State of crypto predictions — December 2021
Final numbers for the month. 45 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 3 hit (7%) , 37 missed, 5 stopped out. 17 new calls were logged
by 4 channels (17 bullish, 0 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 1 of 25 hit 4% BTC SOL: 0 of 3 hit 0% SOL GRT: 0 of 3 hit 0% GRT VET: 1 of 2 hit 50% VET XRP: 0 of 2 hit 0% XRP DOT: 0 of 2 hit 0% DOT AVAX: 0 of 1 hit 0% AVAX ENJ: 0 of 1 hit 0% ENJ Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 25 1 4% SOL 3 0 0% GRT 3 0 0% VET 2 1 50% XRP 2 0 0% DOT 2 0 0% AVAX 1 0 0% ENJ 1 0 0%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 0 of 5 hit 0% ≤7d 8–30d: 1 of 6 hit 17% 8–30d 31–90d: 0 of 7 hit 0% 31–90d 91–365d: 1 of 26 hit 4% 91–365d >1y: 1 of 1 hit 100% >1y Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 5 0 0% 8–30d 6 1 17% 31–90d 7 0 0% 91–365d 26 1 4% >1y 1 1 100%
Verdicts per day Dec 1: 1 verdicts 1 1 Dec 3: 1 verdicts 1 3 Dec 4: 3 verdicts 3 4 Dec 6: 1 verdicts 1 6 Dec 13: 1 verdicts 1 13 Dec 14: 1 verdicts 1 14 Dec 17: 1 verdicts 1 17 Dec 19: 2 verdicts 2 19 Dec 29: 1 verdicts 1 29 Dec 31: 33 verdicts 33 31
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit
“so bitcoin is looking to go parabolic in 2021 as it did in 2013 and 2017”
Biggest miss Crypto Diary ·
ADA ▲ → $3.55
· said Aug 24 · deadline Dec 31 · -51.9% “I see ADA hitting $3.55 by December 2021.”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 11 AVAX 3 SOL 2 CAKE 1
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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