they said it. the market answered.
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Rob Wallace | Bitcoin News prediction accuracy

youtube · 18,300 subscribers · channel ↗ · Discuss on the forum → · Your channel? Reply or correct → · last call Sep 23, 2026
C
10–19%
13% hit rate on deadlines
they set themselves (15)
2 hit12 missed
18%
all resolved (32)
33%
30-day direction (36)
64
calls logged
31
open right now
0
flips (30d)

Current stance · last 90 days

▲ BTC → $1,000,000
Sep 23 · open
▲ TOTAL
Aug 21 · hit

Is Rob Wallace | Bitcoin News accurate?

Grade C: on 15 predictions where Rob Wallace | Bitcoin News named the deadline themselves, the target was hit 13% of the time. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 33% of the time (36 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.

The record

BTCETHTOTAL
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 · restated 1× · Sep 23, 2026 · horizon 3653d
“Bitcoin is going to a million within the next 10 years. So I'm not just saying it's going to a million, but I'm putting a time frame on it pretty.”
price then $84,398 → still open · watch 43:15
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Sep 22, 2026 · horizon 30d
“If we break 83, I think there's a very good chance we go straight to high 90s just because of the overhang of resistance there.”
price then $86,112 → still open · watch 15:41
OPEN BTC ▲ → $500,000 · Sep 22, 2026 · horizon 1825d
“Holding this for the next sort of five to 10 years should see a price north of like 500,000.”
price then $86,112 → still open · watch 0:30
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Sep 17, 2026 · horizon 180d
“And that 50% in six months would take us to over 100K by early 27, right? Just about.”
price then $76,417 → still open · watch 6:17
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Sep 17, 2026 · horizon 30d
“it's like there's really nowhere to go but up, in my opinion.”
price then $76,417 → still open · watch 20:52
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,300,000 · Sep 15, 2026 · horizon 3394d
“Bitwise are at 1.3 million by 2035. How do you big institutional players come to these numbers? Well, I'll tell you how we came to 1.3 million.”
price then $75,644 → still open · watch 23:05
OPEN BTC ▲ → $95,000 (conditional) · Sep 14, 2026 · horizon 30d
“If we break 83, I think there's a very good chance we go straight to high 90s just because of the overhang of resistance there.”
price then $78,189 → still open · watch 56:40
OPEN BTC ▲ → $500,000 · Sep 14, 2026 · horizon 1825d
“Holding this for the next sort of five to 10 years should see a price north of like $500,000.”
price then $78,189 → still open · watch 0:12
OPEN BTC ▲ · Sep 11, 2026 · horizon 30d
“I think time and number go up, we'll do most of the work for us.”
price then $77,226 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Sep 08, 2026 · horizon 30d
“Bitcoin is in the process of shedding its training wheels, has withstood the debacles coming out of seller's camp and didn't care about it and just shook it off and said, fuck you, I'm going up.”
price then $78,456 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 · Sep 07, 2026 · horizon 3402d
“I think it's more like a million or median somewhere around 2034, probably between 2034, 2035 for about the million dollar average expectation.”
price then $79,112 → still open · watch 21:40
OPEN BTC ▲ → $481,000 · Sep 07, 2026 · horizon 1941d
“So if you do the regression for the full price history and project out to 2031, you have a median expectation of 481,000.”
price then $79,112 → still open · watch 19:51
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Sep 03, 2026 · horizon 30d
“And I was like, 125,000 is a pit stop to a million and 5 million tens.”
price then $81,270 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $250,000 · Sep 01, 2026 · horizon 365d
“I do think this community is going to be the big driver of Bitcoin for the next cycle. It's this community driving it to $250,000.”
