State of crypto predictions — January 2023
Final numbers for the month. 47 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 19 hit (40%) , 28 missed, 0 stopped out. 63 new calls were logged
by 14 channels (55 bullish, 6 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 12 of 25 hit 48% BTC ETH: 3 of 6 hit 50% ETH ADA: 1 of 3 hit 33% ADA XRP: 0 of 2 hit 0% XRP APT: 1 of 2 hit 50% APT SOL: 0 of 2 hit 0% SOL DOGE: 1 of 1 hit 100% DOGE KSM: 0 of 1 hit 0% KSM Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 25 12 48% ETH 6 3 50% ADA 3 1 33% XRP 2 0 0% APT 2 1 50% SOL 2 0 0% DOGE 1 1 100% KSM 1 0 0%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 0 of 1 hit 0% ≤7d 8–30d: 2 of 6 hit 33% 8–30d 31–90d: 16 of 36 hit 44% 31–90d 91–365d: 1 of 3 hit 33% 91–365d >1y: 0 of 1 hit 0% >1y Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 1 0 0% 8–30d 6 2 33% 31–90d 36 16 44% 91–365d 3 1 33% >1y 1 0 0%
Verdicts per day Jan 3: 3 verdicts 3 3 Jan 5: 1 verdicts 1 5 Jan 6: 1 verdicts 1 6 Jan 8: 1 verdicts 1 8 Jan 9: 3 verdicts 3 9 Jan 10: 2 verdicts 2 10 Jan 11: 3 verdicts 3 11 Jan 12: 9 verdicts 9 12 Jan 13: 2 verdicts 2 13 Jan 14: 6 verdicts 6 14 Jan 15: 1 verdicts 1 15 Jan 16: 3 verdicts 3 16 Jan 17: 2 verdicts 2 17 Jan 19: 1 verdicts 1 19 Jan 20: 2 verdicts 2 20 Jan 21: 1 verdicts 1 21 Jan 22: 1 verdicts 1 22 Jan 28: 1 verdicts 1 28 Jan 31: 4 verdicts 4 31
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit
“I think the next big panic sell-off in Ada is definitely buyable that would be my target point two fine”
Biggest miss
“this tells us that in 2023 we could see a 121 thousand dollar bitcoin”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 31 ETH 8 DOGE 4 SOL 4 APT 3 XRP 2
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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