they said it. the market answered.
Trading these calls?Bybit code LD7WR4EHTX code zhdd2223

Alexander Lorenzo prediction accuracy

youtube · 266,000 subscribers · channel ↗ · Discuss on the forum → · Your channel? Reply or correct → · last call Sep 25, 2026
—
7 of 10
— no grade yet: needs 10
resolved calls with their own deadline (7 so far)
1 hit6 missed
19%
all resolved (33)
50%
30-day direction (30)
44
calls logged
11
open right now
0
flips (30d)

Current stance · last 90 days

▲ BTC → $300,000
Sep 25 · open
▲ ETH → $12,000
Sep 25 · open
▲ XRP
Sep 24 · open

Is Alexander Lorenzo accurate?

Not graded yet: 7 of 10 resolved calls with a self-set deadline (33 resolved in total). A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 50% of the time (30 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.

The record

AEROARBBTCETHTOTALXRPZORA
OPEN BTC ▲ → $300,000 · Sep 25, 2026 · horizon 365d
“Probably going to see Bitcoin go to like at least a quarter million, 300,000 this cycle.”
price then $84,100 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN ETH ▲ → $12,000 · Sep 25, 2026 · horizon 365d
“we're probably going to see Ethereum go to like, I don't know, probably like $12,000 this cycle in the next few years.”
price then $2,692 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN XRP ▲ · Sep 24, 2026 · horizon 90d
“The three assets that are going to probably do very well regardless is Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP.”
price then $1.53 → still open · watch 0:31
OPEN ETH ▲ · Sep 24, 2026 · horizon 90d
“The three assets that are going to probably do very well regardless is Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP.”
price then $2,688 → still open · watch 0:31
OPEN BTC ▲ · Sep 24, 2026 · horizon 90d
“The three assets that are going to probably do very well regardless is Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP.”
price then $84,410 → still open · watch 0:31
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · restated 1× · Sep 21, 2026 · horizon 90d
“Here's three coins that I'm holding right now as Bitcoin runs to $100,000.”
price then $86,620 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 · Sep 21, 2026 · horizon 913d
“Bitcoin's went to 100,000 and then it's going to go over to a million dollars. I don't know when, by what time frame, maybe two or three cycles from now, but I know it's going to a million dollars.”
price then $86,620 → still open · watch 1:05
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · Sep 14, 2026 · horizon 120d
“When this bank switches on, its clients are going to walk into the same market you're already standing in. And Bitcoin has a fixed supply. You do the math.”
price then $78,189 → still open · watch 2:10
MISS BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · May 12, 2026 · horizon 60d
“If it does pass, we have Kevin Walsh being sworn in the next day, which he owns, like, 30-plus cryptocurrencies in his own portfolio. And it's definitely in cahoots with President Trump. Publicly, they've been talking back and forth, and Trump wants to cut interest rates, which is the most important lever for bull markets. Interest rates low are the most important lever for bull markets. And he is likely going to cut interest rates in June, literally a month later, and not only just cut interest rates, but release the future projections on how much interest rates he's going to cut.”
price then $80,504 → $63,819 · -20.7% · watch 26:56
OPEN TOTAL ▲ · restated 1× · Apr 16, 2026 · horizon 365d
“I'm not kidding when I say the next altcoin season is going to be double the size of the last altcoin season because we didn't really have one this cycle.”
price then $2.55T → still open · watch 34:44
MISS ZORA ▲ · Aug 31, 2025 · horizon 90d
“I do believe it's going to do a lot of multiples 15 to 100x no one knows. It depends on what Coinbase Ventures wants to do”
price then $0.0775 → $0.052 · -32.9% · watch 15:45
MISS BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Aug 18, 2025 · horizon 30d
“the characteristics of the start of an altcoin season is when Bitcoin is breaking out in a parabolic way and at the same time Bitcoin dominance is dropping. So it just really does look like that's about to happen.”
price then $116,227 → $116,448 · +0.2% · watch 6:23
EXPIRED AERO ▲ · restated 1× · Jul 20, 2025 · horizon 30d
“I believe under the hood of this investment, there's 50 X's, 100 X's.”
price then — → still open · watch 0:31
MISS BTC ▲ → $175,000 · Jul 16, 2025 · horizon 90d
“And so when we see Bitcoin at $118,000 and maybe it can get to $175,000,”
price then $118,630 → $113,028 · -4.7% · watch 0:00
MISS ARB ▲ · Jul 12, 2025 · horizon 90d
“it's down 83%. So you'll get like a 4 or 5X on Arbitrum if it just reaches all time high, which I genuinely believe it's going to surpass all time high.”
price then $0.3997 → $0.2962 · -25.9% · watch 8:44
HIT BTC ▲ · restated 5× · Jul 04, 2025 · horizon 30d
“And right now, I do see a lot of upside.”
price then $107,984 → $114,209 · +5.8% · watch 2:05
