Krown tahmin doğruluğu

“Eğer Bitcoin 100,000 binin üzerine çıkar öncesinde, sanırım bu Aralık sonundan önce.”

“Tekrar, minimum hedef, yeşil 55 EMA dört gün içinde.”

“Her neyse, burası senin yerin. Sonraki 10 yıl için 38%. Ben bunu alırdım. Çok mutlu olurdum. 13.8x, übrüm, $8.92 bir coin.”

“Ve o şöyle diyor, Hala ZEC'nın 1250 bölgesine düşeceğini düşünüyor musun? Aslında evet. Aslında öyle düşünüyorum. Evet, kesinlikle. Birçok şeyin burada küçük bir düzeltmeye hazırlanacağını düşünüyorum. ZEC burada erken hareketlerden biri olduğu için onu bu gruba dahil etmem veya dışarıda tutmam gerekir.”

“And then of course we fast forward even 60 days again, still 100% green in our sample size and up with a median return of over, of over 56%. I mean, I'm not even going to do that right here. So that's just going to go into like full on bull mania, which I actually don't think that is likely to happen before I end up here. That's my personal opinion. Stats are stats at the end of the day. But like I said, we also now have seen something of great interest here because the five day timeframe which just closed recently has reclaimed that same movement, that same major movement average rate here as well. It is now well above the pivot, which is 81,200 and going to see the five VMA cross the upside of the 200 something right there as well. Just as an aside. But if we look at the stats pertaining to that, there's actually some really, really, really, really, really compelling things here too within 20 days. In fact, it usually doesn't give you all that much. You know, if you're looking at the average return about two spot, 3%, the median returns probably about 6% right there. It's eyeballing it, but that's only 67% of the time. That's a green period. And more likely to be green than not. And yeah, I do think that we will get a green period here. And I think that probably this that's going to be closer to this, you know, a little bit more muted. But again, that puts Bitcoin around the current highs, if not a little bit higher. And then if you fast forward out 40 days to 60 days, that's where you start to be extremely green very, very, very often. Not very often, 100% of the time in the sample size here, which is an N equals 15. By the way, we have 15 different iterations of this on a higher term timeframe compared to the two day, obviously. And if you fast forward 40 days, then you're looking at an average return about 21 spot 7% with the median just below that. And 60 days puts you out 20, almost 25% with the median return actually slightly higher than that, probably above 25%. Then from there, you know, things get kind of into a little bit of a lull as I have been saying, I think near the end of this year, either in October or near the end of this year, we're probably gonna get a pretty violent, nasty correction. I'm talking like 10 to 20% down on Bitcoin, but ultimately probably puts in, I mean, ultimately probably puts ultimately my opinion that it's going to put in a higher loan continue upwards and onwards later on. And we get to the 180 day out from that reclaim, which is basically six months from this would be like late September. So we're talking about like March of 2027. In fact, that is when again, it's 100% green period and all 15 previous examples and the average return is 66% or just over 66% with the median return, you know, a little bit less than that. You know, so again, I'm getting multiple things here that do suggest Bitcoin is very likely to be up. Even in the event that you have seen losers, I mean, it's not really a loss because well, even they're fucking gaining as well. Anyways, that's kind of the point that I'm making right here. We just have more and more information coming in that Bitcoin very likely does trade higher. We've seen many different setups. I'm not going to bring them all up on today's video because that's just gonna make this video like fucking two hours long. And that's just not unnecessary. And I have a inkling suspicion that people who typically record very long videos like that are doing it to obfuscate the data and their results. But that's just my opinion. Maybe I'm just talking shit. Who knows? Doesn't matter at the end of the day because I've probably no one's fucking listening to the full portion of that anyways. Can I have a lot of shit in there, right? Anyways, yeah. So moving on from there, we've already gone over this, the crowd right here. That's why I put in my bet. Like I said, just literally less than an hour ago, that was 22%. Now it's almost double that. So I missed out on a little bit. I wanted to do my bet like live on video, but hey, you know, fucked myself. My own anger is right there. Anyways, what else do we have right here? As we move onwards and forwards, again, Bitcoin having that reclaim is kind of a big deal, reclaiming that previous swing high from May. In this case, the weekly technically has not confirmed above it just yet. I do think that it's more or less formality. I think iBit has already confirmed a five and 10 day above there. So look, I'm looking at this as any test down to that number as fair, not necessarily fair game. I think that we probably have the low end, but that would be okay. No major issues with this current rally and still likely to trade up into the right for another extension on this move before the big correction is kind of where I'm at right now. Again, I've drawn out the LARP lines a few times. I won't do it right now, but let's go ahead and put my money where my mouth is again and buy a hundred buckaroonies of the old coins here on Coinbase. Why am I doing on Coinbase? Because as usual, Coinbase is the cheapest place to be buying spot Bitcoins, especially with my shill link in the description below. Why is that? Because we partnered with Coinbase and they're giving you 80% off your spot trading fees. If you use that link in the description below for Coinbase, it'll also award you 10% off of your derivative trading fees. And most importantly, I've just gotten word out of