we will be going down.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (+20.7%) · deadline Sep 01
“Probably, the price will first try to break this level, or break it directly, but not very strongly, that is, form a fake breakout, and then bounce back.”
ETH · May 29, 2026
HIT Crypto Falcon ▼ (-22.0%) · deadline Jun 28
“setup was that arrival 2131 ideally from here take position wow please we look at the chart here was this picture please look at pam pam pam returned here i opened short position”
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (-3.0%) · deadline Jul 03
“It dropped below 1900. It seems like it's approached its main support levels and is ready to bounce locally somehow.”
BTC · Feb 05, 2026
HIT Crypto Falcon ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“Consequently, a return to current, for example, to a range somewhere around 80 thousand dollars. Approximately such a setup.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (-21.9%) · deadline Mar 01
“Therefore, as the situation suggests that we might have a small downtrend soon, a false break of 80.000 dollars with a moderate rebound and continuation of the decline, and, more likely, into the green range.”
BTC · Feb 05, 2026
HIT Crypto Falcon ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“Consequently, a return to current, for example, to a range somewhere around 80 thousand dollars. Approximately such a setup.”
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $52,000 (+29.5%) · deadline May 06
“It smells like around 60 59 dash 60.000 and then on the break of the lows 52.000 dollars.”
BTC · Feb 05, 2026
HIT Crypto Falcon ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“Consequently, a return to current, for example, to a range somewhere around 80 thousand dollars. Approximately such a setup.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $60,000 (-4.6%) · deadline May 06
“It smells like around 60 59 dash 60.000 and then on the break of the lows 52.000 dollars.”
BTC · Feb 05, 2026
HIT Crypto Falcon ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“Consequently, a return to current, for example, to a range somewhere around 80 thousand dollars. Approximately such a setup.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $70,000 (-0.8%) · deadline May 07
“Then we should somehow aggressively hit the longs. Then an attempt to break 70 thousand.”
BTC · Jan 31, 2026
HIT Crypto Falcon ▼ (-12.6%) · deadline Mar 02
“option 1 is that we just keep falling without knowing where until where”
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (-6.9%) · deadline Mar 06
“Therefore, all these factors I mentioned, in principle, may indicate that the strength of the rebound from the current price range will be higher than, for example, when we had 86 thousand, or even 84. And it's quite pos”
BTC · Nov 27, 2025
HIT Crypto Falcon ▼ (-3.8%) · deadline Dec 27
“But I can assume that we will very soon see Bitcoin below the levels we see it at now. What levels will these be? 70, 60, 50. I mean, I'm not ready to place bets, sorry.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ → $92,000 (+6.6%) · deadline Mar 01
“Leave the best entry under stop. Eh, take the target, say, there, eh, around finish 92.000 dollars, eh, and take a bunch of intermediate targets.”
ETH · Aug 23, 2025
MISS Crypto Falcon ▲ (-42.1%) · deadline Nov 21
“This high we are very likely to take, I estimate the probability for myself as 99%, we are going to take this high.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $3,800 (-21.4%) · deadline Nov 20
“I'm looking more towards the 3.800 dollar range. Why that?”
ETH · Aug 23, 2025
MISS Crypto Falcon ▲ (-42.1%) · deadline Nov 21
“This high we are very likely to take, I estimate the probability for myself as 99%, we are going to take this high.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (-8.4%) · deadline Aug 25
“Maybe there will be some rebounds, maybe even an attempt to retest, but most likely the retest will not be very successful, and here, well, the sellers with their pressure will be stronger.”
BTC · Aug 20, 2025
HIT Crypto Falcon ▲ → $120,000 (+5.0%) · deadline Nov 18
“And even if we here still see some corrections with a high probability, we will return there at least to the 120.000 dollar zone.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (-4.6%) · deadline Aug 25
“Taking into account that it's the weekend now, probably they'll fix a bit this very increase, that is, there will be some further drop more likely.”
BTC · May 05, 2025
MISS Crypto Falcon ▼ → $85,500 (+20.6%) · deadline Aug 03
“I'm keeping in mind a deeper correction. The correction, as I discussed with you in previous times, from hay, from, accordingly, from low to hay we draw fibo and look at the 0.5 level. Basically, this zone, it's still in”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ → $114,000 (+10.7%) · deadline Aug 07
“For us, comparable movement in this case would be around 114 thousand, which is interesting. But this is still, you know, looks like more of a slogan than a real scenario.”
BTC · Apr 24, 2025
MISS Crypto Falcon ▲ (-17.6%) · deadline Apr 24
“And sooner or later, most likely, the price will break the all-time high. At least, if we're talking about bitcoin. It always does that.”
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $88,000 (+14.7%) · deadline May 24
“Most likely, we'll see a pullback to around 88 thousand.”
BTC · Apr 08, 2025
MISS Crypto Falcon ▼ → $68,500 (+41.9%) · deadline Jul 07
“The next, basically, correction level for us is $68.500.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ → $88,000 (+4.0%) · deadline Apr 21
“maybe locally for the first part of the week, this will be a rise to 88, then later the second part of the week this will be another decline and return to approximately current levels.”
Full records: Crypto Falcon · Ilya Mescheryakov · all head-to-heads →