MISS BTC ▲ → $200,000 · Jun 30, 2025 · horizon 300d
“if we look at a conservative, moderate, and aggressive scenario, in the aggressive scenario we see a Bitcoin price of 200,000 dollars from this one isolated perspective, right?”
price then $107,146 → $78,658 · -26.6% · watch 17:15
MISS BTC ▲ · Jun 30, 2025 · horizon 180d
“I am officially leaning bullish . I am about 70% bullish and 30% bearish.”
price then $107,146 → $87,877 · -18.0% · watch 33:54
MISS BTC ▼ · Jun 28, 2025 · horizon 90d
“Maybe we get a 40% dip on Bitcoin.”
price then $107,297 → $109,643 · +2.2% · watch 14:02
HIT ETH ▲ · restated 4× · Jun 28, 2025 · horizon 90d
“If you want like a guaranteed 5X, I mean, nothing guaranteed in life, you get what I'm saying? A very safe 3 to 5X, buy Ethereum. Buy Ethereum. It might drop. But hey, you know, I don't go for those.”
price then $2,436 → $4,032 · +65.5% · watch 6:17
MISS BTC ▲ → $200,000 · Jun 27, 2025 · horizon 90d
“Just from this one perspective, the conservative is bringing Bitcoin to about 114,000, the medium is taking it to about 133, and if we do get that 3%, it's taking us at about $200,000 Bitcoin.”
price then $107,048 → $108,994 · +1.8% · watch 7:15
MISS BTC ▲ → $133,000 · Jun 27, 2025 · horizon 90d
“Just from this one perspective, the conservative is bringing Bitcoin to about 114,000, the medium is taking it to about 133, and if we do get that 3%, it's taking us at about $200,000 Bitcoin.”
price then $107,048 → $108,994 · +1.8% · watch 7:15
HIT BTC ▲ → $114,000 · Jun 27, 2025 · horizon 90d
“Just from this one perspective, the conservative is bringing Bitcoin to about 114,000, the medium is taking it to about 133, and if we do get that 3%, it's taking us at about $200,000 Bitcoin.”
price then $107,048 → $114,000 · +6.5% · watch 7:15
MISS TOTAL ▼ (conditional) · Jun 22, 2025 · horizon 30d
“It is very clear that we should have a massive market turndown.”
price then $3.09T → $3.96T · +28.1% · watch 7:45
MISS BTC ▼ · restated 1× · Apr 08, 2025 · horizon 30d
“This 24-hour pump is a fake scam pump. Do not buy the dip. Do not buy the dip. That's kind of my official two cents.”
price then $76,322 → $103,262 · +35.3% · watch 29:20
MISS BTC ▼ → $50,000 · Mar 20, 2025 · horizon 30d
“I think 60% chance we're going to get to 50 kbtc”
price then $84,223 → $85,077 · +1.0% · watch 11:07
MISS BTC ▼ → $65,000 · Mar 20, 2025 · horizon 30d
“I think we're like 80% chance gonna come down to man don't quote me on this in my live Q I said 65k price level there's like an 80% chance”
price then $84,223 → $85,077 · +1.0% · watch 11:07
MISS BTC ▼ · Mar 20, 2025 · horizon 30d
“I believe there's a crash coming we need 0% interest rates”
price then $84,223 → $85,077 · +1.0% · watch 0:00
MISS BTC ▼ → $50,000 · Mar 18, 2025 · horizon 90d
“the last time we looked at it, it was like a 50K BTC is not out of the question.”
price then $82,715 → $106,795 · +29.1% · watch 10:54
MISS TOTAL ▼ · restated 3× · Mar 16, 2025 · horizon 30d
“I do believe that the cryptocurrency market, as well as all stocks, all risk on assets are going to crash very soon.”
price then $2.68T → $2.64T · -1.5% · watch 0:00
MISS BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Jan 07, 2025 · horizon 30d
“Bitcoin maybe it goes to 200k I think it's safe to say it's going to go from anywhere to 130 to 200k that's my prediction”
price then $96,955 → $96,554 · -0.4% · watch 7:49
MISS TOTAL ▲ · restated 5× · Jan 06, 2025 · horizon 335d
“So as you can see here, the altcoin season ended here. So we're looking at November and this is like, yeah, this is like November. So it's like right here, right? We look at the specific timeframe. We're looking at November 2025. So we're talking about 11 months, 11 months from today's date.”
price then $3.59T → $3.05T · -15.2% · watch 9:02
MISS XRP ▲ · restated 1× · Dec 17, 2024 · horizon 365d
“I'm flipping bullish on this platform because of the smart contract capabilities that are coming to pass on xrp”
price then $2.57 → $1.86 · -27.4% · watch 1:37
MISS BTC ▲ → $173,000 · Dec 11, 2024 · horizon 385d
“So what price does that give us? This gives us a Bitcoin price of about $173,000.”
price then $101,125 → $87,648 · -13.3% · watch 14:06
MISS BTC ▲ · Dec 06, 2024 · horizon 60d
“I think Bitcoin is going to Peak probably in the next 30 to 90 days”
price then $99,741 → $97,763 · -2.0% · watch 10:19
MISS BTC ▶ (conditional) · restated 1× · Dec 05, 2024 · horizon 30d
“But, I also said that if we broke above 100k BTC in last video, I said specifically that we'll likely play around this area.”
price then $96,946 → $104,464 · +7.8% · watch 1:36
HIT BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Nov 29, 2024 · horizon 63d
“I believe we're going to break through 100K BTC specifically which will ignite and start the official altcoin season”
price then $97,460 → $100,000 · +2.6% · watch 21:52 touched $100,000 intraday, closed at $96,946
HIT BTC ▲ (conditional) · Oct 24, 2024 · horizon 15d