price then $77,439 → still open · watch 0:00
MISS BTC ▶ · restated 3× · Aug 27, 2026 · horizon 126d
“I don't think 2026 is going to be a great year for investing in Bitcoin”
price then $80,250 → $75,644 · -5.7% · watch 0:00
HIT TOTAL ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Aug 21, 2026 · horizon 30d
“And it would certainly underpin, I think, a big rally in cryptocurrencies.”
price then $2.65T → $2.78T · +5.2% · watch 15:58
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 5× · Aug 10, 2026 · horizon 143d
“I think we'll be significantly higher by the end of the year.”
price then $63,970 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▼ · restated 2× · Aug 06, 2026 · horizon 117d
“I think eventually you will go again, a little bit lower before the end of the year, and then you form that low.”
price then $64,324 → still open · watch 16:07
MISS BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 3× · Jul 24, 2026 · horizon 15d
“I think we'll know probably within the first hour whether or not it will be successful.”
price then $64,140 → $64,963 · +1.3% · watch 0:21
MISS BTC ▶ · Jul 23, 2026 · horizon 30d
“I tend to think it will hold around these levels, but you know, we'll see.”
price then $65,099 → $69,335 · +6.5% · watch 14:41
MISS BTC ▼ · restated 3× · Jun 26, 2026 · horizon 30d
“I would not be surprised if we see a little bit more rockiness in the Clarity Act. And we see this bear market continue, which I believe it will.”
price then $60,097 → $65,400 · +8.8% · watch 9:15
MISS BTC ▼ → $50,000 · Jun 26, 2026 · horizon 90d
“You know, we could be in the low 50s, I think is definitely a possibility.”
price then $60,097 → $84,410 · +40.5% · watch 6:40
HIT BTC ▼ → $58,000 · Jun 26, 2026 · horizon 90d
“But my long-term bet when we came into this was 58. We're there right now.”
price then $60,097 → $58,000 · -3.5% · watch 6:51 touched $58,000 intraday, closed at $60,024
HIT BTC ▲ · restated 7× · Jun 22, 2026 · horizon 30d
“I'm going to buy another 282 here in the next 30 days.”
price then $64,020 → $66,114 · +3.3% · watch 3:05
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 (conditional) · Jun 16, 2026 · horizon 1095d
“if he wins the midterms and isn't impeached and isn't, you know, summarily shot for treason or whatever, like, then we're looking at $15,000 gold, $400 to $500 silver and $1 million Bitcoin, right? Because that's what balances the books.”
price then $65,675 → still open · watch 39:43
MISS BTC ▲ (conditional) · Jun 11, 2026 · horizon 30d
“I do want to see the 73 area hold. That's one of the areas I'm looking at fairly closely. Without 73, you really do start to open the door back to the low 60s”
price then $63,626 → $63,819 · +0.3% · watch 30:20
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Jun 11, 2026 · horizon 202d
“Is Bitcoin going to end the year above 100K or below 100K? I'll go above.”
price then $63,626 → still open · watch 62:50
MISS BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Jun 08, 2026 · horizon 30d
“Bitcoin only goes to a million when the US treasury has enough Bitcoins to balance the books. And that's not going to happen until Michael Saylor goes bust.”
price then $63,086 → $62,290 · -1.3% · watch 1:30
MISS BTC ▲ · restated 2× · May 18, 2026 · horizon 47d
“And then do very well in the lead up to July 4th, especially as it clears these hurdles, right?”
price then $77,002 → $63,144 · -18.0% · watch 8:14
OPEN BTC ▲ → $360,000 · May 15, 2026 · horizon 595d
“Even if 10% of that capital decides to leave the closing ring fence by routing into Bitcoin, that single flow takes Bitcoin from around $80,000 today to around $360,000 per coin.”
price then $79,113 → still open · watch 10:49
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · May 12, 2026 · horizon 3650d
“But if we start seeing, you know, 10, 20 years from now, you know, deficits being settled in gold and Bitcoin. I mean, Bitcoin could be 10 million per Bitcoin.”
