State of crypto predictions — April 2025
Final numbers for the month. 174 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 44 hit (25%) , 119 missed, 11 stopped out. 197 new calls were logged
by 50 channels (159 bullish, 33 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 31 of 89 hit 35% BTC ETH: 5 of 17 hit 29% ETH XRP: 1 of 12 hit 8% XRP TOTAL: 0 of 8 hit 0% TOTAL GALA: 0 of 7 hit 0% GALA SOL: 3 of 6 hit 50% SOL LINK: 0 of 5 hit 0% LINK KAS: 1 of 4 hit 25% KAS Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 89 31 35% ETH 17 5 29% XRP 12 1 8% TOTAL 8 0 0% GALA 7 0 0% SOL 6 3 50% LINK 5 0 0% KAS 4 1 25%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 2 of 4 hit 50% ≤7d 8–30d: 16 of 67 hit 24% 8–30d 31–90d: 25 of 83 hit 30% 31–90d 91–365d: 1 of 19 hit 5% 91–365d >1y: 0 of 1 hit 0% >1y Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 4 2 50% 8–30d 67 16 24% 31–90d 83 25 30% 91–365d 19 1 5% >1y 1 0 0%
Verdicts per day Apr 1: 7 verdicts 7 1 Apr 2: 7 verdicts 7 2 Apr 3: 2 verdicts 2 3 Apr 4: 4 verdicts 4 4 Apr 5: 4 verdicts 4 5 Apr 6: 21 verdicts 21 6 Apr 7: 15 verdicts 15 7 Apr 9: 2 verdicts 2 9 Apr 10: 5 verdicts 5 10 Apr 11: 7 verdicts 7 11 Apr 12: 4 verdicts 4 12 Apr 14: 2 verdicts 2 14 Apr 15: 3 verdicts 3 15 Apr 16: 3 verdicts 3 16 Apr 17: 6 verdicts 6 17 Apr 18: 5 verdicts 5 18 Apr 19: 5 verdicts 5 19 Apr 20: 3 verdicts 3 20 Apr 21: 9 verdicts 9 21 Apr 22: 14 verdicts 14 22 Apr 23: 5 verdicts 5 23 Apr 24: 6 verdicts 6 24 Apr 25: 9 verdicts 9 25 Apr 26: 7 verdicts 7 26 Apr 27: 6 verdicts 6 27 Apr 28: 1 verdicts 1 28 Apr 29: 3 verdicts 3 29 Apr 30: 9 verdicts 9 30
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit
“And anyway 4.000 - this is probably the maximum for ether. Not sure if it even updates its own maximum.”
Biggest miss EllioTrades ·
FET ▲
· said Apr 06 · deadline Apr 06 · -85.4% “a 10x from here would be an amazing performance I think it just grinds up with the cycle”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 107 ETH 17 XRP 12 TOTAL 6 SOL 5 DOGE 5
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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