Alessio Rastani prediction accuracy
C
10–19%
15%
35%
all resolved (26)
56%
30-day direction (18)
29
calls logged
3
open right now
0
flips (30d)
Current stance
▲ ETH
Sep 26 · open
▲ BTC
Sep 26 · open
▲ XRP
Sep 22 · open
Is Alessio Rastani accurate?
Grade C: on 13 predictions where Alessio Rastani named the deadline themselves, the target was hit 15% of the time. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 56% of the time (18 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
The record
OPEN
ETH ▲
“this new Dow Theory signal is a very bullish signal for Bitcoin because it potentially increases the probability that a bottom has formed and that a new bull market has started on Bitcoin and Ethereum.”
OPEN
BTC ▲
“this new Dow Theory signal is a very bullish signal for Bitcoin because it potentially increases the probability that a bottom has formed and that a new bull market has started”
OPEN
XRP ▲
“I think the odds are now in favor of potential multi-month rally in XRP.”
“I think it's quite likely we're seeing a three-wave ABC rally. And that likely we're in the C wave of this ABC rally, which could take us eventually to the 50 simple moving average on the weekly chart.”
HIT
XRP ▲
“So I think there's a strong likelihood of XRP making a likely rally, of XRP making a potential reversal and some kind of a multi-week rally.”
MISS
BTC ▼
“I think the downside potential is very, very large from the point of view of somebody who bought it somewhere in this box.”
“there's a potential move that may happen in the next several weeks towards 70k, maybe just above that.”
“quite significantly. If we're to see a sustained break of the support at 70,500, that actually could mean that Bitcoin is getting ready for a sustained decline, in other words, a strong drop and potential risk of retesting this prior low of February, potentially even taking that level out and falling below 60K.”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $49,000
“It could well go down to 50,000, 49,000 level. Look at the dotted gray line you have that is connecting the July, August 2025 lows. And this is a logical support on the chart. So it could go down there.”
MISS
ETH ▲
“For me, it's clear it's a new bull market. Probabilities have shifted in favor of the bulls, which means that both Bitcoin and Ethereum make higher highs.”
HIT
BTC ▲
“So I'm with Manuel here. I'm bullish on Bitcoin for now.”
HIT
ETH ▲
“I would love to say why I actually do like Ethereum and why I am bullish on it.”
“And I think the probabilities are that we might see a lower low.”
MISS
XRP ▼
“At the moment, it's giving the impression there'll be one final move to the downside.”
MISS
BTC ▶
“I think for this year the way it looks and the way you know the way the the volatility's gone down everything else the way it looks to me is this is going to be a boring year.”
“So, what I'm expecting is a very strong bounce and rally in the next several weeks and months on the price of Bitcoin.”
HIT
BTC ▼
“that increased the probability that bitcoin could drop to new lows”
MISS
BTC ▲
“I think likely as we enter 2026, perhaps in the beginning of 2026, we may very well see some kind of a strong bounce or rally towards the weekly 21 EMA.”
“I think we're going to see Bitcoin eventually catching up, moving back. In other words, rallying back to the 21w weekly moving average.”
“I don't think Bitcoin is topped for the long term. I think we still have another higher high to go.”
“I think eventually we're going to see a move for a wave five into this region between 3,00 or 3,67 to 3,525 in the next several months.”
“I think in the next several months we could see a breakout above the highs.”
“I think $3.50, $4, that sort of thing by the end of the year, I think would be...”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $150,000
“I think I would go for $150,000 max. I think that's probably the, you know, the... $115,000? $115,000? $150,000. Oh, $150,000. $150,000. The $120,000 in the first half of the year and then $150,000.”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $120,000
“there's a trend channel from the end of 23, I think, which is heading towards $120,000. And that's the target I'm going for.”
“And I think uh potentially this could be a sign that in the next several weeks and months, we could move to the 100K and potentially even new highs on Bitcoin.”
“Bottom line is the higher probability is that eventually we're going to see a drop back down below support and back down to the 21 weekly moving average.”
MISS
BTC ▲
“I'm hoping that soon in the next several days and weeks Bitcoin is going to be able to push back above the 21 weekly moving average”
“but right now the chart is bearish even for the next three months and this is what I see”
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