they said it. the market answered.
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Jesse Eckel prediction accuracy

youtube · 276,000 subscribers · channel ↗ · Discuss on the forum → · Your channel? Reply or correct → · last call Sep 24, 2026
B
20–29%
22% hit rate on deadlines
they set themselves (18)
4 hit13 missed
29%
all resolved (21)
52%
30-day direction (31)
36
calls logged
15
open right now
0
flips (30d)

Current stance · last 90 days

▲ TAO
Sep 24 · open
▼ BTC
Aug 11 · open

Is Jesse Eckel accurate?

Grade B: on 18 predictions where Jesse Eckel named the deadline themselves, the target was hit 22% of the time. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 52% of the time (31 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.

The record

AEVOARBBANBTCCOWETHPOLSOLTAOTOTAL
OPEN TAO ▲ · Sep 24, 2026 · horizon 30d
“I've really long-term conviction in Tao and AKT and just in general, AI crypto intersection”
price then $287.60 → still open · watch 22:26
OPEN TAO ▲ → $2,000 · Sep 23, 2026 · horizon 90d
“I have been buying $TAO hand over fist around $200. Yet I still don’t own even remotely enough. $TAO to $2000 is preprogrammed.”
price then $286.80 → still open
OPEN BTC ▼ · Aug 11, 2026 · horizon 81d
“around October, we're going to see it dip, retest the bottom at around 56K to around 57K.”
price then $63,600 → still open · watch 8:30
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 7× · Jun 29, 2026 · horizon 124d
“And so you should see a pretty good coordinated effort for everyone to flip bullish from bearish to bullish around that timeframe and really see Bitcoin's price start to climb higher.”
price then $60,260 → still open · watch 6:59
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Jun 29, 2026 · horizon 518d
“High probability Bitcoin will be 100K by then.”
price then $60,260 → still open · watch 5:20
MISS BTC ▶ · restated 1× · Jun 02, 2026 · horizon 151d
“I think the bottom is likely already in. I could end up being wrong about that if we got one of those negative catalysts or whatever, but I think the bears are going to be disappointed come October.”
price then $66,761 → $61,056 · -8.5% · watch 13:02
HIT BTC ▼ → $62,000 · Jun 02, 2026 · horizon 30d
“And right now it's pretty dang bearish. It's predicting over the next 30 days, the Bitcoin goes down to $62,000, which is not the kind of thing that I personally like to see.”
price then $66,761 → $62,000 · -7.1% · invalidation $72,000 · watch 2:03 touched $62,000 intraday, closed at $63,886
VOID BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 6× · May 11, 2026 · horizon 234d
“I actually think we're going to just head higher, you know, slow grind higher into the end of the year.”
price then $81,746 → $70,000 · -14.4% · invalidation $70,000 · watch 15:31
HIT BTC ▲ → $82,500 · May 04, 2026 · horizon 30d
“It's predicting that Bitcoin will be roughly $82,500, up 3.8% from when I ran it this morning at $79,493 by June 3rd, 2026.”
price then $79,861 → $82,500 · +3.3% · watch 5:43 touched $82,500 intraday, closed at $81,447
OPEN BTC ▲ → $128,000 · Apr 20, 2026 · horizon 365d
“And over the next year Bitcoin's price will hit around $128,000.”
price then $75,841 → still open · watch 8:18
MISS BTC ▲ → $85,000 · Apr 20, 2026 · horizon 90d
“Over the next 90 days Bitcoin's price will hit around $85,000.”
price then $75,841 → $64,723 · -14.7% · watch 8:18
HIT AEVO ▲ · Mar 23, 2026 · horizon 30d
“And overall, Aevo has just continued to head in the right direction, a direction that gets me excited about where they're heading.”
price then $0.0245 → $0.0253 · +3.3% · watch 6:43
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 3× · Feb 02, 2026 · horizon 332d
“We are going to hit a new all-time high for Bitcoin this year. I believe I got my money where my mouth is.”
price then $78,739 → still open · watch 13:57
MISS BTC ▲ → $150,000 · Feb 02, 2026 · horizon 90d
“You're looking at like, oh, you know, Bitcoin needs to hit 140, 150K in order to double your money, which I don't think there's a lot of disagreement that that's inevitable.”
price then $78,739 → $78,569 · -0.2% · watch 10:49
OPEN BTC ▲ · Jan 27, 2026 · horizon 338d
“And I think that's where we're headed in 2026. And that is the perfect absolute perfect uh ideal conditions for Bitcoin to shine.”
price then $89,250 → still open
OPEN BTC ▲ → $250,000 · Jan 12, 2026 · horizon 353d
“Actually think we're going to probably peak around 250,000 somewhere around here.”
price then $91,296 → still open · watch 16:00
OPEN ETH ▲ → $10,000 · Dec 30, 2025 · horizon 366d
“Now for ETH, I'm more or less sticking with my price target and saying anywhere from 10k to 20k.”
price then $2,974 → still open · watch 15:19
OPEN BTC ▲ → $170,000 · Dec 30, 2025 · horizon 366d
“I now believe that the cycle peak could range anywhere from 170k to 250k.”
price then $88,485 → still open · watch 15:19
OPEN BTC ▲ · Dec 15, 2025 · horizon 381d
“I'm betting literally my entire net worth that the real parabolic run isn't behind us, but it's actually loading right now for 2026.”
