State of crypto predictions — February 2026
Final numbers for the month. 394 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 147 hit (37%) , 232 missed, 15 stopped out. 546 new calls were logged
by 103 channels (265 bullish, 262 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 104 of 220 hit 47% BTC ETH: 10 of 35 hit 29% ETH SOL: 8 of 20 hit 40% SOL TOTAL: 4 of 15 hit 27% TOTAL XRP: 5 of 13 hit 38% XRP ZEC: 3 of 9 hit 33% ZEC ADA: 4 of 8 hit 50% ADA LTC: 0 of 8 hit 0% LTC Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 220 104 47% ETH 35 10 29% SOL 20 8 40% TOTAL 15 4 27% XRP 13 5 38% ZEC 9 3 33% ADA 8 4 50% LTC 8 0 0%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 6 of 21 hit 29% ≤7d 8–30d: 52 of 159 hit 33% 8–30d 31–90d: 74 of 158 hit 47% 31–90d 91–365d: 12 of 53 hit 23% 91–365d >1y: 3 of 3 hit 100% >1y Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 21 6 29% 8–30d 159 52 33% 31–90d 158 74 47% 91–365d 53 12 23% >1y 3 3 100%
Verdicts per day Feb 1: 15 verdicts 15 1 Feb 2: 21 verdicts 21 2 Feb 3: 22 verdicts 22 3 Feb 4: 17 verdicts 17 4 Feb 5: 46 verdicts 46 5 Feb 6: 40 verdicts 40 6 Feb 7: 8 verdicts 8 7 Feb 8: 10 verdicts 10 8 Feb 9: 8 verdicts 8 9 Feb 10: 6 verdicts 6 10 Feb 11: 5 verdicts 5 11 Feb 12: 5 verdicts 5 12 Feb 13: 8 verdicts 8 13 Feb 14: 16 verdicts 16 14 Feb 15: 16 verdicts 16 15 Feb 16: 9 verdicts 9 16 Feb 17: 5 verdicts 5 17 Feb 18: 6 verdicts 6 18 Feb 19: 12 verdicts 12 19 Feb 20: 14 verdicts 14 20 Feb 21: 13 verdicts 13 21 Feb 22: 8 verdicts 8 22 Feb 23: 18 verdicts 18 23 Feb 24: 9 verdicts 9 24 Feb 25: 23 verdicts 23 25 Feb 26: 10 verdicts 10 26 Feb 27: 10 verdicts 10 27 Feb 28: 14 verdicts 14 28
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit
“I believe Kite could potentially become one of those AI agent infrastructure blue chips”
Biggest miss
“Iko s kakoy-nibud' sumashey kapitalizatsii miliardov tak 20 da a eto Primerno tam 90 iksov ot tekushikh tsе To est' eto poryadka tam ne znayu skol'ko poluchayetsya dolgara k primere orientirovannye tsifry povolnye razumno”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 358 ETH 62 SOL 28 TOTAL 23 XRP 17 LINK 7
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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