State of crypto predictions — January 2024
Final numbers for the month. 82 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 43 hit (52%) , 37 missed, 2 stopped out. 76 new calls were logged
by 22 channels (60 bullish, 13 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 20 of 42 hit 48% BTC ETH: 5 of 10 hit 50% ETH AVAX: 1 of 2 hit 50% AVAX RUNE: 1 of 2 hit 50% RUNE SOL: 1 of 2 hit 50% SOL BNB: 2 of 2 hit 100% BNB LTC: 0 of 2 hit 0% LTC TOTAL: 0 of 2 hit 0% TOTAL Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 42 20 48% ETH 10 5 50% AVAX 2 1 50% RUNE 2 1 50% SOL 2 1 50% BNB 2 2 100% LTC 2 0 0% TOTAL 2 0 0%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 1 of 1 hit 100% ≤7d 8–30d: 8 of 19 hit 42% 8–30d 31–90d: 26 of 41 hit 63% 31–90d 91–365d: 6 of 17 hit 35% 91–365d >1y: 2 of 4 hit 50% >1y Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 1 1 100% 8–30d 19 8 42% 31–90d 41 26 63% 91–365d 17 6 35% >1y 4 2 50%
Verdicts per day Jan 1: 4 verdicts 4 1 Jan 2: 2 verdicts 2 2 Jan 3: 3 verdicts 3 3 Jan 4: 1 verdicts 1 4 Jan 5: 3 verdicts 3 5 Jan 6: 3 verdicts 3 6 Jan 8: 2 verdicts 2 8 Jan 9: 3 verdicts 3 9 Jan 10: 5 verdicts 5 10 Jan 11: 5 verdicts 5 11 Jan 12: 2 verdicts 2 12 Jan 13: 3 verdicts 3 13 Jan 14: 2 verdicts 2 14 Jan 16: 3 verdicts 3 16 Jan 17: 1 verdicts 1 17 Jan 18: 3 verdicts 3 18 Jan 20: 8 verdicts 8 20 Jan 21: 1 verdicts 1 21 Jan 22: 2 verdicts 2 22 Jan 23: 3 verdicts 3 23 Jan 24: 1 verdicts 1 24 Jan 25: 2 verdicts 2 25 Jan 26: 14 verdicts 14 26 Jan 27: 1 verdicts 1 27 Jan 29: 1 verdicts 1 29 Jan 30: 2 verdicts 2 30 Jan 31: 2 verdicts 2 31
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit VirtualBacon ·
SOL ▲
· said Jan 16 · deadline Jan 16 · +313.9% “even if sole price only revisits its all-time high that would still give us a handsome 18x return in the next cycle”
Biggest miss
“i do believe they are going to go past their all-time high in this bull run”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 35 ETH 8 TOTAL 6 ATOM 2 SOL 2 IOTA 1
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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