State of crypto predictions — July 2024
Final numbers for the month. 69 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 23 hit (33%) , 44 missed, 2 stopped out. 97 new calls were logged
by 24 channels (78 bullish, 18 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 12 of 38 hit 32% BTC ETH: 3 of 9 hit 33% ETH BNB: 0 of 3 hit 0% BNB DOGE: 3 of 3 hit 100% DOGE SOL: 2 of 3 hit 67% SOL XRP: 1 of 2 hit 50% XRP TOTAL: 0 of 2 hit 0% TOTAL PENDLE: 0 of 1 hit 0% PENDLE Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 38 12 32% ETH 9 3 33% BNB 3 0 0% DOGE 3 3 100% SOL 3 2 67% XRP 2 1 50% TOTAL 2 0 0% PENDLE 1 0 0%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 0 of 1 hit 0% ≤7d 8–30d: 7 of 20 hit 35% 8–30d 31–90d: 12 of 38 hit 32% 31–90d 91–365d: 4 of 10 hit 40% 91–365d Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 1 0 0% 8–30d 20 7 35% 31–90d 38 12 32% 91–365d 10 4 40%
Verdicts per day Jul 1: 2 verdicts 2 1 Jul 2: 2 verdicts 2 2 Jul 3: 5 verdicts 5 3 Jul 4: 5 verdicts 5 4 Jul 5: 1 verdicts 1 5 Jul 6: 3 verdicts 3 6 Jul 7: 1 verdicts 1 7 Jul 8: 2 verdicts 2 8 Jul 9: 1 verdicts 1 9 Jul 10: 5 verdicts 5 10 Jul 12: 1 verdicts 1 12 Jul 13: 4 verdicts 4 13 Jul 14: 5 verdicts 5 14 Jul 15: 2 verdicts 2 15 Jul 16: 2 verdicts 2 16 Jul 17: 3 verdicts 3 17 Jul 18: 1 verdicts 1 18 Jul 19: 2 verdicts 2 19 Jul 21: 3 verdicts 3 21 Jul 22: 1 verdicts 1 22 Jul 24: 3 verdicts 3 24 Jul 25: 1 verdicts 1 25 Jul 27: 2 verdicts 2 27 Jul 28: 1 verdicts 1 28 Jul 29: 2 verdicts 2 29 Jul 30: 4 verdicts 4 30 Jul 31: 5 verdicts 5 31
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit
“High у него 260 долларов у проекта, и это 12-13 иксов, очень неплохой потенциал для роста”
Biggest miss Brian Jung ·
DEGEN ▲ → $0.06
· said Apr 07 · deadline Jul 06 · -82.9% “a six cents Degen or where we were at at the previous resistance levels is what I'd predict to have a fairly good shot at happening.”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 47 ETH 11 SOL 7 TOTAL 5 MNT 2 DOGE 2
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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