yesterday from my representative there. They're going to be adding options for US fucking citizens in October, most likely. Now you never, you know, weird things always do happen, but that's the latest information that I've got from them. I think international clients already have access to it. So fuck you. I'm jealous, but at the same time, congratulations. And ultimately I'm just extremely excited about this because one feed discounts, two, I'm going to be able to have like a regular exchange where I can trade options, which should, oh, nice. We got filled where, where we can trade options because they did acquire a derivative, which has the most, you know, the most liquidity for options. So that's a big fucking deal. So we'll, you know, I'll have that plus derivatives and spot on the same exchange. I could put, you know, I, you know, I can basically just park my full accounts there. And then I don't have to worry about, you know, cross hedging on different exchanges because, you know, some exchanges only offer options. Some exchanges only offer futures or spot. That's just been a major headache, you know, in the past year. But in this case, this in my opinion is so far the best solution. So I'm really, really, really, really excited to, to, to partner with them. And yeah, again, that affiliate link, that she'll link is in the description below. Other than that, we can go ahead and reference perhaps. Oh yes. Let's go down to the lower term timeframes while we're here. Why not? So the full hour timeframe, I do want to acknowledge has put in some hidden bullish divergence on spot price action already has confirmed that the six hour timeframe I do think is getting ready to fall through here, but four hour timeframe. Yes. On character because RSI you already got one drive. You might even consider this one a second drive on today's low. If you go over to the six hour timeframe, similar thing right here, this low from 20th of September on the RSI is much higher than the low that we're seeing right here at about, basically this morning's low with a higher low on price action. And that actually is effectively your last training higher low from just over 80,000 bucks. And by the way, if you're not familiar with training, higher lows, training, lower highs, this is a really, really, really, really, really important concept that we talked about on this channel. It is extremely important when it comes to documenting potential reversals and things like this. And so, and if you're not familiar with it, you can check it out in the TA one to one program. It's literally free. I have a bunch of free courses in the link description below. My job is, or my goal is to make all my free free shit way better than people's paid shit because I'm egotistical and I'm just, that's just my fucking goals right now, man. That's just is what it is. So you can find it right there. Of course you could also check it on the crown trading bubble. That is a paid program, but again, realistically, it's just not relevant for 99.9% of people. It is very, very, very, very, very heavy detail. And ultimately most people just don't even need that. But yes, if you just want to learn about the basics, TA one on one is great. TA foundations as well on YouTube is extremely, extremely basic if you want to start there. But yeah, that training and higher low now coming in around 80,000 bucks. So even on like a short term timeframe and the way that I look at the six hour, I have no issues with this move at all whatsoever as long as Bitcoin's above there. Again, this was a retracement that we did expect. And now I'm just kind of looking for this one to trade sideways enough from here. So long as Bitcoin's above 80,000 bucks, I got no majors with this price action at all whatsoever. It might take a little bit of time to get going, but looking for some sideways enough from here and for some Bitcoin magic to happen. Other than that, let's go over to, yes, let's go over to the Reverend ribbons. I just want to acknowledge again, that CME futures continues to remain above the red dots in this first upper band one. So I'm still looking at this range as valid between those red dots and the top side. Now I don't think we're going to be testing the top side again this week. You can basically look at the high of this week is effectively a test of that already. But coming into next week, assuming that Bitcoin finishes this week above these red dots here and upper band one, which is 82, 300 on CME, which traded about 600 bucks above that as of right now, there is a premium over spot price action. Well that would open up the door for an extremely likely test back up to the top side of that band, which is more or less 90,000 bucks. That'd be a next week thing. Again, if that one holds, we'll know that information for sure by tomorrow, which we'll be doing a live stream on as well. Other than that, I think it's a good place to maybe leave it off on this video. Again, we got Caltech and Coinbase links in the description below as always. And yeah, higher term timeframes, we're seeing more and more things aligned in that same direction. Lower term timeframes even given some short term signals that Bitcoin is finding a low right here. And then Bitcoin does take another step down. I'd be looking somewhere around like 81 to 81.5 region, probably a bounce there at the very minimum. And I'd want to see it in real time after that. Other than that, I still think that all the higher term time from setups are more or less green with each other. If we fast forward, especially like 30 to 60 days out, things are more likely to be positive from here than not. And then of course, from there, things probably take a cooling off period. And then it is around the sort of six month, the five to six month marker where we start to see these returns go up again, generally from a lot of the sets that we've been looking at. Other than that, I'll update again on tomorrow's live stream. As always, take care, much love and see you hopefully next time.”

