Miles Deutscher prediction accuracy

“I do think there's potentially a breakout trade here because that could send Zec potentially to the $1,000 plus mark.”

“I think this is a strong sign because although we got a bit of market manipulation, a bit of a flush over the weekend, we ended up forming a nice base. You can see here. Now we have the highs as well, which we're rejecting off, but this gives us like a clear breakout zone for a potential squeeze into 82.”

“I mean, just purely based on a trend basis, this looks bearish for Bitcoin. And as long as it looks like this, I'm not that interested in trying to go long.”

“I think the big pivot point that you want to watch is this level here, the five, eight level. If we flip this level, there could be like a repricing higher on Chili's”

“I think it's bullish for the L1s, but I think that's pretty well understood. Like I think it's bullish for Solana.”

“although it might not happen immediately overnight, this in my opinion is going to be one of the catalysts for the next big leg to the upside on Bitcoin.”

“I can see the setup for a potential move into 81K if the market opens decently.”

“I think if you're a gold bug, it it's one way to take profits whilst almost hedging against your gold position because if gold slows down for a bit, it doesn't have to move like this, but that probably implies that at, you know, risk is getting a bid. And if risk gets a bid, Bitcoin is the perfect asset to actually capture that because at the end of the day, it still is more correlated over time to equities or risk on cycles than it is to gold.”

“I think there's a definite chance that we hit all-time highs by June.”

“And I think there's a high likelihood that we're going to retest that level in the very, very near future. And prediction markets are also suggesting that to be the case with I think roughly a 70% probability by the end of January that we are going to hit 100K.”

“Overall though I'm personally leaning constructive from here on out. Let's say you know going into like the first half of next year.”

“So I know that sounds a little bit dire, but I'll leave these other things for now because I think we've talked about a hell of a lot here in a very short period of time. So they are all the things that I'm leaning on because of the bearishness. How about we end it with a hopeium and then you can um challenge me on these things which is exactly what we need. We always need to be challenged. It's >> been a very grim 20 odd minutes. Hopefully there's something good. >> It it sounds grim especially if you're holding bags but this period like this next stage could be the the shining light, right? But it it shouldn't really be grim because at the end of the day the market's going to do what the market's going to do. We can't just sit and hope that the market's always going to go up. you, you and I have been around long enough. We see enough of those permab bulls on X and the permab bulls that are just like this one last pump. There's just one last pump to alltime highs. When people believe there's one last pump, there's probably not. And it's just there to I don't know, save face, make them feel better. But >> and actually creates it creates lots of opportunity. That's also something I' I've been discussing on the channel over the past few weeks, like you know, I've finally been able to add to my um long-term Bitcoin positions again in the 80s. The last time I added was 75. So it gives you gives you chances to stack. Um that's also something I'm going to ask you about later like where you think things sit longer term. We can >> longer term. Yeah. Okay. Well, I better I better quickly end on this part here. And this is the relief rally. I've talked about that one to three months. I've gone through and done some time counts where the market has broken through and tested the 200 day moving average. So, you know, I could go through this in great detail, but essentially the idea is the breakdown of the 200 day until there's a breakout or test of the 200 day again. As an example, last cycle, one example, there's plenty of them on the chart there, broke down from the 200 day, closed underneath it there, and did not come back to it. So, I'm starting to count from that point. And here on this 28th of March, 2022, it tested the 200 day for the last time. That was exactly 90 days. And then I've got heaps of other times where it lasted about 88 days, 82 days. Uh an average between these two is about 89 days, another 89 days, 60 days, and 100. So I'm looking roughly around this 90-day period, which is where I'm getting that 1 to 3 months from because in other cases there have been 20 and 40 days. So I just want to keep an eye on it, but I think it could last that little bit longer considering the uh the severity of the collapse at this point. So, I think there is that little bit of hope that we could could see a rally.”