price then $80,504 → still open · watch 26:37
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 (conditional) · May 12, 2026 · horizon 3650d
“Million is easy. Bitcoin can be $10 million.”
price then $80,504 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $350,000 · restated 1× · May 10, 2026 · horizon 3650d
“Even the conservative math, if we just take out kind of normal M2 growth, normal M0 growth, you're talking over the next 10 years of Bitcoin at 350k.”
price then $82,210 → still open · watch 97:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $160,000 (conditional) · Feb 25, 2026 · horizon 309d
“if we apply that growth, then by the end of this year, we'd expect $160,000 if we're at the right on the power law trend.”
price then $67,988 → still open · watch 41:00
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 4× · Jan 21, 2026 · horizon 365d
“there's definitely a space for us to progress up from here over a hundred K. I'm open-minded to a new all time high.”
price then $89,455 → still open · watch 18:50
MISS BTC ▲ → $108,000 (conditional) · Jan 21, 2026 · horizon 90d
“for me, I marked on that chart, 108,000, for example, would be probably the next point that we would travel to. And that again assumes that we close also this week, which is only a few more days above that.”
price then $89,455 → $76,336 · -14.7% · watch 2:18
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Jan 14, 2026 · horizon 351d
“I think this year is going to be very good for Bitcoin. um just because almost the the psychological effect we had our third negative year in the last decade in Bitcoin.”
price then $96,952 → still open · watch 8:40
MISS BTC ▲ → $300,000 · Jan 07, 2026 · horizon 90d
“I can't tell you when it's going to 300,000, but eventually Bitcoin will be 300,000.”
price then $91,364 → $71,924 · -21.3% · watch 50:30
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 2× · Dec 10, 2025 · horizon 365d
“it doesn't feel like that 126 125 whatever price you we hit earlier this year is the top. I don't I feel like things are momentum is only getting stronger heading into 2026”
price then $92,015 → still open · watch 8:20
OPEN BTC ▲ → $2,100,000 · Nov 12, 2025 · horizon 1875d
“There's absolutely a world where we're in 2030 and we're looking at Bitcoin and it's 2.1 million dollars.”
price then $101,654 → still open · watch 15:32
HIT BTC ▼ · Oct 02, 2025 · horizon 30d
“I think Bitcoin will probably get killed more than gold.”
price then $120,529 → $110,098 · -8.7% · watch 6:02
OPEN BTC ▲ · Sep 17, 2025 · horizon 470d
“So we've continued to produce higher highs and higher lows on route to that target. And I still believe very firmly that we're going to get there. I don't know if it's going to be in the next three months, the next six months, the next year, but that's where I think we're going this cycle.”
price then $116,448 → still open · watch 22:12
MISS BTC ▲ → $205,000 · restated 1× · Sep 10, 2025 · horizon 112d
“if we say it's going to happen in December, let's just say it happens in December of this year, I believe that we get into the 200 realm. So, I think it's probably going to be between 200,000 and like 210,000”
price then $113,960 → $87,648 · -23.1% · watch 48:00
MISS BTC ▲ · Sep 03, 2025 · horizon 90d
“And, you know, we should be preparing for a larger move higher here, I think, in the next few months.”
price then $111,706 → $91,278 · -18.3% · watch 3:39
MISS BTC ▲ → $200,000 · Aug 13, 2025 · horizon 110d
“if we actually do, say, go from 1.16 to, for example, 200k by the end of the year”
price then $123,306 → $86,286 · -30.0% · watch 7:17
MISS BTC ▲ · Aug 13, 2025 · horizon 110d
“everything is aligning for a late 2025 peak”
price then $123,306 → $86,286 · -30.0% · watch 0:00
MISS BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 · Aug 06, 2025 · horizon 90d
“and then it's off to the races to a million dollar Bitcoin.”
price then $114,992 → $101,497 · -11.7% · watch 55:45
MISS BTC ▲ → $200,000 · Aug 06, 2025 · horizon 148d
