State of crypto predictions — October 2023

Final numbers for the month. 49 calls from tracked channels reached their deadline: 16 hit (33%), 29 missed, 4 stopped out. 84 new calls were logged by 16 channels (67 bullish, 16 bearish).

calls resolved

33%

hit rate

new calls logged

channels active

Hit rate by coin

Coin	Resolved	Hit	Hit rate
BTC	27	11	41%
XRP	4	1	25%
ETH	4	0	0%
INJ	2	1	50%
AVAX	1	1	100%
LINK	1	0	0%
ALGO	1	0	0%
ADA	1	0	0%

Hit rate by horizon

Horizon	Resolved	Hit	Hit rate
≤7d	1	0	0%
8–30d	11	3	27%
31–90d	25	9	36%
91–365d	12	4	33%

Verdicts per day

Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts

Best hit rate

Channel	Hit	Resolved
Trader 80/20	3	8
ReadySetCrypto	1	5
Ridvan (GENESIS)	2	11

Worst hit rate

Channel	Hit	Resolved
Ridvan (GENESIS)	2	11
ReadySetCrypto	1	5
Trader 80/20	3	8

Biggest hit

Ilnur Muhtov · BTC ▲ → $34,000 · said Dec 20 · deadline Dec 20 · +101.2%

“I think that a move in the direction of 30-35 could quite possibly happen, and there will be completely no profit for very few, while the majority will still have a big drawdown. Therefore, in principle, Bitcoin in the direction of 34 could be pushed, but they are not obliged to, but overall, they c”

Biggest miss

VirtualBacon · SUI ▲ · said May 28 · deadline Oct 31 · -58.3%

“from now until November 2023 the chances of a manipulated price pump is quite high it's very easy to move the price of Suite right now”

What was called

Coin	New calls
BTC	33
TOTAL	4
ETH	3
BNB	2
SOL	2
ICP	2

Method: how calls are logged and judged · data: open data · all reports →
Cite as: Oracle Check, “State of crypto predictions — October 2023”, oraclecheck.com/report/2023-10.html