State of crypto predictions — August 2026
Final numbers for the month. 1347 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 585 hit (43%) , 705 missed, 57 stopped out. 2046 new calls were logged
by 181 channels (1432 bullish, 564 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 263 of 631 hit 42% BTC ETH: 94 of 201 hit 47% ETH XRP: 65 of 127 hit 51% XRP SOL: 48 of 103 hit 47% SOL ADA: 14 of 38 hit 37% ADA HYPE: 19 of 37 hit 51% HYPE TOTAL: 8 of 37 hit 22% TOTAL DOGE: 6 of 19 hit 32% DOGE Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 631 263 42% ETH 201 94 47% XRP 127 65 51% SOL 103 48 47% ADA 38 14 37% HYPE 37 19 51% TOTAL 37 8 22% DOGE 19 6 32%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 26 of 121 hit 21% ≤7d 8–30d: 173 of 517 hit 33% 8–30d 31–90d: 363 of 636 hit 57% 31–90d 91–365d: 20 of 63 hit 32% 91–365d >1y: 3 of 10 hit 30% >1y Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 121 26 21% 8–30d 517 173 33% 31–90d 636 363 57% 91–365d 63 20 32% >1y 10 3 30%
Verdicts per day Aug 1: 31 verdicts 31 1 Aug 2: 33 verdicts 33 2 Aug 3: 21 verdicts 21 3 Aug 4: 30 verdicts 30 4 Aug 5: 37 verdicts 37 5 Aug 6: 35 verdicts 35 6 Aug 7: 39 verdicts 39 7 Aug 8: 32 verdicts 32 8 Aug 9: 28 verdicts 28 9 Aug 10: 22 verdicts 22 10 Aug 11: 27 verdicts 27 11 Aug 12: 27 verdicts 27 12 Aug 13: 31 verdicts 31 13 Aug 14: 38 verdicts 38 14 Aug 15: 22 verdicts 22 15 Aug 16: 23 verdicts 23 16 Aug 17: 27 verdicts 27 17 Aug 18: 26 verdicts 26 18 Aug 19: 211 verdicts 211 19 Aug 20: 86 verdicts 86 20 Aug 21: 114 verdicts 114 21 Aug 22: 67 verdicts 67 22 Aug 23: 21 verdicts 21 23 Aug 24: 53 verdicts 53 24 Aug 25: 31 verdicts 31 25 Aug 26: 36 verdicts 36 26 Aug 27: 38 verdicts 38 27 Aug 28: 37 verdicts 37 28 Aug 29: 20 verdicts 20 29 Aug 30: 44 verdicts 44 30 Aug 31: 60 verdicts 60 31
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit Crypto Jon ·
PUMP ▲
· said Jul 27 · deadline Aug 26 · +130.9% “Historically, it is down 70%, but it is once again the main driver of the Solana system so far, and could perform very well when the bull market returns.”
Biggest miss Crypto Jon ·
BANK ▲
· said Jul 27 · deadline Aug 26 · -89.3% “This currency could generate significantly higher profits when the bull market returns.”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 983 XRP 253 ETH 235 SOL 143 TOTAL 63 HYPE 47
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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