“if we're at $118,000 today, we're going to hit $200,000 this time later later this year, early next year”
price then $114,992 → $88,839 · -22.7% · watch 55:45
MISS BTC ▲ → $180,000 · Aug 06, 2025 · horizon 90d
“I have a feeling that we're going to hit 180,000.”
price then $114,992 → $101,497 · -11.7% · watch 43:24
MISS BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 · Jul 30, 2025 · horizon 154d
“It'll go to a quarter million dollars and it'll go to a million dollars for me.”
price then $117,840 → $87,648 · -25.6% · watch 56:46
MISS BTC ▲ → $250,000 · Jul 30, 2025 · horizon 154d
“It'll go to a quarter million dollars and it'll go to a million dollars for me.”
price then $117,840 → $87,648 · -25.6% · watch 56:46
MISS BTC ▲ (conditional) · Jul 23, 2025 · horizon 296d
“I think the $3 trillion in retail is for sure going to rush back into assets. Bitcoin, gold, silver, real estate, stocks, there's going to be a strong bid once it's for sure certain that those interest rates are coming down”
price then $118,756 → $79,113 · -33.4% · watch 10:12
MISS BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 · Jul 23, 2025 · horizon 90d
“And that's million dollar Bitcoin. So I think in the medium term, the short to medium term, Bitcoin is well on its way to $1 million because it is being monetized as digital gold.”
price then $118,756 → $108,298 · -8.8% · watch 18:28
OPEN BTC ▲ · Jul 16, 2025 · horizon 3650d
“I think 10, 20 years time, you know, when when the Bitcoin runs out and the price goes to seven figures and beyond, everybody's going to want that ticker, right?”
price then $118,630 → still open · watch 11:55
MISS BTC ▲ → $500,000 · Jul 09, 2025 · horizon 90d
“I think we hit hyper Bitcoinization somewhere at 0.5 million a coin.”
price then $111,234 → $121,333 · +9.1% · watch 48:30
HIT BTC ▲ (conditional) · Jul 09, 2025 · horizon 30d
“I think the lineup of interest is just paving the way for an Omega Candle. Like, given you know all of these entrants are going to do something, it's really a question of when they act.”
price then $111,234 → $116,675 · +4.9% · watch 9:30
MISS BTC ▲ → $500,000 · Jul 09, 2025 · horizon 90d
“anything under 0.5 million a coin, I would say, is a good deal.”
price then $111,234 → $121,333 · +9.1% · watch 1:50
MISS BTC ▲ → $300,000 · Jul 02, 2025 · horizon 90d
“I think we'll probably see 50 or 60, though, off of a very big spike. I mean, we could go to 300 and draw back to 150”
price then $108,850 → $114,049 · +4.8% · watch 55:40
OPEN BTC ▲ → $500,000 (conditional) · Jul 02, 2025 · horizon 2500d
“my hypothesis is that the currency is going to fail sometime in the mid 2030s. Um, and so, you know, this this term runs out in 2028 and the Democrats win and they come in and they, you know, they start doing all these programs that they can't afford and they print money to do it. And, you know, Bitcoin's at 500,000”
price then $108,850 → still open · watch 18:30
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 · May 26, 2025 · horizon 1680d
“I think, in fact, our official prediction at Bitwise is we'll reach one million dollars by 2029.”
price then $109,435 → still open · watch 15:16
HIT BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Mar 31, 2025 · horizon 730d
“I'm just trying to prove the urgency of accumulating as much Bitcoin as you possibly can right now while you can still get it for less than $100,000. People are going to look back in a couple of years and be absolutely dumbfounded”
price then $82,550 → $100,000 · +21.1% · watch 8:46
MISS ETH ▼ · Mar 22, 2025 · horizon 90d
“since that one pump in 2017, Ethereum is down by 85% against Bitcoin, and it does kind of look as if it is slowly trending to zero”
price then $1,981 → $2,406 · +21.5% · watch 10:29
MISS BTC ▲ · Mar 18, 2025 · horizon 365d
“I think we're only going to go up from here for this cycle.”
price then $82,715 → $71,247 · -13.9% · watch 28:15
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Updated September 28, 2026.