Crypto Nutshell prediction accuracy
—
2 of 10
—
48%
all resolved (20)
44%
30-day direction (43)
81
calls logged
60
open right now
0
flips (30d)
Current stance
▲ BTC
Sep 25 · open
▲ ETH → $10,000
Sep 23 · open
▲ LINK
Sep 10 · open
▲ AAVE
Sep 10 · open
▲ UNI
Sep 10 · open
▲ BNB
Sep 5 · open
▲ TOTAL
Sep 4 · open
▲ HYPE
Jul 3 · open
Is Crypto Nutshell accurate?
Not graded yet: 2 of 10 resolved calls with a self-set deadline (20 resolved in total). A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 44% of the time (43 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
The record
“I do think the bottom is probably in and Bitcoin ends the year higher.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $1,300,000
“our base case at Bitwise is we're going to 1.3 million dollars by 2035.”
OPEN
ETH ▲ → $10,000
“I think Ethereum could easily be over 10,000 in that time frame.”
OPEN
ETH ▲ → $5,000
“I would say just being in a new bull cycle means Ethereum should be above 5,000.”
OPEN
ETH ▲
“And that's why we're really bullish on Ethereum as well.”
“It's always done a lot of chopping around two and a half grand, ups and downs and ups and downs. Breaks that and obviously goes to the top of the range, the five grand level.”
“Lee's own math. If Bitcoin reaches 150,000, puts Ethereum near 6,000, and he calls that number conservative.”
“I think we'll reach new true real all-time highs in the coming years”
“And the Fed all of a sudden cuts 300 basis points, I think Bitcoin is going to hit 100K in a week.”
OPEN
BTC ▲
“And we do believe that Bitcoin will get to, you know, new all-time highs in this next cycle.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $1,500,000
“And you know that we're on record saying that our base case for 2030 is 730,000. Our bull case is 1.5 million.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $730,000
“And you know that we're on record saying that our base case for 2030 is 730,000. Our bull case is 1.5 million.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $90,000
“is this what you were talking about or even more that up to 90,000?”
OPEN
BTC ▲
“So I think very few people own crypto. That's why I think, you know, Bitcoin could easily, you know, be in the six figures.”
OPEN
LINK ▲
“I think those could be re-rated up, you know, many multiples in a relatively short period.”
OPEN
AAVE ▲
“I think those could be re-rated up, you know, many multiples in a relatively short period.”
OPEN
UNI ▲
“I think those could be re-rated up, you know, many multiples in a relatively short period.”
OPEN
ETH ▲ → $10,000
“I think Ethereum could easily be over 10,000 in that time frame.”
OPEN
ETH ▲ → $5,000
“So on top of crypto being in the middle of a bull cycle, I would say just being in a new bull cycle means Ethereum should be above 5,000.”
“I wouldn't be surprised to see Bitcoin at multiple hundreds of thousands of dollars.”
“will we be north of $100,000 if things break in Bitcoin's way over the next year? I absolutely think so.”
“I think the, you know, the 60, 58,000 was probably the bottom in Bitcoin. And now it's going to grind higher in this hate rally.”
“I think if Bitcoin could hit a million by 2030, AI bubble collapsing, massive money printing, there's yield curve control of the US. So we have the ingredients. The time is now.”
“if Bitcoin's $150,000, you know, that's going to put Ethereum at around $6,000.”
“if Bitcoin's $150,000, you know, that's going to put Ethereum at around $6,000.”
OPEN
BNB ▲
“I think long-term, crypto will continue to grow. Bitcoin will continue to grow. BNB will continue to grow.”
“I think in the next crypto bull, crypto spring, if AI is now a $10 trillion economy, right, that's the TAM. But maybe it goes to, you know, $100 trillion. You know, is crypto going to be stuck at $1.5 trillion? I mean, I'm highly, highly doubtful of that.”
OPEN
TOTAL ▲ → $100T
“And all of these things tell you the probability that this trend continues, and we get to $100 trillion by, let's say, 2034.”
OPEN
ETH ▲
“should Ethereum be a trillion or two or five trillion dollar network value? Yeah, I can easily see it in the next few years.”
OPEN
ETH ▲ → $8,000
“Well, a while, but not too long because this is happening very quickly. Like you said, I want to ask about a price prediction that I heard from you very recently this week. You said that you think ETH will be over 8K by 2030.”
“If I'm right, and I can't say I'm not going to be, and we go to $100 trillion over time, that's a fuck-ton amount of money.”
“But over time, Bitcoin should go higher because global liquidity is going higher, US broad liquidity is going higher, and US narrow liquidity should go higher as soon as they can get the yield curve to steepen.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $400,000
“Top of next cycle, where do you see Bitcoin? Yeah, I think $250 to $400 is a reasonable range.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $250,000
“Top of next cycle, where do you see Bitcoin? Yeah, I think $250 to $400 is a reasonable range.”
“If we do that, I think it will be the immediate launchpad for a new bull market in cryptocurrencies.”
“Therefore, this will make the Bitcoin bull market slower and more systematic than it has historically been.”