“Eğer Bitcoin'in bu çizgiyi tuttuğunu görürsen, evet zaten gördük. Ardından beş gün içinde ortalama getiri yaklaşık iki spot 8%. Tarih boyunca bu 64% zaman gerçekleşti. Ama tabii bu kriterleri bu zaman karşılamak çok daha yüksek olasılıktaki. Basitçe bir sayı olarak koyuyorum, dünkü düşük seviyesinin hemen altında olan 3% civarı. Bu Bitcoin'i nereye getirdi? Ve yaklaşık 86,000 ABD doları civarında.”

“Eğer 64% zamanındaki yeniden bağlantıdan beş gün ileri sararsanız, hâlâ yeşil bir dönem. Yani daha fazla yeşil olma olasılığı yüksek.”

“Üzgünüm, tam olarak neydi tekrar? 56.5%. Oh, vahşet. Şu anda 54.5%'deyim neredeyse ve bu zaten $133,000.”

“Ne biliyorsun? Evet, 104. Tamamen farklı bir açıdan, tamamen farklı teknik bir şey daha var ve bu altı rakamın üzerine işaret ediyor.”

“Tekrar, bu aslında bu rally için Bitcoin'i yeni zirvelere taşıyacaksın diye düşünüyorum. Sadece iki kez kontrol edelim. 4.9% puts, evet, Bitcoin $88,000'nin etrafında.”

“Bitcoin orada kalınca, bu yükselişle ilgili büyük bir sorunum, endişem yok. Ve yukarı ve sağa doğru gitmesini bekliyorum.”

“Bitcoin'in $90,000 seviyesinin üzerine çıkması, geri geriye düşmesi daha olasılıktır, özellikle $80,000 gelecek bir veya iki ay içinde belki.”

“Bu çok yeşil olacak gibi görünüyor, belki $100,000 seviyesinin üstünde olacak. Ama biliyorsunuz, geçen haftanın kapanışından 44% yukarıya doğru bir hareket. Well, bu Bitcoin'i nereye getirir? Aslında Bitcoin'i yeni zirvelere taşır, komik şekilde, bu $117,000 ABD dolarına daha yakın olacaktır.”

“Bu, tahminimce biraz daha iyimser bir bakış açısı olur, uh, 44 ve yarısı yüzde, ya da erken Aralık'ta, açıkçası Bitcoin'i önceki tüm zamanların en yüksek seviyesine yakın bir seviyeye getirir.”

“Well, bu Bitcoin'i aslında yeni zirvelerde olmayan bir yere koyardı. Komik olan, 117,000 ABD dolarına daha yakın olacaktı.”

