Gerhard - Bitcoin Strategy prediction accuracy
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all resolved (0)
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30-day direction (0)
24
calls logged
24
open right now
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flips (30d)
Current stance
▼ PUMP
Sep 28 · open
▲ BTC → $96,700
Sep 27 · open
▲ KAS
Sep 27 · open
▲ ETH → $4,946
Sep 26 · open
▲ LINK → $21.00
Sep 26 · open
▲ QNT
Sep 25 · open
▲ IMX
Sep 25 · open
▲ LTC → $126.00
Sep 25 · open
Is Gerhard - Bitcoin Strategy accurate?
Not graded yet: 0 of 10 resolved calls with a self-set deadline (0 resolved in total). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
The record
OPEN
PUMP ▼
“So I don't think it makes sense to chase this rally after this 17% date. It's probably best to wait for at least part of this to come back down.”
“If the ETFs keep buying at even half of this week's pace, I think that first level is realistic before the end of the year. So $96,700 is the level I think Bitcoin can run to from here.”
“So if the spot volume holds and the miners keep holding, we are potentially looking at a 4x from here. And the next reward cut is only 8 days away.”
“Now, what's the upside? The all-time high of Ethereum is about $4,946 in August of last year. From the current price, that's roughly 84% higher.”
“Now what's the upside? Exactly one year ago, Link was trading at about $21. That's the price level I think is realistic if the bank deals start paying. So from here, that's roughly 63% more.”
“I think holding QNT might make sense here if the bull market of course continues.”
“If the spot buyers stay and Bitcoin holds its ground, the next level is quite simple. Axie Infinity is valued at about 190 million. If IMX goes back to that level, that's roughly 42% from here.”
“If both of those happen, I think the old high from October of last year could come back into view. That's around 126 dollars, so about 75% from here.”
“if the stock platform hits its target, we are looking at about 5.5 billion of total assets instead of 3.5 billion. At the current ratio of market cap to assets, that's a token price of roughly 82 cents.”
“If we were to go back to that long term equilibrium, then ondo could outperform from here by another roughly 32%.”
“And the fees of Robinhood don't suddenly collapse. That would make me quite bullish.”
OPEN
UNI ▲ → $45.00
“normal. Still I don't think this rally is over. The main question is can we actually break this resistance? Uni just has to go in line with Bitcoin for a while. It doesn't even have to outperform that much as long as it stays at an elevated level. And the fees of Robinhood don't suddenly collapse. That would make me quite bullish. Now the all-time high of the Uni token is at $45.”
“If world money doubles that to 36 million at the same value per human, that's roughly $3 billion. Even after one more year of unlocks, that's about 63 cents per token.”
OPEN
AURORA ▼
“I don't think it makes sense to chase that. Moves like this tend to give back a good part first.”
“BitTensor is at a market cap of about $3.5 billion. So getting there would be a bit more than a 2x from here for Venice.”
“If we buy now and hold Bitcoin over the next three, four years, we're probably going to be up.”
OPEN
FET ▲
“I think FET is a reasonable catch-up bet on the AI sector at this current price.”
“In a rising market, I think Pepe stays a top mover.”
“And if you were to get some positive news around Dogecoin again. The potential upside is roughly 200% versus Bitcoin.”
“If we are out of the bear market and Bitcoin hits new all-time highs, there's a very good chance that Solana will also continue to outperform BTC.”
“I do think that occasional short squeezes of 100% or 200% are very much possible with Luna Classic.”
“If we were to go back to that equilibrium ratio, FF could come down by roughly 20% from here.”
OPEN
ZEC ▼
“Now, could Zcash go lower first? It very likely can with that much market cap in open bets.”
“If the Korean rails go live in February and the trading volume moves onto the public chain, the feline could change. That would be the first time a real securities market would actually settle every single day on the chain.”
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