“And then somewhere down the line, he launches the Bitcoin strategic reserve that enters us into a power cycle. And then the market ends like 15 days later, the Bitcoin will top.”
price then $68,198 → $76,510 · +12.2% · watch 27:35
HIT TOTAL ▲ · restated 2× · Oct 21, 2024 · horizon 60d
“I mean just to show you as you can see these are the Returns on these altcoins in 2017 412,000 93,000 per. 85% these are the returns 50,000% that's like turning $1,000 into 500 Grand when I mean the opportunity is absurd the window is small and the opportunity is absurd educate yourself 253,000 per return that's like turning a, into $2 million guys and all of it happened of about a month to two months this is what I call the power cycle this is what people need to study this is the important part not random market update news we need to focus on exactly how these allcoin Seasons play out find similarities and then apply it to our current research if you guys are with me like the video and share it with a friend my goal here is to show you guys high quality dense research on the subjects that matter I want to look into altcoin Cycles because that's what we're all invested in just think about it for a second right why would I think about anything else other than the biggest gains right people are looking at 5% returns 10% returns they're excited about making 100% return on their investment but they don't understand that there's a window that they should be focusing on that gives you 22,000 returns 19,000 returns why would I care about anything I could literally sit on my hands do nothing spend all of my time and energy have no cryptocurrency at all just focusing on this one altcoin power cycle to really milk it get one coin to do a 5 10,000 20,000% return and make more money than a day trader that buys and sells and buys and sells for six years just one small window of opportunity that you guys have access to that you need to focus on a big problem in cryptocurrency is there's so much shiny objects that people can't focus I'm giving you something to focus your time and energy on it's extremely important wake up these are where the returns are stop worrying about all the other strategies and platforms and signals and indicators focus on what matters the most which is money made in your account that's what that means stop treating cryptocurrency like a religion stop praying to your coin praying it will go up look at things unbiasedly it's time to make some money if you're in this bull cycle the goal should be to maximize your profit and don't miss out on something called opportunity cost you're invested in xrp in these basic mainstream coins that might give you a 3X and all those you might be super happy a 3X is a Monumental loss A 300% return on your Investment Portfolio is a Monumental loss in comparison to 20,000 or 100,000% return that I'm showing you right now and it doesn't take a lot of time I'm proving it to you right in your face and the craziest part about it is that people are looking at technical analysis when you should be looking at what the big whale entities with the most money are doing that's you should be focusing on because as you can see right here the entire allcoin season started almost on the day because of the ethereum Enterprise Alliance so the ethereum Enterprise Alliance formed right here altcoin season started now at the same time bitcoin's price increased and went parabolic around this period of time also JP Morgan was a part of the ethereum alliance and they also launched their own blockchain and JP Morgan one of the biggest banks in the world I hold them responsible for the creation of the Federal Reserve and they have their hands in that all up in that that they created their own blockchain at this exact period of time bitfenix and tether formalized a relationship with Wells Fargo so we see banks colluding with the biggest entities in crypto the biggest banks and the biggest entities in crypto all coming together in the same exact month propelling us into a fullon altcoin cycle the question I have for you is who do you think sold who do you think sold I believe these entities sold a massive amount of money in that last HW power cycle this is why you see it so artificial looking the biggest percentages in pretty much 100% of the altcoins happened in a month period of time at the end they were”
price then $2.34T → $3.39T · +44.4% · watch 0:00
MISS BTC ▼ · Oct 10, 2024 · horizon 60d
“I believe we're going to experience a crash.”
price then $60,326 → $97,276 · +61.2% · watch 11:15
MISS TOTAL ▼ · restated 1× · Sep 19, 2024 · horizon 30d
“I believe that the market is going to go in a free fall very soon.”
price then $2.18T → $2.35T · +7.8% · watch 0:00
MISS ETH ▲ → $11,361 · Sep 18, 2024 · horizon 378d
“let's say we move over to the true Orange right the top of the true Orange right here so we're sitting at about right there this will give us a specific price of 11,361”
price then $2,375 → $4,348 · +83.1% · watch 11:58
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Updated September 28, 2026.