Road To $1 Million USD prediction accuracy
A
30–39%
31%
29%
all resolved (48)
65%
30-day direction (43)
73
calls logged
25
open right now
6
flips (30d)
Current stance
▶ BTC
Sep 26 · open
Is Road To $1 Million USD accurate?
Grade A: on 16 predictions where Road To $1 Million USD named the deadline themselves, the target was hit 31% of the time. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 65% of the time (43 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
The record
OPEN
BTC ▶
“it looks like it is just going to be a choppy sideways type of price action over the course of the weekend”
“we need to see a break above the previous highs sitting at about 86.6k at that point we invalidate this bearish signal and we can start looking towards a further move to the upside”
“if we get some kind of clear breakout retest resumption breaking above these highs here with volume that could be an interesting time to look towards this target potentially getting hit at about 85.8k”
OPEN
BTC ▼
“It's actually my base case that we are going to see lower prices.”
“If we break through these previous highs at about 87,000, then we should be looking for another leg to the upside for Bitcoin.”
“So if we get the candle close above 83K, 93K would already be my next target after that because that is simply where the next liquidity is.”
VOID
BTC ▼ → $62,000
“for now i am actually still targeting these lower levels around 62k because we still have massive liquidity to the downside”
“We do still have this 52k price target.”
“And now I'm looking for another move lower with a clear stop loss being at 87,000.”
“now that we have broken the highs of course this completely opens the door to more bullish price action for bitcoin once again so in the short term it makes sense to be bullish biased”
“That means that my active price target at the moment is still 52,000 in the Bitcoin price.”
“my base case is still that we are more likely to actually end up creating another lower low somewhere later in the year”
“let's see where we close the week out if we end up closing above this roughly 67k level that is a clear indication for us that likely we are indeed getting those couple weeks of potential upside”
“while for now my price target for bitcoin is still 52 000 because of this bearish flag pattern that broke down in january at about 87k”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $62,200
“So right now, since we're in a downtrend, we are actually still targeting this 62.2k level.”
“price target to the downside around 52,000 in the Bitcoin price.”
VOID
BTC ▼ → $58,000
“my base case expectation is that we are going to make another lower low below 58,000 before this bear market is over.”
VOID
BTC ▼ → $52,000
“we broke down from this bearish flag pattern which set up this price target all the way down at 52 000”
“big liquidity sitting around 62 000 and zooming out even further to the one month time frame you can see that 61.”
“And at that point, it seems very likely that we are going to be reaching this 51k level and finally hitting that 52k price target that I've been talking about for over half a year at this point.”
“rm downside liquidity is sitting at around 62.”
OPEN
BTC ▼
“my base case is clearly that we are going to make new lower lows later in the year”
“now another part in terms of maximum height that will go in this counter trend rally is about 83 000”
“if we end up breaking through this 66k level, we should definitely expect another move to the upside after that as well.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $52,000
“I have had a long term price target all the way back from January, where on the channel here, we were specifically targeting 52,000 in the Bitcoin price.”
“if that ends up getting hit then i will be looking for 45k right after that”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $52,000
“currently the first active target is 52 000 if that ends up getting hit then i will be looking for 45k right after that”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $58,500
“more likely is that we are actually going to invalidate this bullish divergence at some point by creating a new candle close below 58 59 000 roughly speaking”
MISS
BTC ▼
“right now while we are below that 65k level the risk is actually to the downside”
“The $52k level is still the first price target on the higher time frame.”
MISS
BTC ▼
“Now my base case, as you guys should know by now is that we are not going to be seeing a new high above this 82k level.”
“I still have an active price target for Bitcoin of 52k”
“The more extended target for this bearish pattern is 45k in the Bitcoin price. So if we end up hitting 52k, that is actually going to be the next price target for me personally.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $52,000
“Besides that, my price target for Bitcoin is still 52k, which has been the case ever since we broke down from this bearish flag pattern in January at 87,000.”
“And at least this 53k level looks like a huge target on the higher timeframes here.”
OPEN
BTC ▼
“however i am still expecting a lower low to come in at least before the end of this year”
“for now we still have this bearish price target to the downside at 52k and the extended target at 45k as well and this is of course because we broke down from this bear flag pattern at 87 000”
“my base case expectation is that we are going to make another lower low some point later in this year”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $52,000
“we still have this bearish price target to the downside after we broke down from this bearish flag pattern at 87k. So the price target currently is 52,000 in the Bitcoin price”
MISS
BTC ▼
“But my base case is actually that we are going to roll over once again and make new lower lows below this weekly candle close at 63k at some point.”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $82,000
“we might get some kind of like short-term bounce out of here sometime soon within the next week or two most likely I think we're just going to make a lower high below this previous high at about 82k”
“And that is why we are actually targeting 52,000 in the Bitcoin price, still looking for some kind of lower low to end up forming.”