“Evet, bu Bitcoin'i 105,000 ABD dolarının etrafına geri getiriyor, yüksek şekilde enflasyonlu buckaroonies.”

“Yaklaşık $3,200 ile $3,600 arası bir yerde bu hareketin kendini bulacağını düşünüyorum.”

“Yıl sonuna kadar $100,000 'nın üzerinde tahminde bulunmak (calling) bence o kadar da çılgınlık değil. Bunu görmek hiç de çılgınlık değil bence.”

“For me, the invalidation now is effectively $79,000 and $500,000, let's say, more or less that sort of like last major level reclaimed.”

“44.5%, you know, by early December, obviously puts Bitcoin probably around previous all-time highs. If I'm just going to do like some bad amount of math, I mean, that should be around there, you know, 80,000 bucks plus 40%. Yeah, that's got to be in the like the 110s to 120s regions. Just want to make sure. Yep, there we go. Looking at like 116.”

“if we were to put a number on that, you know, 28% plus the weeklies closure would put Bitcoin where? I would put Bitcoin, yeah, closer to, you know, 105 or so.”

“four weeks, basically a month plus 12%, if we were to take that into consideration as far as current price action goes, well, we do obviously have that closure. So 12-ish percent puts Bitcoin where? Just above $90,000.”

“Q4 için daha az daha çok bullishim.”

“Düşünüyorum ki, uh, kalkış için hazırsın ve ayrıca burada büyük bir yükseliş ve golf dildosu var. Eğer bunu kapatırsan, tüm büyük hareketli ortalamaları bir yükseliş ve golf dildosu üzerinde geri kazanacaksın. Bu şeyin bir 30 ye, belki de bu geçmişteki düşük yüksek noktaya kadar bir 45 ile 50 arasına çıkmaya çalışacağını oldukça güvenle söyleyebilirim.”

“Ethereum'in Bitcoin'i geride bırakacağını bekliyorum. Bu oranın üç spot, dört milyon Stoches'a kadar çıkacağını bekliyorum, bu şu anda bir kaç ay gibi görünen süredir söylediğimiz şey.”

“$80,000 civarından bir miktar daha veya daha az eklenen 50%, yani demek ki 40,000 dolar. Yani yaklaşık olarak 120,000 dolar civarında görüyorsunuz, uh, yaklaşık yarım yıl içinde, bir şekilde olası bir şey olarak.”

“Bitcoin 78,600 üzerindeki sürece, yeşil kapanacak.”

“Ve 30 gün ileri sarmaya başladığımızda, hâlâ kazançlısınız. Hâlâ kazançlısınız. Yani, ortalama getiri 3 civarında, spot 2% seviyesinde kazançlısınız demektir.”

“Genel olarak, Ethereum'un provavelmente 3,000 seviyesine doğru bir hareket yapmasını bekliyorum. Belki bu bir Ekim şeydir.”

“60 günlük işlenen getiriler toplantısını referans almak için, aslında işe yaran altın kesişimlerin, 20% artı bakıyorsunuz, o zaman Bitcoin nerede olursa olsun, bu Bitcoin'ı kolayca tekrar $90,000 bölgesine, hatta belki de yüz bin dolara sokabilir.”

“Bu da Bitcoin'i aslında çok daha düşük, aslında yaklaşık 72,400 seviyesine getirecekti. Bu gerçekten mümkün.”

“Sen biliyorsun, tekrar, şimdi ile bu yılın sonu arasında, Bitcoin'in daha yukarı çıkmasını bekliyorum. Bitcoin'in provavelmente 90 civarı ile 100,000 dolar arasında bir yerlere ulaşmasını bekliyorum.”

“you're probably going to get a, uh, a rejection.”

“Aslında bu en azından 1500'ya çıkacak ve belki de 2000'ye daha yakın olacak, ama bu belki de bir hafta, bir ay veya iki ay daha sürebilir.”

“Bu coin 3000 dolarda işlem görse şaşırmam. Bilindiği gibi, ileri sararsak, bilindiği gibi, şimdiden 30 ile 45 gün sonra.”