State of crypto predictions — December 2023
Final numbers for the month. 69 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 38 hit (55%) , 28 missed, 3 stopped out. 108 new calls were logged
by 22 channels (90 bullish, 18 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 18 of 33 hit 55% BTC ETH: 3 of 6 hit 50% ETH DOT: 5 of 5 hit 100% DOT SOL: 4 of 5 hit 80% SOL TOTAL: 2 of 3 hit 67% TOTAL XRP: 0 of 2 hit 0% XRP ADA: 2 of 2 hit 100% ADA DYDX: 1 of 2 hit 50% DYDX Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 33 18 55% ETH 6 3 50% DOT 5 5 100% SOL 5 4 80% TOTAL 3 2 67% XRP 2 0 0% ADA 2 2 100% DYDX 2 1 50%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 1 of 3 hit 33% ≤7d 8–30d: 10 of 19 hit 53% 8–30d 31–90d: 13 of 17 hit 76% 31–90d 91–365d: 13 of 23 hit 57% 91–365d >1y: 1 of 7 hit 14% >1y Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 3 1 33% 8–30d 19 10 53% 31–90d 17 13 76% 91–365d 23 13 57% >1y 7 1 14%
Verdicts per day Dec 1: 1 verdicts 1 1 Dec 2: 3 verdicts 3 2 Dec 3: 2 verdicts 2 3 Dec 4: 5 verdicts 5 4 Dec 5: 6 verdicts 6 5 Dec 6: 1 verdicts 1 6 Dec 7: 1 verdicts 1 7 Dec 8: 6 verdicts 6 8 Dec 10: 3 verdicts 3 10 Dec 11: 1 verdicts 1 11 Dec 12: 1 verdicts 1 12 Dec 13: 3 verdicts 3 13 Dec 15: 1 verdicts 1 15 Dec 19: 1 verdicts 1 19 Dec 20: 1 verdicts 1 20 Dec 22: 3 verdicts 3 22 Dec 23: 4 verdicts 4 23 Dec 24: 2 verdicts 2 24 Dec 26: 1 verdicts 1 26 Dec 27: 1 verdicts 1 27 Dec 28: 1 verdicts 1 28 Dec 29: 1 verdicts 1 29 Dec 30: 3 verdicts 3 30 Dec 31: 17 verdicts 17 31
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit VirtualBacon ·
SOL ▲ → $100.00
· said Sep 20 · deadline Dec 30 · +392.9% “My expected return is around $100 or a 5x return. I think Solana is still more productive than the fake blockchains like EOS or Tezos”
Biggest miss InvestAnswers ·
UNI ▲ → $62.00
· said Jun 04 · deadline Dec 31 · -72.7% “because of the intense growth rate 2023 62 20 24 83”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 41 ETH 8 TOTAL 5 ATOM 4 SOL 4 LINK 4
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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