“He argues that productive assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, technology companies, and other innovation driven investments are likely to capture an increasing share of global wealth as the economy evolves.”
“And as you can see, in 1987, over the next month, the S&P recovered nicely. This implies $2,200 for Ethereum in August.”
“If these factors continue to increase, Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market in general could see a significant rise before this cycle reaches its peak.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $730,000
“We believe Bitcoin will reach new record highs in the next cycle. Many do not believe so, but we do , and as you know, we have previously stated that our baseline forecast for 2030 is 730,000.”
“I think we'll rise a lot during the year, but I don't know where the bottom will be.”
OPEN
HYPE ▲
“On Hyperliquid, we're extraordinarily bullish long term.”
“The signal, according to his reading , currently points to a purchase.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $1,500,000
“Our bull case is $1.5 million.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $730,000
“our base case for 2030 is $730,000.”
“I suspect we'll be much higher in a year, but I don't know where the bottom is.”
“So I think this third consolidation is going to be pulled up because of tokenization and agentic AI. And, you know, maybe Ethereum's at $25X from here.”
OPEN
ETH ▲ → $60,000
“If you look at the last crypto lows and make a composite of where Ethereum could be in roughly three years, that would be a 30x. And that would take us to around $60,000.”
“And so, if Ethereum goes back to the eight-year average, that's $12,000.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $250,000
“Well, we think fair value for Bitcoin is $250,000.”
MISS
BTC ▲
“And on the evidence Saylor's presenting, the direction of that build is not seriously in question.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $125,000
“I think, you know, clearly, well, October 6, Bitcoin's 125,000 a coin right now.”
“It just seems extraordinarily like unlikely that if a significant portion of payments are on stable coin rails and all assets are tokenized and Bitcoin gets older and more secure, that will be worth two and a half trillion dollars. I think that number is north of 10.”
HIT
ETH ▲
“ETH should be priced in trillions, considering what I've told you about with the agent economy.”
OPEN
TOTAL ▲ → $10T
“Raoul Pal says crypto is going from $2.5 trillion to $100 trillion by 2034.”
“I have a view that this institutional bid is going to persist for five, 10 years. I think it's going to accelerate, actually”
“I think as they print money, as they continue to try and finance the US government at the short end, as these large, massive companies roll their cash flows and raise money to pour into the real economy, as opposed to equity buybacks, I think the economy will heat up. I think Bitcoin's going to go to the moon.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $500,000
“And again, this to me is what winning looks like. This is the early chapters of what a $500,000 Bitcoin is.”
MISS
ETH ▲ → $12,000
“and Ethereum gets to the eight-year average of the price ratio, that's $12,000 Ethereum.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $250,000
“If Bitcoin gets to $250,000, which we think is fair value in the next 12 months”
MISS
ETH ▲
“they're watching a specific level around 2400 and noting that it hasn't cleared yet. They read the current compression as a bullish falling wedge.”
“they're watching the 120 day exponential moving average. And what they see is a bull flag forming above it.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $500,000
“And again, this to me is what winning looks like. This is the early chapters of what a $500,000 Bitcoin is.”
“in my base case, you can always be wrong on these things, my base case is that Bitcoin has seen the bottom.”
OPEN
BTC ▼
“I think you'll likely either see a high or low in June. But regardless of what happens in June, I still think you'll go lower into October, okay?”
“If Bitcoin gets to $250,000, which we think is fair value in the next 12 months, and Ethereum gets to the 8-year average of the price ratio, that's $12,000 Ethereum.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $250,000
“His base assumption is that Bitcoin reaches $250,000 within the next 12 months.”
OPEN
BTC ▲
“I think there's going to be a massive supply shock. There ought to be a rally in BTC. I think that'll catalyze a rally in all the Bitcoin treasury companies.”
“If Bitcoin gets to $250,000, which we think is fair value in the next 12 months, and Ethereum gets to the eight-year average of the price ratio, that's $12,000 Ethereum.”
“If Bitcoin gets to $250,000, which we think is fair value in the next 12 months,”
OPEN
ETH ▲ → $10,500
“Ethereum price end of 2026? Uh even better. So, I think Ethereum, because I do think crypto winter's over somewhere between maybe 9,000 to 12,000.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $200,000
“Bitcoin price end of 2026? I think it's well past all-time highs. So, I think somewhere between 150,000 and 250,000.”
“We would not be surprised to see gold continue to fall, especially if we're right on the dollar, and Bitcoin continue to increase.”
MISS
ETH ▲
“And so I would be overweight any of the blockchain stories out there today, which includes Ethereum, you know, Solana and others.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $1,500,000
“Our bull case is $1.5 million.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $730,000
“we're on record saying that our base case for 2030 is $730,000.”
“I think it'll get into the triple digits. I think it'll rally back. I think it'll be outperformant for the end of the year.”
MISS
BTC ▶
“we're stuck in this channel between 60 and 80k. Until we break out of that, I would expect that to continue.”
“Drive Bitcoin to $10 million a coin. And make Bitcoin a $200 trillion network until it grows higher.”
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