price then $86,432 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $200,000 · Dec 02, 2025 · horizon 394d
“They want QE to send Bitcoin to $200,000 and kick off alt season. But while everyone was waiting on the Fed, an arguably more important rule just got passed while nobody was watching on November 25th. Regulators quietly gutted a post208 rule that was preventing banks from unleashing private liquidity into the system. The fuel for 200k Bitcoin is already on the way.”
price then $91,278 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN TOTAL ▲ · restated 8× · Nov 25, 2025 · horizon 401d
“I think 2026 is going to be absolutely unhinged insane in terms of liquidity and easing, which means it's primed to be absolutely unhinged insane in terms of our bags and an epic, epic crypto bull run.”
price then $3.02T → still open · watch 9:16
MISS TOTAL ▲ · restated 2× · Oct 12, 2025 · horizon 19d
“I think that by the end of October, things are going to be looking really good.”
price then $3.90T → $3.69T · -5.5% · watch 28:50
OPEN TOTAL ▲ → $15T · Oct 07, 2025 · horizon 365d
“we're going to go to a peak of $15 trillion in total market cap this cycle, which is just massive for crypto.”
price then $4.18T → still open · watch 9:48
MISS BTC ▲ · restated 12× · Jul 30, 2025 · horizon 154d
“I believe we're going to hit a new all-time high in Bitcoin's price before the end of this year.”
price then $117,840 → $87,648 · -25.6% · watch 2:36
MISS BTC ▲ → $126,000 · restated 1× · Jul 15, 2025 · horizon 58d
“the old 60-day model is predicting that on September 11th, 60 days from the date that I ran the prediction, the price of Bitcoin will be sitting at around $126,000”
price then $117,758 → $115,483 · -1.9% · watch 8:15
MISS TOTAL ▼ · Jul 01, 2025 · horizon 60d
“the market top, the cycle top is just a couple months away.”
price then $3.25T → $3.77T · +15.9% · watch 0:30
MISS ARB ▲ · Jun 23, 2025 · horizon 180d
“Next up is Arbus. And Arbius is another AI crypto project. You can see I have my AI bags full.”
price then $0.3016 → $0.1896 · -37.1% · watch 31:53
HIT BAN ▲ · Jun 23, 2025 · horizon 180d
“After that is banned. I've done a video on uh banned recently when I did my video on the believe app ecosystem.”
price then $0.0588 → $0.087 · +48.1% · watch 31:01
MISS COW ▲ · Jun 23, 2025 · horizon 180d
“After that, continuing into my lower risk category is Cow Protocol. Cow Protocol is a competitor to UniS Swap. You can think of it as like a um you know, the market rails that everything gets traded on.”
price then $0.2904 → $0.1978 · -31.9% · watch 12:20
MISS POL ▲ · restated 1× · Jun 23, 2025 · horizon 180d
“Second up is Polygon's Pole token. And this one has been a dog, an absolute dog over the last couple years. one of the worst performing tokens. So, so bad. People make fun of me for for pull all the time. They're like, 'Ah, you you're the guy that likes Polygon.' And yeah, I do believe in Pol I still believe in Polygon.”
price then $0.1813 → $0.1105 · -39.0% · watch 7:33
MISS SOL ▲ · Jun 23, 2025 · horizon 180d
“My entire strategy for the next six to eight months in crypto is deceptively simple. I'm not day trading. I'm not chasing pumps. I'm positioning for a generational alt season that I believe will be triggered by two different things.”
price then $144.51 → $125.81 · -12.9% · watch 0:00
MISS TOTAL ▲ · restated 14× · Jun 23, 2025 · horizon 180d
“My entire strategy for the next six to eight months in crypto is deceptively simple. I'm not day trading. I'm not chasing pumps. I'm positioning for a generational alt season that I believe will be triggered by two different things.”
price then $3.25T → $2.99T · -8.1% · watch 0:00
HIT BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Jun 10, 2025 · horizon 30d
“I put $10,000 into it to see kind of how it plays out, but I'm still really early on that. That might not end up working. That could end up being a dud or not. Uh, but that's again, another example of like kind of this passive income approach you could take to crypto in order to make money.”
price then $110,274 → $116,010 · +5.2% · watch 16:13
HIT BTC ▲ → $119,000 · restated 5× · May 20, 2025 · horizon 72d
“my 60-day model's prediction, which was around $119,000 uh by July.”
price then $106,850 → $119,000 · +11.4% · watch 9:49
MISS BTC ▲ → $175,000 (conditional) · May 20, 2025 · horizon 225d
“if the Bitcoin ETF flows were just to hit parody with gold ETF flows cumulatively by the end of uh the year by December 31st. That would put the price of Bitcoin at around $175,000.”
price then $106,850 → $87,648 · -18.0% · watch 5:42
MISS BTC ▲ → $118,000 · restated 2× · May 12, 2025 · horizon 55d
“The updated and improved model predicts that on July 6th, 2025, Bitcoin will hit the price of $118,000 with again, a $3,000 may meaning it could be off by $3,000 in either direction.”
price then $102,791 → $109,204 · +6.2% · watch 9:03
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Updated September 28, 2026.