“Either way, for now, the price target is still 70,000 in the Bitcoin price and still bearish biased, so long as we're trading below this descending trend line.”
“so long as we are not seeing a move above 87,000, then 52k is the main target on this weekly time frame.”
“i am still targeting 70 000 in the bitcoin price which is where i have my take profit on this short position”
“we are breaking out to the downside from this bear flag pattern that broke out at 87k so long as we are not getting a weekly candle close above that level i am targeting 52 000 in the bitcoin price”
HIT
BTC ▼ → $70,000
“we are still in the process of reaching our price target at 70 000 after we broke out to the downside from this rising wedge pattern”
“we're still breaking to the downside of this bearish flag pattern which has a confirmed price target of 52 000 in the bitcoin price and the point of invalidation for this pattern is we get a move above 87 000 in the bitcoin price”
“as you know i am still targeting 70 000 in the bitcoin price with the point of invalidation being 82.4k on top of that”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $52,000
“And ever since then, we've had this price target of 52,000 in the Bitcoin price.”
HIT
BTC ▼ → $70,000
“So this broke out at about 79.3k and has actually set up this price target down at about 70,000 in the Bitcoin price.”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $52,000
“So right now my active price target on this time frame is actually 52,000 in the Bitcoin price and the point of invalidation for this pattern is if we get a move above the point of the breakout at 87k”
HIT
BTC ▼ → $69,700
“Currently my price target is 69.7k in the Bitcoin price and as you guys know I am currently short on Bitcoin.”
MISS
BTC ▼
“my base case expectation for now is actually lower price action, especially after we break 76k. So that is the key area to pay attention to over the coming 24 to 48 hours.”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $52,000
“I have a bearish price target to the downside at 52k in the Bitcoin price, because we have this bearish flag pattern that broke out at 87k.”
HIT
BTC ▼ → $69,700
“we still have this active price target to the downside of 69.7k in the Bitcoin price. And that is, of course, because of this rising wedge pattern that has broken out to the downside in combination with this bearish divergence”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $52,000
“we still have this bearish price target to the downside at 52k”
HIT
BTC ▼ → $69,700
“currently we have a price target to the downside at 69.7k”
OPEN
BTC ▼
“i'm expecting this to come in anywhere between june of 2026 and march of 2027 so anything in this window it doesn't have to be a huge crash to 20 000”
“downside at 87 000 which is what set up this price target to the downside at 52k in the bitcoin price and the point of invalidation for this pattern is 87 000”
“today we have actually started to break to the downside this rising wedge pattern if it confirms later today sets up a price target of 69.7 000 as the price target and the point of invalidation is 82.4k”
“the base case has not changed whatsoever i am still just expecting this to roll over on the higher time frames and eventually potentially even reach this price target at around 52k”
“I am still expecting a new lower low to be created below 60,000 however we do have a clear point of invalidation for this idea”
“If we end up getting a candle close above 87k, that would actually invalidate the pattern, meaning that we would no longer be targeting 52k in the Bitcoin price.”
HIT
BTC ▼ → $60,000
“eventually my base case expectation is still just that we're going to end up rolling over and at least get close to these previous lows that we had around 60k”
OPEN
BTC ▼
“the base case expectation for me is indeed that we are eventually just going to roll over and likely even see new lower lows below the 60k level.”
“the active price target is still 52K in the Bitcoin price, even while we are seeing a counter trend rally here. Now the point of invalidation for this bearish flag pattern is if we break above 87,000”
HIT
BTC ▼
“ultimately expect that we end up rolling over and just seeing lower prices compared to where we are trading right now”
“we still have this bearish flag pattern that broke out to the downside at 87,000, which means that we are still actively targeting 52k in the Bitcoin price.”
VOID
BTC ▼
“my base case expectation is actually that this is going to roll over”
“So 52k is the current price target, right?”
OPEN
BTC ▼
“For me, what I'm expecting is it to be somewhere between July 26 and March 27.”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $52,000
“Right here we broke to the downside with this bear flag pattern that broke out to the downside at 87,000 which is actually what set up these price targets at 52 and even 45k as well.”
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