State of crypto predictions — May 2026
Final numbers for the month. 623 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 215 hit (35%) , 358 missed, 50 stopped out. 947 new calls were logged
by 134 channels (537 bullish, 394 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 121 of 370 hit 33% BTC ETH: 18 of 63 hit 29% ETH SOL: 18 of 46 hit 39% SOL XRP: 11 of 33 hit 33% XRP TOTAL: 15 of 27 hit 56% TOTAL HYPE: 7 of 10 hit 70% HYPE SUI: 3 of 8 hit 38% SUI DOGE: 2 of 6 hit 33% DOGE Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 370 121 33% ETH 63 18 29% SOL 46 18 39% XRP 33 11 33% TOTAL 27 15 56% HYPE 10 7 70% SUI 8 3 38% DOGE 6 2 33%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 15 of 69 hit 22% ≤7d 8–30d: 95 of 229 hit 41% 8–30d 31–90d: 101 of 279 hit 36% 31–90d 91–365d: 4 of 45 hit 9% 91–365d >1y: 0 of 1 hit 0% >1y Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 69 15 22% 8–30d 229 95 41% 31–90d 279 101 36% 91–365d 45 4 9% >1y 1 0 0%
Verdicts per day May 1: 18 verdicts 18 1 May 2: 11 verdicts 11 2 May 3: 22 verdicts 22 3 May 4: 46 verdicts 46 4 May 5: 10 verdicts 10 5 May 6: 28 verdicts 28 6 May 7: 30 verdicts 30 7 May 8: 17 verdicts 17 8 May 9: 8 verdicts 8 9 May 10: 21 verdicts 21 10 May 11: 18 verdicts 18 11 May 12: 9 verdicts 9 12 May 13: 20 verdicts 20 13 May 14: 20 verdicts 20 14 May 15: 15 verdicts 15 15 May 16: 21 verdicts 21 16 May 17: 30 verdicts 30 17 May 18: 15 verdicts 15 18 May 19: 14 verdicts 14 19 May 20: 15 verdicts 15 20 May 21: 9 verdicts 9 21 May 22: 20 verdicts 20 22 May 23: 25 verdicts 25 23 May 24: 19 verdicts 19 24 May 25: 24 verdicts 24 25 May 26: 16 verdicts 16 26 May 27: 14 verdicts 14 27 May 28: 46 verdicts 46 28 May 29: 16 verdicts 16 29 May 30: 9 verdicts 9 30 May 31: 37 verdicts 37 31
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit Crypto Hustle ·
ZEC ▲ → $689.00
· said Mar 17 · deadline Jun 15 · +152.7% “You can see the resistance level, according to the nitrous bull indicator, it's $689 is where the resistance is. And we're only at $271 right now.”
Biggest miss Suppoman ·
CHILLGUY ▲
· said May 28 · deadline May 28 · -87.2% “I think that this one with its market cap I think a 10x is reasonable.”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 514 ETH 111 XRP 59 SOL 44 HYPE 36 TOTAL 33
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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